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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Sunday, May 16, 2021The Detroit Tigers Should Be Better Than This By Now
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F)
Posted: May 16, 2021 at 09:52 PM | 9 comment(s)
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1. Walks Clog Up the Bases Posted: May 16, 2021 at 10:15 PM (#6019064)Comical errors, general incompetence. They weren’t just putting guys out there who played hard but weren’t that good. They were kind of hilarious, balls lost in the sun, silly throwing mistakes
I doubt it will last, but small victories I guess.
Yeah, Matt Manning is getting torched in AAA, Skubal is getting torched in MLB, and Casey Mize is mediocre.
Even as sorry as the Cubs were when Theo took over, the Tigers might have been worse. They had no 1st round picks in 2011 and 2012. Their last 10 1st round picks (which includes some supplemental) have combined for about 3 WAR, all of it and more from reliever Corey Knebel (a #39 pick who I believe did most of his work elsewhere). Castellanos (11 WAR, 2010) is the only decent player they have drafted in the 1st round since Porcello in 2007.
Apparently the minors are nuts so far after the layoff but Spencer Torkelson is currently putting up a 146/321/171 line. If you are relying on a 20% BB rate (with a >30% K rate) to generate offense at A+ ...
The Cubs really got only one reward for sucking -- Kris Bryant. Schwarber and Happ have had their moments but were nothing special. The Cubs likely don't win the WS or have that nice run at/near the top of the ALC without Bryant but Bryant clearly is not close to the difference between a 65-win team and a 95-win team.
The Astros hit the jackpot twice with Correa and Bregman -- that was out of 3 #1s, a #2 and a #5 which is an awful lot of losses. (Kyle Tucker might end up being good too.) Still, the 2017-19 Astros averaged 104 wins suggesting they were about a 94-win team without those two guys.
High draft picks are great but, even if things break right, a couple of 100-loss seasons only add about 10 wins per season for 4-5 seasons down the road. You still need to figure out how to get to 85-90 wins without those guys.
This is a really important point. Losing 100+ games didn't guarantee the Astros anything, nor will it for other teams. Organizations have to make a great many good decisions, and be lucky, to go from 100-loss seasons to 90+ win seasons in just a few years.
Mize seems to be coming around. He had a nice start against the Mariners (7.2 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 7 K) and he's now had four "quality starts" in a row.
He hasn't been dominant (only 34 K in 46.1 IP) and he still needs to cut his walks, but he seems to be making progress. He looks like he could at least become a solid #2 or #3 starter. Maybe that's not what you hope for from a #1 overall pick, but it's better than mediocre.
In other news, This Pandemic Should Be Over With By Now and It Would be Nice to Have a President Who Wasn't An A$$hole Nor a Walking Corpse
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