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Thursday, December 27, 2012
The 2013 HOF Ballot Collecting Gizmo!
Updated 1:55 ~ 194 Full Ballots ~ (33.9% of vote ~ based on last year)
70.1 - Biggio
60.3 - Piazza
59.8 - Raines
59.3 - Bagwell
59.3 - J. Morris
45.4 - Bonds
44.3 - Clemens
39.2 - Schilling
38.1 - L. Smith
37.6 - Trammell
35.6 - E. Martinez
20.1 - McGriff
18.6 - D. Murphy
16.5 - L. Walker
14.4 - McGwire
13.4 - S. Sosa
12.9 - Raffy
8.8 - Mattingly ———————————
3.1 - Lofton
2.1 - Bernie Williams
1.7 - P. Rose (goofy write-in’s)
0.5 - D. Wells
0.5 - J. Franco
0.5 - S. Alomar Jr.
0.5 - S. Green
Repoz
Posted: December 27, 2012 at 12:08 PM | 832 comment(s)
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Ha. I assume you're referring to LaRussa's propensity for the bottle. But...I can't say I've ever heard of any Veterans' Committee having moral conundrums regarding said clause.
Quite right. I forgot about the 20 year "rule" for the Vets' Committee. I will be very interested to see if that Committee does go Ron Santo on Marvin Miller next year. I almost hope they don't vote him in, because I think it would be a little insulting. I'm still interested to see if they'll at some point elect Steinbrenner or Billy Martin. To me, Billy Martin was every bit as good a manager as Whitey Herzog.
Such BS. If that's the rationale, don't vote. Don't penalize people because you don't have the capacity to evaluate them. Meta-moralizing is worse than moralizing.
And I will say it again--in an election where there is no percentage threshold, "none of the above" is perfectly fine. But there is too much potential havoc to come from allowing such "freedom of expression" in this structure. If you enter into a "professional society" with privileges, you can be made subject to specific rules and regulations...so, I repeat, this is not a "libertarian issue."
Thanks for the reminder about the nine chimps in 1988, SoSH U. This has the potential to be much larger than that, however, and given the climate, the issue needs to be addressed.
We'll just have to see how many blank ballots come in when we see the fully tally.
Gwynn vs. Yount: tons of black ink (and BA) have always attracted the old-school voters. The rest would have voted for him anyway. Chris already covered why Yount's percentage was so low in his HT essay. Gwynn crushes Yount on black ink (57 to 14) and on the Hall of Fame Monitor (279 to 132).
I thought it was Bobby Cox and domestic abuse, but yea, the VC doesn't really care about off-the-field stuff so much.
Totally forgot about that. Ironic since Joe Torre has that anti-domestic abuse foundation.
This is the Simmons who supported Rice, Morris, and John for the HOF while opposing Blyleven, Raines and Trammell?
Maybe Honus Wagner and Jackie Robinson? I suppose Stan Musial can squeak in, too, if we distract Murray Chass long enough during balloting season.
Well, perhaps he feels it's ruined because Morris and John haven't gotten in.
The point is that Deacon White is CLEARLY a hall of famer, and so is Bill Dahlen, among a few others who are still not in.
Who DOES make the HoF with a complete and ironclad application of the morals clause?
Roberto Clemente has a pretty good case.
I've been to the International Swimming Hall of Fame in Ft. Lauderdale, and they do this. There are several East German swimmers enshrined, many of them having large PED disclaimers at the bottom of their...well, there are no actual plaques at this Hall. They have large poster-style flip displays you can comb through instead, one for each inductee.
Personally, I think White was a good and long-overdue HoF choice -- and until they elect Bill Dahlen, Indian Bob Johnson, Sherry Magee, Vern Stephens, and Minnie Minoso, I can see a reason for its continued existence. YMMV.
I'm guessing he's ballparking when McGwire became eligible and it became obvious that the writers were going to impose a steroids blackball. And he's right.
