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Monday, August 12, 2019

The Orioles pulled off an astronomical upset over the Astros

The Houston Astros are a very good baseball team. The Baltimore Orioles are ... not a very good baseball team.

Still, over the course of a 162-game season, every blind squirrel finds an acorn. And even the Orioles (39-78) can beat the Astros (77-41). Sunday’s comeback win by the Orioles marked one of the biggest upsets in MLB history

According to ESPN, the Orioles were listed as +420 underdogs by some sportsbooks. Some of it might have had to do with Houston’s 23-3 rout on Saturday and the fact that ace Justin Verlander was starting for the Astros.

The next sound you hear is that of a group of bookies trying to welsh on their debts.

 

QLE Posted: August 12, 2019 at 08:18 AM | 10 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: astros, gambling, odds, orioles

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   1. "RMc", the superbatsman Posted: August 12, 2019 at 11:13 AM (#5870528)
The 1899 Cleveland Spiders (20-134) beat the second-place Boston Braves (95-57) three times that year. What were the odds of that happening?

Going even further back, the 1872 Brooklyn Eckfords (3-26) got one of their wins over the second-place Baltimore Orioles (35-19)...a 10-1 rout, no less.
   2. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: August 12, 2019 at 12:39 PM (#5870571)
ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE!!!!!!!!!!
   3. gef, talking mongoose & vexatious litigant Posted: August 12, 2019 at 12:44 PM (#5870575)
The 1899 Cleveland Spiders (20-134) beat the second-place Boston Braves (95-57) three times that year. What were the odds of that happening?


Especially since Hal Chase wasn't yet on the scene ...
   4. Pat Rapper's Delight (as quoted on MLB Network) Posted: August 12, 2019 at 01:39 PM (#5870604)
It's the Oriole Way: "Momentum is the next day's starting pitcher." -- Earl Weaver.
   5. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: August 12, 2019 at 01:46 PM (#5870607)
+420 underdogs

+420 means bet 100 to win 420. That's like 4.5:1, minus the vig. That's not anywhere close to astronomical.
   6. Yonder Alonso in misguided trousers (cardinal) Posted: August 12, 2019 at 05:44 PM (#5870682)
Coming back from 20 runs behind on Saturday would have been astronomical. Coming back from 2 runs behind on Sunday, not so much.
   7. Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: August 12, 2019 at 06:42 PM (#5870690)
Holy hyperbole Batman!
   8. Bote Man Posted: August 12, 2019 at 07:05 PM (#5870698)
Where is Downtown Bookie when you really need him???
   9. AuntBea calls himself Sky Panther Posted: August 12, 2019 at 07:45 PM (#5870721)
That's like 4.5:1, minus the vig. That's not anywhere close to astronomical.
Roughly the ratio of the earth's diameter to the moon. It doesn't get more astronomical than that.
   10. Hank Gillette Posted: August 12, 2019 at 11:16 PM (#5870813)
That's like 4.5:1, minus the vig. That's not anywhere close to astronomical.


I think it is pretty high, when the odds for a single game even at the extremes is probably closer to 70:30.

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