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Sunday, October 30, 2011
Left-hander CC Sabathia plans to opt out of his long-term contract with the Yankees by the Monday night deadline and become a free agent, SI.com has learned.
Sabathia, 31, has four years worth $92 million left on his current seven-year, $161 million deal but has the option—until midnight Monday—of voiding the final four years.
The Yankees have already made a new contract offer to Sabathia and remain the favorites to keep him, although the Cubs, Rangers, Tigers, Blue Jays and Cubs are also considered possibilities. The Yanks’ offer was made over the weekend, but no details have been announced.
Thanks to The Bliss of Elmer.
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You don't mean to infer that listing the Cubs twice was an accident, do you?
EDIT: obviously he'll re-sign with the Yankees.
And Mike Crudale.
Well, if anyone knows the hazards of stating something as a given...............
1) The Yankees need to add good pitching (particularly left-handed pitching) this off-season. Letting Sabathia get away would make that probably even worse.
2) Sabathia and his agent have repeatedly said that he loves playing in New York and wants to stay with the Yankees
3) Most importantly, the Yankees are able to offer more money than any other team
It would defy all probability for Sabathia to leave the Yankees, unless someone offered him a ridiculous, indefensible contract.
So he's going to the Angels?
CC wasn't exactly lighting it up down the stretch...
I imagine he'll get Cliff Lee's contract. Maybe a million more per year.
Interesting question. I'd also guess that this year's class doesn't quite top the class of 2000.
Checking, to put some objective numbers to it... ... ...
Here is the total b-r WAR for each player in the 3 seasons prior to becoming a free agent:
ARod 24
Manny 19
Mussina 14
Hampton 14
----------
Total = 71
Pujols 20
Prince 14
CC 16
Reyes 9
----------
Total = 59
Not all that close, and the 2000 class had two pitchers.
Reyes's injury troubles hurt his class, but not enough to make up the difference.
Will the Yankees really go to 7 and 8 years if some team offers him that?
Reyes's injury troubles hurt his class, but not enough to make up the difference.
Did the 2000 class have a fifth player as good as CJ Wilson? He's got close to 11 b-r WAR himself from 2009-2011, and averaging almost 5 WAR in the two years that he's been starting.
Since Lee only got 5/120, I can't see CC going for more than 6/150. I think the Yankees pay that.
Really?
It's a lock.
Really?
That's what I thought. Wilner mentioned it on Twitter friday. I asked if he was serious? He said "yes". I wouldn't have thought it. They're going to spend money in seasons coming, but I wouldn't have thought on $20 mil plus per-year players.
You, sir, are an idiot.
That's why I'm hoping the Cubs, Rangers or the Blue Jays sign him to a 7-year mega contract.
Dear god. This season's rotation wasn't enough of a gamble for you?
CJ Wilson + Roy Oswalt will be a better option for the Yankees than giving CC a 7-year deal. They can spend big next year or the year after that when younger, healthier, elite starters become free agents.
Unless he signs for the Yankees, Red Sox, or the Phillies he has ZERO chance of getting 300 wins. The Yankees should use this fact in the contract talks.
What an absurd thing to say.
ZIPs puts Sabathia at 293, meaning it certainly believes there's a good chance he'll get over 300. He has 176 through age 30. If he pitches into his 40s, he'll probably breeze by it with years to spare.
As far as I know ZIPs takes last 4 years into its calculation. In 3 of those 4 years CC has been playing for the Yankees. So, ZIPs projection will become less relevant if he signs for a lesser team. Also, ZIPs doesn't take his weight into consideration.
P.S: I'm just pissed at CC for opting out of his contract. Actually the opt-out clause was offered by Brian Cashman, not by CC or his agent. CC had concerns if his wife and children would like living in New York. So Cashman gave him the option to opt out if things didn't work out well. Both CC and his wife have said they love their life in New York. And yet, they are using the opt-out clause to grab more money. CC's good guy image has been tarnished by this move.
David Wells for one, won 181 games after the age of 30. Obviously one guy doesn't prove anything, plenty of fat guys have fallen apart too. But I think fat guys being less likely to last as pitchers is one of those things that seems to make sense intuitively so we never bother to investigate it further.
Gassko's article from a few years ago
From J.D Drew, to A.J. Burnett, Alex Rodriguez and now CC Sabathia. Has anyone exercised an opt-out clause and NOT taken a PR hit from the hometown fans? It's something of value for the player in the contract. Whatever the reasons Cashman or Sabathia claimed for its inclusion at the time, I'm about 99% sure it was included as a way to offer Sabathia less money than had it not been included.
EDIT: Also, it may be my anti-Yankee bias flaring up. But Sabathia signs one of the biggest contracts of all time to go the Yankees, and three years later when he opts out is when he is outted as a greedy player just after the money?
It wasn't all about money. No one else would come close to the Yankees' offer. But CC had real doubts about living in New York regardless of the size of the contract. If it was all about money then this wouldn't have come up at all.
There's a big difference between a free agent going for the highest contract and this opt-out. Until 2011 when the Yankees failed to sign Cliff Lee, CC had always maintained he wouldn't opt out. Now that he has seen the Yankees' situation, he changed his mind. It's nothing illegal, but definitely unethical.
