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Saturday, January 11, 2020

Sources: Kris Bryant, Cubs reach 1-year, $18.6M deal

Third baseman Kris Bryant and the Chicago Cubs have avoided arbitration, settling on a one-year, $18.6 million deal, it was announced Friday.

Bryant, whose name had surfaced in trade rumors this offseason, had a .282 batting average with 31 home runs and 77 RBIs last season. He was eighth in the NL with 108 runs scored and drew enough walks to post a .382 on-base percentage, 16th best in the majors.

He missed the final week of the regular season after spraining his right ankle when he landed awkwardly on a wet first-base bag while trying to beat out a double play.

There also is the matter of a service time grievance against the Cubs that was filed on Bryant’s behalf by the MLBPA. That grievance is expected to be resolved in the next two weeks, sources told ESPN’s Jeff Passan.

Which, of course, means that the story is beginning with this contract, not ending…..

 

QLE Posted: January 11, 2020 at 12:31 AM | 1 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: contracts, cubs, kris bryant

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   1. Walt Davis Posted: January 12, 2020 at 12:38 AM (#5914884)
Bryant and Arenado had similar service time totals by career year, Bryant with 171 days and Arenado with 155 in their rookie years. Kris remains well ahead in raw and surely adjusted dollars

KB 10.9, 12.9, now 18.6
NA 5, 11.8, 17.8

plus Bryant was slipped a nice amount of extra cash in 2016 and 2017. By WAR though, it's Bryant at 25.1 and Arenado at 27.4 entering their 3rd arb season (with 5.6 to come that year). But Bryant was ahead by 6 WAR coming into that first arb year so that money gap is totally justified. Arenado closed most of the gap in that year and, if we adjusted his next two awards for meager inflation, they'd be even closer to Bryant's. Arenado made $26 M in his last arb year as part of his long-term extension.

Somewhat oddly, although he was a full-3 arb guy and had the most WAR of these guys in those years (by an ignorable smidgen), Machado got the least money in years 2 and especially 3. Bregman was in the same full-3 status as Machado and he will get a front-loaded $39 over his 3 arb years so between NA and KB (then he gets 2/$61 which is a lot less than NA or Machado are guaranteed). He's a little ahead of Bryant in WAR entering the first arb year. Donaldson was a super-2 and his awards are a bit behind Arenado's at each year. He leads all of these guys in WAR entering the 3rd arb award at 33.

Non-positional comps of interest are Betts with $57 M as a true-3 (+70 days) ... he also has 42 WAR entering his 3rd arb year so that's easily justified. Lindor got $10.9 as a true-3 (+113 days) although he was about 5 WAR ahead of where Bryant was (and ahead of Bregman barely). He was a bit "disappointing" last year at 4.7 WAR so might only get a raise to about $17 which would be behind only Mookie AFAIK for 2nd arb award.

Salary numbers from b-r although Cots is probably more accurate. I took no account of any signing bonus Bregman or Arenado might have gotten unless it was included in the b-r salaries.

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