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Sunday, February 13, 2011

SoSD: Bud Black: ‘We’re more balanced’

Bud Black: Racer X’s: The big payback?

Q: Last spring, the emphasis was on creating runs and the running game. Will there be a different emphasis this spring training?

A: It will be the same. Offensively, we now know what it takes to win in Petco Park. That same philosophy applies in a number of parks, especially in our division, San Francisco, Los Angeles and Colorado. The running game will be emphasized again. It puts pressure on the defense. That is something we have to do. Will we make more outs on the bases? Yes. But being aggressive, turning singles into doubles and going from first to third on singles in addition to stealing bases, can’t be underestimated in its value. Not only does it put pressure on the defense, it gives us a boost in how we play.

Q: Do you see this team running as much as the 2010 Padres?

A: I think so, yes. But that’s a factor of us getting on base. A lot of things go into the running game. A big part of it is pitching well enough and playing defense to keep games close enough where the running game can come into play. We did a great job of that last season. The will to run will be there.

Repoz Posted: February 13, 2011 at 11:49 AM | 2 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: padres, projections, sabermetrics

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   1. Cyril Morong Posted: February 13, 2011 at 07:12 PM (#3749497)
I have done some research on balance. See

The Impact of Lineup Balance on Scoring, 1920-89

and

Are "Balanced" Teams More Successful?

I found balance helps very little, if at all. I also have links to research by Keith Woolner and David Gassko at that first site. It looks like their research shows that at most better balance can add 1 per season. So if Adrian Gonzalez's replacement costs the Padres more than 1 win compared to him, the balance will not help, as Black says. That is assuming that they are actaully more balanced.
   2. Spahn Insane Posted: February 13, 2011 at 07:24 PM (#3749503)
So they'll suck at hitting AND pitching this year?

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