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Saturday, July 10, 2021

Scoring in the minors is up…a lot

In 2019, there was a big spike in offense, while 2021 has dropped slightly in runs, home runs, doubles, and triples, but 2019 was a tough standard to beat. Still, in Triple-A West, home runs are up 55% over the three-year average and 20% above 2019 even despite the 56% jump that year. Runs-per-game in that division are at an eye-popping 6.03 per game.

It is odd that doubles and triples are down but home runs are up. Perhaps we are seeing balls travel farther (which jives with the new baseball) and either dying at the wall or going over it. As Rob Arthur pointed out in an earlier linked piece above:

MLB said they’d be tuning down the COR by an unspecified amount, which should have cut against the change in weight. Instead, we got exactly the exit velocity increase expected from the weight cut they promised, without any tempering from a COR reduction. Instead of being deadened, the baseball is as live as ever, with higher exit velocity and a little less travel.

Triple-A teams could have exhausted the old supply quickly - if there were any balls to begin with, as some teams used these balls last summer in alternate camp. They may be seeing balls hit at the right launch angle flying over the wall, while others that would have been doubles/triples under the old ball, turn into outs.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: July 10, 2021 at 11:28 AM | 0 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: juiced ball, minor leagues

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