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Friday, January 14, 2022

Seiya Suzuki rumors: Boston Red Sox among 10-12 teams involved; OF still plans to sign after MLB lockout

Suzuki still plans to sign with an MLB team when the lockout ends, he told The Athletic’s Andrew Baggarly in a wide-ranging interview. The outfielder, who was posted by the Hiroshima Carp, has heard recruiting pitches from 10 to 12 clubs and the Red Sox are among them. When the lockout ends, he will have about 20 days to decide where to sign.


“The Red Sox are known to have strong scouting links to Suzuki, and in an interview with a Japanese TV station earlier this month, former Boston pitcher Koji Uehara tried to squeeze an admission out of him that he was bound for Fenway Park,” Baggarly wrote.

Baggarly reports the Mariners and Giants have also been involved in talks with Suzuki and adds that the Dodgers, Padres, Yankees, Rays and Blue Jays are also expected to be in the mix. Suzuki, 27, said he has no preference based on league and coast. His deal is expected to be in the range of five years and $60 million, according to the report.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: January 14, 2022 at 04:15 PM | 16 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: japanese free agents, seiya suzuki

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   1. Jose is Absurdly Correct but not Helpful Posted: January 14, 2022 at 04:52 PM (#6061108)
So roughly 40% of the league is interested in acquiring a good player? Imagine that!
   2. John Northey Posted: January 14, 2022 at 05:25 PM (#6061112)
He'd fit in with many teams. A strong defensive RF who can hit - who wouldn't want that? I'm a Jays fan and even with our current 4 man outfield I'd love to see them sign him. 6 for $75 - once the lockout is done get it done. Then Gurriel could be traded easily (Hernandez to LF, Grichuk as the backup CF/RF/LF to let everyone get time as a DH)
   3. Walt Davis Posted: January 14, 2022 at 06:39 PM (#6061121)
Ichiro 60 WAR
Kurt 20
Mac 0

I project he'll be the 3rd-best Suzuki in MLB history. Based on nothing except 20 WAR is rather a lot.
   4. Infinite Yost (Voxter) Posted: January 15, 2022 at 08:50 AM (#6061156)
Do we have a strong sense of what % power drop off guys coming across the Pacific have? Or is it unpredictable?
   5. Darren Posted: January 15, 2022 at 03:01 PM (#6061176)
Walt, it seems like 40 WAR would be the obvious guess based on those numbers, right? The missing piece, as it were.
   6. Walt Davis Posted: January 15, 2022 at 03:56 PM (#6061183)
Fair point, symmetry is always a good thing. Of course Kurt is still going and could yet get to 30. (No he won't)

#4: I don't think there are many recent position players coming/returning from NPB for anybody to have a good estimate. Maybe you could back one out based on changes to pitching peripherals and based on changes for peripheral US players going to Japan. Ohtani's power has obviously translated very well -- his MLB SLG/ISO is actually higher. Suzuki's NPB numbers are much better than Ohtani's but, eyeballing, looks like Ohtani was better for the common ages 18-22.
   7. The Duke Posted: January 15, 2022 at 05:30 PM (#6061190)
Rumors have him at 5/60 base off of Fukodome getting 4/48 (in 2008). That’s a lifetime ago so I wouldn’t use that as the benchmark. Ha-Seong Kim signed with Padres for 4/28 and he had a crazy high Zips projection. As it turned out he played more of a utility role. Suzuki seems like a much better player.
   8. Infinite Yost (Voxter) Posted: January 16, 2022 at 06:44 PM (#6061266)
his MLB SLG/ISO is actually higher.


Though of course Ohtani came over at 23, which is not an uncommon age for power jumps.
   9. Der-K's tired of these fruits from poisoned trees Posted: February 01, 2022 at 12:45 PM (#6063350)
why is there no longer a dugout?
---
fwiw, zips has seiya at .281/.350/.469. ymmv.
   10. DCA Posted: February 01, 2022 at 02:14 PM (#6063370)
That zips projection seems remarkably reasonable.
   11. Ziggy: social distancing since 1980 Posted: February 01, 2022 at 02:33 PM (#6063374)
WAR goes negative too. If you want to preserve symmetry, -20 is also an option. I think he's better than that though.
   12. Darren Posted: February 01, 2022 at 02:48 PM (#6063378)
My guess is that Suzuki gets 6/100. He will probably also got an opt-out after 3.
   13. Darren Posted: February 01, 2022 at 02:52 PM (#6063379)
fwiw, zips has seiya at .281/.350/.469. ymmv.


Davenport Translations project: .269 .355 .451--pretty close!

I thought I remembered Davenport being higher and I have to say I'm a little disappointed with those numbers.
   14. Darren Posted: February 01, 2022 at 02:54 PM (#6063381)
Also, where did you see the ZIPS projection?
   15. Nasty Nate Posted: February 01, 2022 at 03:44 PM (#6063388)
   16. Darren Posted: February 01, 2022 at 04:40 PM (#6063400)
Thanks. That's ... not very exciting.

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