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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Tuesday, June 07, 2022The next MLB manager on the hot seat — and the ones getting warmer — after Joe Girardi firing
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F)
Posted: June 07, 2022 at 02:28 PM | 22 comment(s)
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Tags: davey martinez, don mattingly, joe maddon, mike matheny |
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1. DL from MN Posted: June 07, 2022 at 04:10 PM (#6080429)Now that Maddon's out, clearly the answer is Girardi to the Angels, and Maddon to the Phillies.
It is quite sad to see a team with the money and stars be so unable to add whatever they need to win. Reminds me of the Jays of the early 00's with Carlos Delgado, Roy Halladay, and Vernon Wells (among others) but unable to win 90 in a season, then letting Delgado leave as a free agent (7.6 WAR after leaving), Wells they dumped (-0.2 WAR post leaving), Halladay they traded (perfect game, playoff no-hitter, Cy Young award, 2nd in Cy voting, all in his first 2 years away then injuries and done). Part of me wonders when the Angels will decide to try to dump Trout and Ohtani - hopefully not but one can't help but wonder. I prefer stars to stay with teams as that is better for baseball imo. I hated having George Brett beat my Jays but couldn't imagine him ever playing for anyone but KC back in the 80's. Same for Ripken with the O's for example. I hated seeing Pujols as an Angel, among others moving.
They don't have a bad team at all.
Even Votto's looked more like the Votto of old since coming off the IL. .298/.420/.719 with 7 doubles, 1 triple and 5 HR in 69 PA. He's brought his OPS up from .413 to .729.
He's not getting attention nationally, but locally there are some very vocally loud people calling for his head. But realistically, he's not in danger as long as Jerry is alive.
current and career OPS+s
Almora 101 82
Drury 121 87
Reynolds 101 75 (already waived once this year)
Farmer 105 84
Those guys are 28, 29, 31 and 31 so no reason to believe they've found some new level of production. Votto (in terms of overall) and Aquino are the only guys we might expect to hit better than they are (Aquino could hardly be worse). The bench is abysmal so even with those over-performances, the team OPS+ is 84 and there's no reason to expect a substantial improvement.
The pitching staff also looks poor. Mahle's a better pitcher than that, Greene should improve some with experience but Castillo is pretty likely to get traded. Greene's only 22, threw just 106 innings last year, none officially in 2020 although I assume he was at their facility and he missed all of 2019 ... Will the Reds shut him down come Aug/Sept? Only two relievers are having a good season. Jeff Hoffman might be the latest struggling starter to find success in the pen; Alexis Diaz is yet another guy who K'd 13/9 in the minors. With 28 and 25 IP respectively at 1/3 of the season, the Reds are leaning a bit too heavily on those guys.
All told there are only 5-6 guys you'd want on your roster if you were a competing team. That's probably more than the Cubs and Pirates so I won't be surprised if the Reds pass those two ... but the 23-33 Cubs are actually carrying a 102 OPS+ and a 98 ERA+. Both the Reds and Cubs are about league average in scoring but that's largely park factor in the Reds case while the Cubs offensive numbers and solid run differential are still heavily affected by 21-0, 9-0 and 7-0 wins over the Pirates. Both, along with the Pirates, are among the worst in runs allowed.
Cubs v Reds 2-2
Cubs v Pitt 4-5
Reds v Pitt 4-3
Naturally, the Pirates are 5-1 against the Dodgers but 0-6 against the Brewers. The Reds are 0-4 against the Dodgers and 0-6 vs the Padres. The best the Cubs can claim is 5-5 against the Brewers but they haven't been crushed by anybody yet (0-3 against Dodgers). Three pretty equally crappy teams and the fate of each largely boils down to whose AAAA players continue to surprise and who trades away the most productive players.
I thought the D-backs had a good team last year. Still do. They were beset by underperformance and injury. Plus they played in a division with three 100 wins teams (on average ). This years performance with largely the same team is more representative of where I thought they were.
BTW, the Reds have been proven right on Miley. He was hurt, they knew it, and they let him go instead of being 10% of their payroll. The cubs also made a good move picking him up. They have more money to spend and he still might given them half a season
Reds have ROY 2B India on the shelf and three hot prospects at MI. Farmer and Drury would be decent backups all over.
but I agree that they trade Castillo, and the bullpen is a dumpster fire. so I wouldn't get too excited.
I don't want to be gratuitously mean-spirited, but they had the most losses in the NL in like 60 years so if you think they were a good team, you might want to see a doctor.
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