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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Thursday, December 29, 2022Sean Murphy hops on Braves’ long-term extension train, with Alex Anthopoulos as engineer - The AthleticSustainability starts with ownership. The front office needs stability so that GMs can think long-term. Only the owner can provide the culture and stability required to create sustained success.
jimfurtado
Posted: December 29, 2022 at 10:56 AM | 8 comment(s)
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1. Rough CarriganNope, I can't talk myself out of it. It looks like another really good deal.
Its not as amazing as some of their deals because its signed deeper into a players career. Murphy's deal is way riskier for ATL than for example the Albies or Acuna deals. But, its definitely not an overpay for mid-range expectations.
The question, just like with the Olson deal, isn't, "is this a good deal compared to FA spending?" The proper question is, "is the spending of prospect capital + the money spent better than simply signing a FA?"
I think the Braves were better off resigning Freeman compared to the Olson extension and the prospects spent there. But, in a vacuum compared just to FA spending, Olson's deal looks pretty solid. That isn't the actual cost to the team though.
Albies, Acuna, and Harris deals are all quite nice though as they're aggressive early signings. There is always risk the player goes Odubel Herrera on you or something I guess. But, ATL has seemed to dodge that as of yet.
There's the chance they have paid out a lot of contingent arb money to players who could crater but it's less likely with position players than pitchers and overall, those contracts will very likely produce aggregate surplus value - provably a lot of surplus value m.
What pitcher wouldn't want to pitch in front of this lineup ?
What pitcher wouldn't want to pitch in front of this lineup ?
One who has a higher offer to pitch elsewhere.
DeGrom, Verlander, and most of the other SP free agents?
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