If you go visit the Hall of Fame later this summer, you'll see the plaques for Chick Hafey, Herb Pennock, and Rick Ferrell, but you won't see plaques for Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens and Mike Piazza. What sort of value does the Hall of Fame* hold if it no longer remotely represents an accurate reflection of the best players in baseball history?
*the plaque room
-- MWE
I don't think so personally. I think they would consider no inductees this year to have sent some kind of message about the PED era. Granted, I have a VERY low opinion of the BBWAA as a whole body.
I would agree with him on that.
I will be curious to see how many more (or less) they post than have been collected here.
More like postponed till November.
It's like 18 days late.
I've been saying it for a year now, yes I think they have it in them. It's not a knock against them, they could always rationalize it by telling themselves, whoever (Biggio?) finishes at the top of the list is going to go in eventually, fudging ultimately doesn't hurt(and they could easily rationalize that it helps by removing a name off the ballot)
Isn't that a different Heyman?
And Lou Whitaker was Ted Simmoned
and Ted Simmons was Bobby Griched
and Bobby Griched was Reggie Smithed
and Reggie Smith was Jimmy Wynned(and no one was as screwed over as a guy with 53 war who got zero votes)
(with apologies to Bert Campaneris, Sal Bando, Dick Allen and others who I probably also missed)
Even sillier, since there are already people who won't vote for a guy for the first time, no matter the rule change (If Willie Mays didn't get 100%, who is better? type of arguments)
I know I'm being pedantic, and I'm probably wrong on this, but how is roids a part of the character clause? I see it as part of the integrity clause but having nothing to do with character(other than lack of integrity as a character trait)?
I am curious if anyone's actual ballot differs from the one they wrote about. Nothing would surprise me at this point.
There's another Heyman? I did not know that.
It's like 18 days late.
Or 64 days, if you listen to the Obama Derangement crowd.
-- MWE
Every last one of them, morons.
-- MWE
BBWAA announced it on Twitter.
-- MWE
mlb.com live
Anyone know a good hotel near the Hall of Merit?
There are some great basements available at the bed and breakfasts near by.
70.1 - Biggio
60.3 - Piazza
59.8 - Raines
59.3 - Bagwell
59.3 - J. Morris
Biggio -2, Piazza -2.5, Raines -7, Bagwell even, Morris +8
Unbelievable.
I would agree with that.
But - this is just an utter embarrassment of a debacle for the BBWAA.
68 (70) - Biggio
68 (59) - Morris
60 (59) - Bagwell
58 (60) - Piazza
52 (60) - Raines
48 (38) - Smith
39 (39) - Schilling
38 (44) - Clemens
36 (45) - Bonds
34 (38) - Trammell
36 (36) - E. Martinez
22 (17) - Walker
21 (20) - McGriff
19 (19) - D. Murphy
17 (14) - McGwire
13 (9) - Mattingly
13 (13) - Sosa
9 (13) - Palmeiro
Aaron Sele (!!) gets a vote.
This is a sign.
If I check into a basement, whips and chains had better be supplied.
With apologies to Woody Allen.
Barely any movement for Morris, Bagwell, Raines. Bernie and Lofton off the ballot. Just terrible.
Big drops for Clemens, Bonds, and Raines.
(compared to the gizmo)
Well, their Hall of Fame cases shouldn't have started taking PEDs... unlike Morris, who continues to miss out wholly on his own merits.
Why do you say? He's at 68 with another year.
Like I said earlier, this is a feeble attempt to convince people to come to an event that will honor three guys who died before that war.
Why? You didn't suspect that any of the writers wouldn't vote for Bonds or Clemens? What percent would be not embarrassing, 73%? 100%? Anytime you ask 100 people what "character" or "integrity" are you can expect wildly varying answers.
Morris needed 42 more votes (569 voters, 427 to elect). I can't see any way, with Maddux, Glavine, and Mussina all hitting the ballot in 2014, that he gets them.
