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Friday, October 18, 2019

The hit-by-pitch god

In the latest edition of SB Nation’s “Dorktown,” Jon Bois and Alex Rubenstein statistically rhapsodize on the career of “an otherwise normal-seeming person, who, to an extent baseball has never before seen, willingly uses his own body as a human baseball bat”—Brandon Guyer. Don’t miss the graphic around 8:30 and stay for the end, with bonus videos of players failing at sliding and at running into Albert Belle.

sotapop Posted: October 18, 2019 at 02:50 PM | 11 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: brandon guyer, hbpgod, hit by pitch, ouch, the fourth true outcome

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   1. Rally Posted: October 18, 2019 at 07:42 PM (#5891773)
Guyer is one. Also check out Tim Locastro
   2. Der-K: at 10% emotional investment Posted: October 18, 2019 at 07:44 PM (#5891775)
Dietrich (covered here before) isn't far behind Guyer.
   3. bbmck Posted: October 18, 2019 at 08:07 PM (#5891783)
12 players with at least 75 HBP and one HBP per 30 PA ranked by fewest PA per HBP:

17.5 Brandon Guyer 2011-18 100 OPS+
19.7 Hughie Jennings 1891-18 118 OPS+
20.7 Derek Dietrich 2013-19 108 OPS+
25.0 FP Santangelo 1995-01 89 OPS+
25.3 Ron Hunt 1963-74 105 OPS+
25.6 Carlos Quentin 2006-14 120 OPS+

25.7 Craig Wilson 2001-07 113 OPS+
26.3 Dan McGann 1896-08 117 OPS+
26.7 Tommy Tucker 1887-99 103 OPS+
28.6 Curt Welch 1884-93 108 OPS+
29.0 Jason LaRue 1999-10 84 OPS+
29.8 Reed Johnson 2003-15 94 OPS+

Most HBP with at least 1 per 20 PA: Hughie 287, Guyer 85, Mike Kincade 1998-03 100 OPS+ and 28 HBP, Tim Locastro 2017-19 82 OPS+ and 23 HBP, Chance Sisco 2017-19 84 OPS+ and 21 HBP
   4. SoSH U at work Posted: October 18, 2019 at 10:32 PM (#5891816)
A lot of these guys seem to tail off after really promising HBP starts (Quentin, Reed Johnson, possibly Guyer has begun his slide). I'm guessing that pitchers eventually learn that if you miss too far in against one of them, the hitter will just take the HBP and thus pitchers begin working away more frequently.

My favorite HBP fact was Shane Victorino's AL-leading 18 in 2013. Virtually all of them were in the second half of the season, as that was the year he gave up switch hitting. The combination of standing right on top of the plate and unfamiliarity hitting righthanders as a RHB resulted in a huge spike.

   5. depletion Posted: October 19, 2019 at 07:08 AM (#5891852)
Ron Hunt's 1968 through 1974 seasons laughs derisively. A pretty good ballplayer as well as the piñata of the 20th century.
   6. McCoy Posted: October 19, 2019 at 11:15 AM (#5891864)
You got to think pitchers didn’t like Hughie back in the day.
   7. Howie Menckel Posted: October 19, 2019 at 11:27 AM (#5891867)
Ee-yah
   8. John DiFool2 Posted: October 19, 2019 at 02:30 PM (#5891912)
Don Baylor is missing from #3, should slot in at 10th w/ 28.4%.

Oh, not %, the reciprocal (which is 35:1). Led the league tho 8 times.
   9. Der-K: at 10% emotional investment Posted: October 19, 2019 at 02:45 PM (#5891920)
Hunt: yes and no. I mean he got more playing time, which ultimately is what matters for these guys, did it in a lower HBP era (as I recall - I should fact check this), and developed this skill later in his career (see SoSH’s #4) but his HBP rate for that period is still behind Guyer and Jennings.
   10. SoSH U at work Posted: October 19, 2019 at 03:12 PM (#5891928)
Hunt: yes and no. I mean he got more playing time, which ultimately is what matters for these guys, did it in a lower HBP era (as I recall - I should fact check this), and developed this skill later in his career (see SoSH’s #4) but his HBP rate for that period is still behind Guyer and Jennings.


Yeah, Hunt's trajectory (along with the Earl Webb-like 1971 season) are what stand out about him. He was a pretty decent HBP guy, but then he became a ball magnet mid-career. That's so unusual.
   11. The Duke Posted: October 20, 2019 at 08:42 PM (#5892383)
I don’t understand why teams don’t instruct their batters to crowd the plate late in close games. This is a great way to get base runners

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