According to Stark earlier this month, Oswalt is only willing to play in the NL.
He might be wrong, I guess.
Regardless of what narrative the media built-up, the fact is when the contract was signed in '08, a lot of people though "Hm, if he pitches well the first three years, he's definitely opting out." This should come as no surprise to anyone; it's a contractual right and leverage for the player. Calling it unethical is silly.
Aaron Hill for instance essentially had a 3/26 mil team option for 2012-2014 that the team had to exercise this off-season. It's essentially the same decision. If Sabathia was in the same position, but had to formally "opt-in" to the remaining contract or do nothing and become a free-agent, would that be any different? I just don't see why Sabathia is morally obligated to play for less than he and the Yankees feel he's worth when his contract specifically says he doesn't have to.
EDIT: sorry, LAST off-season on the Hill options.
He isn't. To say he is is silly. If the Yankees felt that strongly that it was unethical they would just tell him to sign elsewhere if he opted out. They're not doing that.
I'd like to hear a longer explanation of how this is unethical, because I admit I'm not seeing it.
In this case, though, I think the only thing that CC Sabathia has done wrong is to make Yankee fans worry about their starting rotation for 2012 more than they would have otherwise. (And I should say, I haven't seen any Yankee fans at this site other than pezzonovante complaining about the ethics of this.)
This is perfectly fucking retarded. CC is no more or less of a mercenary for opting out, than he was when he originally signed with the Yankees in the first damn place. But now that he has snubbed your team, he is a "bad guy", give me a ####### break.
Fair enough. In your opinion, how could CC act or have acted in this case to meet your basis for unethical behavior within the confines of his contract? I'm not making a point, I'm legitimately curious, as a thought exercise.
If he does break down before the opt-out year, you're no worse off than if there were no opt out.
CC's trade value is currently very high, as seen by the fact that clubs are willing to offer him $50-75M more than he is currently under contract to earn. If the Yankees wanted to be rid of Sabathia after three years for the reasons you list, and if the Yankees hadn't given CC an opt-out, they could trade Sabathia and get a very large return.
(This doesn't happen, because it's good to have a 4/92 contract on one of the five best pitchers in the game, and no one wants to let excellent players on good contracts go. But if it were the case that teams would want to rid themselves of a Sabathia in this setting, it would still be a bad idea to give him an opt-out because of the large trade value the opt-out surrenders.)
Ah, right, generally, but I meant (perhaps poorly stated) in regards specifically to an opt-out contract.
And I think that Greg and FPH said it well, that's it's funny to see a fan of the Yankees calling a player mercenary three years after he left two small market clubs for big money in New York. (And this would certainly apply, mutatis mutandis, to Red Sox or Mets fans.)
Eh, not so much, but I'm basing this on fuzzy memories of him at certain points saying he wasn't going to opt out. But in any case, things change over time. I remember when I was 17. I was pretty sure my girlfriend was going to be with me forever and I told her that. She agreed. Two weeks later, we were broken up.
I'm sure this has been brought up elsewhere, but I do wonder how this would have played out if the Yanks had signed Lee in the offseason.
Or, to put it another way, should he donate the money to a charitable foundation or to the Yankees?
Darvish + CJ Wilson (on a medium length deal) or Oswalt (on a short term deal) would probably turn out OK for the Yankees.
Not if it's those mooching war widows!
I swear this is how I read the first sentence of the question first time through.
In addition to what everyone else said, if CC is so ethically bankrupt that he publicly professes he won't use the opt out and then turns around and does it, why would you take CC and Lady CC's comments at face value that they love living in New York? That sounds like the lie some filthy opt outer would tell.
1. The opt-out clause was put in there for a family-related reason, not for how CC is using it right now.
2. In his first two years with the Yankees, CC had always maintained he wouldn't opt out.
3. CC has built up a different image than that of someone like A-Rod. He is seen as the good guy in the clubhouse. The fans expect more from him.
Now, I still think CC will sign for a 6/150 contract with the Yankees, although that will be a huge mistake for the ball club. But with this move CC has lost a lot of respect from the fans. Does he really want to be treated like A-Rod for this extra few millions? Does he want to get booed every time he leaves the game after a poor start? I don't know how much these things mean to players, but it's worth pondering.
I'm sorry, but this is really naive. Actually, 2 and 3 are as well.
Ah, but he's been gaining weight living in New York. Maybe his doctor is recommending he live somewhere easier for him to diet.
So...Japan?
Do you think his employer would have wanted him telling the media that he was planning to opt out and possibly leave the Yankees, unless he was injured?
I'm pretty sure the Yankees would want him to say that he loved the town, no matter what his plans were. In fact, I'm sure he would have had a bit of a talking to if he didn't toe the company line up to the point where it was time to take the opt out. Is it unethical to provide the pr that the company wishes?
this is not true
it's in there for whatever reason he wants to use it
Actually it is. He said it quite a few times. Here are two such instances:
http://www.nypost.com/p/sports/yankees/it_win_win_for_st_place_yanks_zFtoZ8snrLfdIQYsIIShsI#ixzz0xSOZyn4O
http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2010/12/08/cc-sabathia-says-he-wont-opt-out-of-contract-after-2011/
It is. But it was originally put in there for family reasons. Or at least CC made it sound like so.
