Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Wednesday, July 07, 2021

The Rockies Have Their Worst Coors Field Hangover Yet

Remember that 31-17 record in home contests? Well, on the road, Colorado is just 6-32. That’s on pace for the worst road record in modern history, a staggering 488 (!) points of winning percentage worse than the Rockies’ success rate at home. Naturally, most teams win more at home than on the road, but a gap this large is historic. Pending the inclusion of data from the Negro Leagues, the Rockies are tracking for the most Jekyll-and-Hyde home-road split in winning percentage out of any MLB team since 1901….

A huge differential in home-versus-away record isn’t necessarily a bad thing—provided you can win a ton at home to offset all those losses on the road. But as is clear in the chart above, the culprit for Colorado’s big splits is far more often a poor road record (relative to the average team) than an excellent home record. In the typical Rockies season since 1993, their home winning percentage is just 3 points better than the average team, but their road winning percentage is 68 points worse.

So why does this keep happening to the Rockies again and again? It’s a complex problem to unpack because it cuts to the heart of park effects and other core tools in the sabermetric arsenal. Clearly, Colorado has to deal with a unique situation when it comes to its home park. The thin air of Denver makes it easier to hit the ball farther, which as a general rule helps hitters and hurts pitchers. Making matters even worse for high-altitude hurlers, it also reduces the movement on breaking pitches. But if park factors are properly calibrated, we can theoretically account for this by adjusting the statistics of players when they play games at Coors Field. And in home games this year, the Rockies appear to be a competent team even after correcting for home-field and park effects.

 

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: July 07, 2021 at 07:06 PM | 2 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: rockies

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Tom Nawrocki Posted: July 08, 2021 at 11:02 AM (#6028249)
The most remarkable thing about this Rockies team is how much better the pitching staff is at Coors than it is on the road. They have a 4.10 ERA at home, and a 5.60 ERA on the road.

There's also a dramatic split between the starters (4.29 ERA overall) and the bullpen (5.48). The starters are working on a string of 14 straight starts where they've allowed three runs or less. Sure, a few of those are just five-inning starts, but if you've followed the Rockies for any length of time, that's pretty remarkable. The starters always keep the team in the game.

Unfortunately, the starting rotation is the only positive element on the whole team.
   2. Ron J Posted: July 08, 2021 at 11:35 AM (#6028250)
#1 Well Brendan Rodgers might be turning into a player. It's something that you can at least be hopeful about.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Dynasty League Baseball

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
BarrysLazyBoy
for his generous support.

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogMiami Marlins' Richard Bleier only pitcher since 1900 with 3 balks in same at-bat, gets tossed vs. Mets
(37 - 12:48am, Sep 29)
Last: The Gary DiSarcina Fan Club (JAHV)

NewsblogNew York Yankees star Aaron Judge hits 61st home run of season, tying Roger Maris' mark
(3 - 12:08am, Sep 29)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogJapan's affinity for Los Angeles Angels star Shohei Ohtani examined in 'Searching for Ohtani'
(4 - 12:06am, Sep 29)
Last: What did Billy Ripken have against ElRoy Face?

NewsblogWhy Major League Baseball needs to do a better job of appreciating regular season greatness
(21 - 11:23pm, Sep 28)
Last: cardsfanboy

NewsblogOMNICHATTER for the week of September 26 - October 5, 2022
(95 - 11:18pm, Sep 28)
Last: The Yankee Clapper

NewsblogSoto, Shmoto: Joey Meneses Is Washington’s Pleasant Surprise
(3 - 10:48pm, Sep 28)
Last: Howie Menckel

NewsblogBill James: How Reliable are Won-Lost Records, Part I
(31 - 10:29pm, Sep 28)
Last: Born1951

Newsblog2022-23 Preseason NBA thread
(304 - 8:08pm, Sep 28)
Last: 57i66135 is a hard word for me.

NewsblogThe difficult postseason decision Mets face
(23 - 4:39pm, Sep 28)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogBarry Bonds Reveals How Close He Was to Joining Yankees
(8 - 4:28pm, Sep 28)
Last: SoSH U at work

NewsblogPirates add Miguel Andújar after Yankees designate former Rookie of the Year runner-up for assignment
(13 - 3:54pm, Sep 28)
Last: The Yankee Clapper

NewsblogYankees’ threat of sitting Aaron Judge finally ended long rain delay with Red Sox
(23 - 2:22pm, Sep 28)
Last: Never Give an Inge (Dave)

NewsblogOT Soccer Thread - European Leages Return
(265 - 1:03pm, Sep 28)
Last: SoSH U at work

NewsblogThe Official Mets Fan Self-Immolation Thread
(986 - 11:19am, Sep 28)
Last: bobm

NewsblogOT: Wrestling Thread November 2014
(2533 - 11:12am, Sep 28)
Last: 57i66135 is a hard word for me.

Page rendered in 0.5506 seconds
45 querie(s) executed