6.6 names per ballot.
-- MWE
Because next year features two pitchers that are undeniably better than him, and perceived to be clean, plus all the other holdovers. He needed to get over 70 percent to make it next year. He didn't.
Maddux and Glavine are huge factors, but I can't believe that too many of the voters are going to prioritize a first ballot vote for Mussina over a last ballot vote for Morris. Morris is hanging off the cliff, but there's still a possibility that enough votes will decide to throw him a rope next time around.
Jack Morris got 73% from that group.
Morris will be at best the 6th best starting pitcher on next year's ballot. As bad as BBWAA is, hard to see Morris reaching 75%.....
-- MWE
Oh, Lord, the 12 are Gehrig, Hornsby, and ten guys the Old Timers Committee put in during the war -- Ed Delahanty's been dead 110 years:
"They are BBWAA electees Lou Gehrig (1939) and Rogers Hornsby (1942), along with the entire class of 1945 selected by the Committee on Old Timers: Roger Bresnahan, Dan Brouthers, Fred Clarke, Jimmy Collins, Ed Delahanty, Hugh Duffy, Hughie Jennings, King Kelly, Jim O’Rourke and Wilbert Robinson."
Career All-Star games: Lofton, 6; Williams, 5; Alomar, 6
I think Morris has pretty much capped out his support. I can't imagine there's a voter out there who would think of Morris as any better than the 3rd-best starting pitcher on next year's ballot (Maddux, Glavine) and most people would see him 6th (Clemens, Mussina, Schilling). If people haven't been convinced he's a HOFer yet, I just don't see them becoming convinced when they have to choose between him, Schilling, and Mussina to squeeze onto their last ballot slot.
And they still couldn't get anyone to 75%. They couldn't come to a consensus on anyone.
Morris: +1.1
Bagwell: +3.6
Raines: +3.5
Smith: -2.8
Trammell: -3.2
Martinez: -0.6
Walker: -1.3
McGriff: -3.2
McGwire: -2.6
Murphy: +4.1
Mattingly: -4.6
Williams: -6.3
Palmeiro: -3.8
Silver linings: Bagwell and Raines making more forward movement than Morris, despite being behind him on the ballot. Smith falling back. Walker and Martinez doing relatively well maintaining their vote despite the ballot strength.
72 (59) - Morris
67 (70) - Biggio
60 (59) - Bagwell
57 (60) - Piazza
53 (38) - Smith
48 (60) - Raines
39 (39) - Schilling
36 (36) - E. Martinez
34 (44) - Clemens
31 (45) - Bonds
31 (38) - Trammell
24 (17) - Walker
21 (20) - McGriff
19 (19) - D. Murphy
18 (14) - McGwire
15 (9) - Mattingly
12 (13) - Sosa
7 (13) - Palmeiro
Jack Morris is on the cusp!
I'd call Murphy's +4% a last chance boost, and I could see Morris getting something like that. But it would not take him to 75%. I see Jim Rice's 15th year boost was also 4%.
FTFY
There are a lot of qualified candidates but no overwhelmingly qualified candidates except for the two who are tarred by the PED brush. I have to think that at least half of the electorate imposed some PED penalty, with a good-sized percentage of that group committed to not voting for anyone with a potential taint, no matter how feeble the evidence and remote the possibility.
Next year there should be a consensus on Maddux, if no one else. Maddux should give us an idea of the size of the "no one from the steroid era" group.
-- MWE
There's a lot of Irish among the Old Timers. Maybe the Irish will go?
In his defense, it sounds like he already has better plans for the weekend.
I'm not talking about undeniable to us, but even to a nitwit like Jon Heyman*. The kind of guy who would put Morris on a ballot but not Schilling. Even that guy knows Morris isn't as good as Maddux or Glavine.
Seeing as he was on the verge of tears on MLB talking about Jack coming up short, I'm wondering if he just has a fetish for guys with names that end with the -orus sound).
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