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Thursday, May 20, 2021

The Most Disappointing Teams In MLB So Far

But when it comes to missed expectations this season, let’s be honest: Nobody is really close to Minnesota. So what the heck happened in the Twin Cities?

It might be tempting to point to the Twins’ reduced power output and conclude that a team so reliant on the long ball (51 percent of Minnesota’s runs in 2019 and 2020 came via homers) will naturally struggle if that power starts to fade. And it’s true that Twins hitters have been going deep less and less: Minnesota has gone from a home run on 4.8 percent of plate appearances in 2019 to 3.6 percent in 2021.

The problem with that explanation is that the league as a whole has experienced a big power drain since the lively ball days of 2019, with reductions in home runs per game (down 18 percent), slugging percentage (down 10 percent) and isolated power (down 14 percent) across the sport over the past two seasons….

Instead, the Twins’ biggest offensive problem has simply been poor timing. According to FanGraphs, they are the worst clutch-hitting team in the league, producing 2.9 fewer wins than we’d expect from their context-neutral stats simply by underperforming in high-leverage situations. This includes everything from Minnesota’s comparatively anemic .648 OPS with runners in scoring position and two outs (down 20 percent from their overall norm) to the team’s .668 mark late in close games (down 16 percent). With a chance to turn the tide in big moments, the Twins have done themselves no favors at the plate.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: May 20, 2021 at 10:39 PM | 17 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: twins

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   1. The Duke Posted: May 20, 2021 at 11:40 PM (#6020026)
How could anyone have high enough expectations of the Angels to be disappointed? Could any team that handled the Pujols situation in the way they did be expected to be good?

The Twins and the Braves are the only two that have truly underperformed.
   2. Rally Posted: May 21, 2021 at 11:18 AM (#6020050)
How could anyone have high enough expectations of the Angels to be disappointed?


No matter how many years they do it, it is still hard to reckon that a team that has Trout, Rendon, and Ohtani can stay so craptastic everywhere else to be this bad.
   3. Ziggy: social distancing since 1980 Posted: May 21, 2021 at 11:36 AM (#6020051)
Most disappointing team in MLB? Not the Giants at least. How the **** is that happening?
   4. phredbird Posted: May 21, 2021 at 12:20 PM (#6020057)

i know it comes off as fanboy entitlement, but the cardinals keep disappointing me.

i admit my expectation level is high. with the resources they have and the org they are supposed to have, i expect them to be in the NLCS / WS year in and year out, yknow, like a yankees dynasty or something and it never happens.


   5. Tom Nawrocki Posted: May 21, 2021 at 12:36 PM (#6020059)
I sincerely hope my team gets to the point where they're in first place by three games, and I'm disappointed in their season.
   6. Starring Bradley Scotchman as RMc Posted: May 21, 2021 at 01:31 PM (#6020079)
The Cardinals haven't had a disappointing season since 2007, when they were defending WS champs but slipped to 78-84...which is also their last losing season to date. (Fun facts: the Cards haven't had back-to-back losing seasons since the 90s, or three losing seasons in a row since the 50s!)
   7. Dillon Gee Escape Plan Posted: May 21, 2021 at 01:31 PM (#6020080)
Red Sox. I was really expecting 162-0.
   8. What did Billy Ripken have against ElRoy Face? Posted: May 21, 2021 at 01:41 PM (#6020085)
Wow. The Rockies are 2-17 on the road. That's something.
   9. Rally Posted: May 21, 2021 at 02:07 PM (#6020093)
But expected, after they not only traded Arenado but still paid 100% of his 2021 salary.
   10. HGM Posted: May 21, 2021 at 02:53 PM (#6020096)
i know it comes off as fanboy entitlement, but the cardinals keep disappointing me.

i admit my expectation level is high. with the resources they have and the org they are supposed to have, i expect them to be in the NLCS / WS year in and year out, yknow, like a yankees dynasty or something and it never happens.

bruh
   11. Pat Rapper's Delight (as quoted on MLB Network) Posted: May 21, 2021 at 03:02 PM (#6020100)
On the flip side, the Rangers have surprised me so far this season. Over the winter, I was touting them as a 110-loss team, but they're currently on a pace to lose only 95 games. They are 1-9 in their last 10 though, giving them plenty of time to wind up where I always thought they would.
   12. Walt Davis Posted: May 21, 2021 at 07:13 PM (#6020156)
The Twins pitching has been terrible. Or if you prefer, their combo of pitching, defense and luck has produced an atrocious result of 5.28 R/G. That's still only 2nd to the Angels 5.45 but is 0.37 worse than the #3 AL team and 0.88 worse than average. Three SP have an ERA+ of 75 or worse, only two relievers are getting acceptable results, leading to a 82 team ERA+.

The early Cubs didn't so much disappoint as satisfy my pessimism. But they've been a decent, meh team since then. Weirdly their last 6 losses have been by 1 run although a couple of those were "cheap" ones where they scored a few in the 9th to make it close. Anyway, an offense that a couple of weeks ago had everybody hitting 150 is now a lineup where almost everybody has an OPS+ between 100 and 184 (Bryant) -- even Joc Pederson. Only Heyward (IL) and Bote (barely) are under 200 BA and the position players overall have gotten their BA up to 245. Now 4th in R/G. The rotation has been a complete mess (top ERA+ is 86) but the bullpen has been surprisingly good.
   13. smileyy Posted: May 22, 2021 at 07:39 PM (#6020312)
I did not realize that Seattle was *actually* hitting under .200
   14. cardsfanboy Posted: May 22, 2021 at 08:01 PM (#6020314)

i know it comes off as fanboy entitlement, but the cardinals keep disappointing me.

i admit my expectation level is high. with the resources they have and the org they are supposed to have, i expect them to be in the NLCS / WS year in and year out, yknow, like a yankees dynasty or something and it never happens.


Sorry, but considering that the Cardinals have played something like 15 games in the past 15 years that didn't have playoff implications, disappointing is a stretch. And considering that this article is about the current season, a season in which as of this moment(as of yesterday) the Cardinals have the largest lead in MLB, when it was considered that the division was going to be the tightest in baseball, surely indicates that the Cardinals are not currently a disappointment.
   15. gef the talking mongoose, peppery hostile Posted: May 23, 2021 at 09:21 PM (#6020491)
I did not realize that Seattle was *actually* hitting under .200


So you thought they were *figuratively* hitting under .200? *Metaphorically*, maybe?

How odd.
   16. the Hugh Jorgan returns Posted: May 23, 2021 at 10:13 PM (#6020506)
i know it comes off as fanboy entitlement, but the cardinals keep disappointing me.

i admit my expectation level is high. with the resources they have and the org they are supposed to have, i expect them to be in the NLCS / WS year in and year out, yknow, like a yankees dynasty or something and it never happens.


Is this is the douchiest post of the past 7 days or the entire month?
   17. TomH Posted: May 24, 2021 at 09:12 AM (#6020546)
Cross-posting seemingly relevant info from another thread;

Is the Cardinals W-L record the opposite of disappointing? Sure.
Would a lot of teams be happy with the same ERA as the Cardinals staff, 3.81, 11th out of 30 teams? Sure.

But... their underlying stats are a lot less happy.
Only +11 on runs scored/allowed shows they have won a ton of close games.

But more so, their ERA is just not sustainable given their KOs and BBs. They are LAST in most walks allowed, and near last in strikeouts. How can they have the 4th best opponents batting average, unless they have a team full of Ozzie Smiths.

To quote Princess Bride, Get used to disappointment. It's coming.

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