Do you have a source for this? Because it sounds really stupid.
And the second story is just re-hashing the first one in light of the Lee contract, so even if the Post was right in interpreting his first comments, that is different than him spending the last few years saying that he won't opt-out. And during spring training this year, he was asked whether he would opt-out and gave no firm answer either way.
It seems like it was just one off-the-cuff comment during his first NY season that was repeated in every ensuing article about his contract rather than him stating over-and-over that he wouldn't opt-out.
From Buster Olney when the deal was struck:
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=3759182
Or this from Yahoo! Sports:
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=ti-sabathiayankees121008
http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/story/11180417
However:
1. Although again it is fair to criticize that, this is showbiz and you do kinda have to expect it.
2. It's going way too far to say that the Yankee fans won't like him anymore. If he pitches well, the fans will love him. If he doesn't, they won't. It's certainly odd to anticipate a fan uprising when there are many Yankee fans on this board and only one of them seems to resent it at all.
What if Cashman had said that the no-trade clause was included so CC could prevent himself from being traded to a bad team and then CC invoked it when they tried to trade him to a contender? Would that get the same negative judgement?
He's opting out because he has family reasons for wanting more money... Does that make it better?
No, his wife also said the same thing. Well, technically he doesn't have to honor even her words, but just saying.
So, you are assuming Cashman lied about the reason behind the opt-out? Amber Sabathia's statements proves he didn't.
No, my point is that Cashman doesn't get to decide the propriety of how CC uses the clause. What Cashman says is the 'reason' for the clause is irrelevant.
Here's from above, right below the part you bolded "The issue of the opt-out clause actually came up two days before, when it was made clear that it would have to be part of any contract proposal that the Yankees made, to remain competitive with other offers." Olney is not gospel, but he is reporting or speculating that the initial reason for the opt-out was to make their offer better.
Give him his 6/150 and let's move on to Darvish, Wilson or Oswalt.
Better in what sense? Not monetary sense as far as I understand it. The Yankees offered by FAR the highest amount of money. So if it was about money this wouldn't come up at all, or they would probably have added a few more millions into the 7 year deal. This opt-out came up because CC had genuine concerns whether his family could adjust to living in New York.
Pfft. What evidence do you have that CC Sabathia enjoys food?
Who cares? They negotiated the opt-out, he gets to use it. Why is this an issue for debate?
The more interesting issue is what to do if some team offers him a crazy 8/200 deal.
I'd try for Oswalt (2/30?) and Wilson with a back-loaded deal. Maybe 5/105, with $10M salaries the first 2 seasons and $25M the last three, and a $25M option or $10M buyout the 6th year.
That way, your annual expenditure stay at $25M, and you get 2 SPs for the first 2 years to offset the downgrade from CC to Wilson. Hopefully, they can develop some homegrown SP in that interval.
Darvish is of course an option instead of Wilson, but his deal is front-loaded by nature.
The interesting idea would be if you thought you could get Darvish and Wilson for ~$100M each. I might prefer the two of them for $200M to CC for $150M.
It doesn't seem like you understand it if you can't see how CC is going to benefit in a monetary sense from the opt-out.
You just quoted his wife saying that they didn't ask for the clause!
Darvish would also be somewhat cheaper for the Yankees because his posting fee wouldn't count towards the luxury tax. Assuming the $100M you mention for Darvish is contract+posting fee.
In the hindsight, he is going to benefit from the opt-out now. But at that time, there was no way to be sure whether he could better a record 7/161 deal.
They didn't ask for it, the Yankees offered it to persuade them. Basically CC expressed his concerns, and Cashman offered him this get-out-of-NY option.
Which also happened to be a "get more money" option. The idea that Sabathia and Cashman weren't aware of it at the time, or that they had some sort of gentleman's agreement that he wouldn't exercise it except for personal reasons is just plain weird.
No one is SURE whether they'll be better off opting out on the day the sign their contract. If they were, why wouldn't they sign that better contract they're sure they could get? (EDIT: Vernon Wells has an opt-out clause. Did he include it because he was sure he'd benefit monetarily when the day came to make the decision? Not at all. Like every opt-out clause in the history of time it was a clause added to give the player more potential value)
It seems pretty simple to me
1) Sabathia hesitant to accept New York's offer
2) Cashman has to decide, offer more money? or offer an opt-out?
3) He goes with the opt-out because Sabathia has legitimate concerns about life in New York.
4) Sabathia gets the benefit of some "I Hate New York" insurance, AND the ability to get more money.
There was a contract written, and it's possible that there were assurances made on both parts that gave their own interpretation and non legally binding guarantees about the conract. "Don't worry, trust me, I would only excercise this clase if _____ happens".
We'll never really know what was said during the negotations, or whether public statements were truthful. BUT, saying "hey, there's an opt out, and thus opting out is not ethically questionable" doesn't ring true to me.
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