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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Friday, August 13, 2021The Nationals’ deadline fire sale unfolded in a matter of days. But it was years in the making.
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F)
Posted: August 13, 2021 at 03:25 PM | 12 comment(s)
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Tags: max scherzer, nationals, trea turner |
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1. Walt Davis Posted: August 13, 2021 at 06:02 PM (#6034305)If I felt skittish about Lindor, I'd feel doubly skittish about Turner. But is that fair to Turner? He's been about a half-season less durable for 2017-21 but he has the same OPS+ and just 2 fewer WAR (so about 1 of those is the PT difference). Turner is a year older, not as good a defender but apparently a bit better baserunner. It's really pretty close and, if anything, Turner's bat is on the way up while Lindor's is on the way down. The defensive difference probably means it's more likely Turner will have to move off SS in his early 30s but his bat may have a better chance of carrying 3B or wherever. I wouldn't have thought it coming into the season but Turner probably does "deserve" an extension along the lines of 9/$225 (that includes the last arb year).
Anyway, Uncle Walt's Official SS Opinion-meter
Most talented: Tatis and Correa. Tatis has had trouble staying healthy, Correa has in the past but has been healthy for 2020-21 so far.
Most talented with durability: Lindor
Might be the best if not for bad defensive ratings: Bogaerts
Awfully darn good and durable, better than I think: Story, Turner
Damn good but with obvious concerns: Baez, Seager, Anderson
Given Lindor, X, Tatis and Anderson are all tied up ... I'd be willing to gamble on Correa, would be willing to go 7-8 years on Turner, I still don't really trust Story.
That Anderson buyout is working great for the White Sox. <$10 M next year then options at $13 and $14 then he can go FA at 32 which is a good time for a team to walk away or, if they do want him longer-term, those two options give them a lot of leverage in adding another 3 years to the deal this or next offseason.
I like turner quite a bit more because his batting is getting better. Baez - I can’t get excited about him. He seems like all hat and no cattle to me. I really like Anderson.
Baez's defensive cattle are for real, the power cattle are for real, his plate discipline doesn't even wear a hat and that could bring his productive career to a screeching halt once the bat speed drops a smidgen. But Anderson is pretty much the same time bomb. He doesn't walk either, even less often than Javy. He does make a lot more contact but plays much worse defense. Javy's got a very comfy career WAR lead but Anderson has clearly been better for 2020-21. Same baseball age. I don't expect Javy to get a super-contract but, from the team's value/$ perspective, he's not gonna beat Anderson at 3/$37.
Understandable considering how much money it was. But I didn’t expect they’d start regretting it in April.
#ITSALIVE
When I see this, my first thought is opposing pitching quality - something that is (a) random, and (b) constant for the team as a whole. Other team-constant factors include weather and equipment, but that would also affect the opposition.
Fair issues to raise. These guys have all been really crappy though.
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