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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Tuesday, December 01, 2020Sources: Isiah Kiner-Falefa to replace mainstay Elvis Andrus as starting Rangers shortstop next season
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F)
Posted: December 01, 2020 at 03:40 PM | 26 comment(s)
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1. Zonk Opposes Trial by Combat Posted: December 01, 2020 at 05:38 PM (#5991910)Would it be fair to say that Odor stunk last year? boom-tish!...yeah I'm available for all weddings and parties.
For $120 M (minus whatever they saved in 2020), the Rangers got 13 WAR plus whatever he's got left. Close enough to break even.
From what I found, one of the longest names I've seen on the back of a ballplayer (not the longest, but a pretty long one).
I’m available for weddings and parties at 25% less than Hugh.
But now he's 32, has put up a 76 OPS+ in the last three seasons, and possibly played his way off of shortstop. So, yeah.
Elvis was at a 78 OPS+ in 2018-19 after his injury, pretty blah even for a SS. Kiner-Falefa is at 77 for three partial big-league seasons. He is a good athlete but unlikely to be an upgrade even over Elvis in decline.
Careful mate, Hugh's prices are Australian $.
Durable players who got early starts to their careers. Good players but who nobody would argue were great, and at some point mid career looked like threats to reach 3000 hits.
Edgar Renteria
Johnny Damon
Nick Markakis
Garret Anderson
Harold Baines
Al Oliver
Bill Buckner
Most of them fall off because not being truly great, if they lose a bit in their 30s they don't fall from great to good or average, they fall from good to not good. The only player of this ilk to actually make it to 3000 hits was Lou Brock.
Then I saw 57 in the column for wins above average. That is most certainly great.
#24 all time, right between Eddie Mathews and Roberto Clemente.
Vada Pinson 1,746 (2,757)
Miggy Cabrera 1,597 (2,856, still active)
Edgar Renteria 1,595 (2,327)
Mickey Mantle 1,537 (2,415)
Roberto Alomar 1,522 (2,724)
Frank Robinson 1,501 (2,943)
Carl Crawford 1,480 (1,931)
Ivan Rodriguez 1,459 (2,844)
Elvis Andrus 1,457 (1,743, still active)
Starlin Castro 1,445 (1,633, still active)
Ron Santo 1,426 (2,254)
Orlando Cepeda 1,423 (2,351)
Ted Simmons 1,426 (2,472)
Cesar Cedeno 1,422 (2,087)
Ruben Sierra 1,421 (2,152)
Jose Altuve 1,419 (1,610, still active)
Andruw Jones 1,408 (1,933)
Mike Trout just finished his age-28 season and has 1,380 hits.
Thing is that at 13 I didn't know what OBP was but I did notice that his Strat cards never had a lot of HR and had more outs than I liked for people batting in front of the power hitters.
There were always better cards at the position. It was easy to see that he was second tier.
Which is basically Sabrmetrics!
See that makes perfect sense as to why you thought "meh". Most people don't have that in their baseball knowledge tool box.
Sorta Beltre. He did it by becoming a much better hitter in his 30s though. He would have kept playing for his glove anyway of course but probably would have fell short of 3,000 hits without the massive improvement as a hitter.
Beltre 19-30: 270 BA, 1700 hits
Beltre 31+: 307 BA, 1466 hits
If he'd gotten the same PT (same ABs) and just maintained that 270 BA, he'd have gotten 1,291 hits and I'm pretty sure he'd have hung on for the extra 9. Had he gone the usual route of a declining BA in his 30s, he probably ends up around 2800 or something.
Yes calm down, I already mentioned the glove which is a way of also acknowledging that he had 45 WAR at a 4.3/650 pace through age 30 and was therefore a very good player who might well have ended up with a HoF career anyway and therefore better than some of the guys in 15. (Through age 28, 1433 hits, between Castro and Santo.)
Andruw Jones only had 500 hits after age 28! If he has just a decent career after that point he's a slam-dunk HOFer.
Counterpoint: Zenon Andrusyshyn kicked and punted in the NFL, USFL, and CFL through his age-39 season.
But he was never in Crawford's category anyway. Andrus has cracked a 300 BA only once and has a career BA of just 274. Through 28, Crawford had 5 seasons over 300, a 296 career. Andrus was close in hits through 28 but only thanks to a 500 PA edge.
As the list in 15 makes pretty clear, Vada Pinson is the leader in this category. He had already declined a bit by 28 even. He wasn't re-writing record books but 302/349/485, 124 OPS+, 1381 hits through 26, 40 WAR in <5000 PA, coming off a 5 WAR season. Then 5400 PA of mediocrity over 10 years. It took him about 500 more PA to get the same number of hits, just 14 more WAR.
I mean, somebody thought Harold Baines was great.
I don't know about that. A lot of Crawford's value was tied up in defensive metrics that have basically negative value. Yeah, he was a better hitter, but he was also a LF. They're very much in the same neighborhood.
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