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Friday, July 28, 2023

Site Outage Postponed

I have way too many things that still need to be accomplished before migrating the server. I’m going to keep plugging and will update when I’m ready to move the site.

UPDATE: Sorry, I have to push back the update until next Monday. Home was far too busy this past week. Things get back to normal tomorrow. Hopefully the extra time will help shorten the outage.

BBTF.org will be offline starting Tuesday, August 8th at 9 AM EDT for a much-needed server migration and backend updates. The ETA to be back online is TBD. I will provide updates on Twitter

Thanks for your patience.

jimfurtado Posted: July 28, 2023 at 09:23 AM | 105 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: site news

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   1. The Duke Posted: July 31, 2023 at 06:00 PM (#6137777)
Thanks Jim. I really enjoy this place. Is there anything any of us can do to help in anyway. I'd be happy to pitch in
   2. the Hugh Jorgan returns Posted: July 31, 2023 at 07:11 PM (#6137784)
Great to hear. Let's hope you can get 'ol Betsy into the garage before the wheels fall off. Well they did recently but it looks like some glue and sticky(scotch for Americans?) tape has it functioning until then.

   3. base ball chick Posted: July 31, 2023 at 08:19 PM (#6137789)
thank you Jim

I love this place. I cain't quit it
   4. Brian White Posted: July 31, 2023 at 11:39 PM (#6137802)
This place is coming up on 20 years since registration began (and however many years of "Its a trap!" and endless Mike Piazza jokes before that). I'm glad this place has been a little part of my life for multiple decades, so thanks, Jim.
   5. Howie Menckel Posted: August 01, 2023 at 12:36 AM (#6137803)
yes,
I was in on the BBTF HOM founding I think in 2002 (which is all Joe Dimino, really) and our first vote was in 2003.

all I ask is that someone be an administrator who can avoid whatever expirations make the site disappear for a week. alas, it ain't me, babe.

but much respect for Jim for all his efforts over the past two decades. the recent glitches very much pale in comparison.
   6. the Hugh Jorgan returns Posted: August 01, 2023 at 12:48 AM (#6137805)
however many years of "Its a trap!" and endless Mike Piazza jokes before that


My fav, especially with the trading deadline looming, has always been "Alfonso Soriano is available..." I chuckled at that about 1000 times over the years.
   7. Walt Davis Posted: August 01, 2023 at 05:19 AM (#6137808)
I chuckled at that about 1000 times over the years.

Problem being McCoy was posting that about 1000 times a week. :-)

Me ... not addicted to the place at all. :-)
   8. Harmon "Thread Killer" Microbrew Posted: August 01, 2023 at 05:45 PM (#6137842)
My account says I joined in May 2004 but I feel like I have been posting here longer . . .

Did we need to create accounts at that point, even though we had been posting previously? Did it have something to do with preventing posters from using names of actual people ("Barry Bonds", etc.)?
   9. Harmon "Thread Killer" Microbrew Posted: August 01, 2023 at 05:50 PM (#6137845)
To answer my own question, I see the famous Colin Farrell/tina thread was from 2003 and I was here then.

   10. Infinite Yost (Voxter) Posted: August 01, 2023 at 06:35 PM (#6137848)
I really did a quick intake of breath when I saw the headline. Glad to see it's not a permanent outage.

I started posting here when I was 20. Now I'm 43. Jesus, that's well more than half my life.
   11. Pat Rapper's Delight (as quoted on MLB Network) Posted: August 01, 2023 at 09:27 PM (#6137862)
My fav, especially with the trading deadline looming, has always been "Alfonso Soriano is available..."

And Mike Crudale.
   12. Pat Rapper's Delight (as quoted on MLB Network) Posted: August 01, 2023 at 09:35 PM (#6137864)
My account says I joined in May 2004 but I feel like I have been posting here longer . . .

I was living in Irvine, CA, the summer of 2002 on a work assignment and distinctly remember Game Chattering here from my apartment the last week of the job before returning home as the Angels were bouncing the Yankees, so the site was already well established by then. I haven't been back for an extended stay since then, so blame me for the Angels' problems winning with both Trout and Ohtani.
   13. The Yankee Clapper Posted: August 01, 2023 at 10:22 PM (#6137873)
all I ask is that someone be an administrator who can avoid whatever expirations make the site disappear for a week.
The site needs more than a server migration and backend updates, or even an official certificate renewal officer. The article submission process has been so unreliable for so long that most of us have simply stopped submitting articles that are seldom posted. A few folks apparently have ‘keys’ that allow them to green light their own submissions, but lack either the authority or inclination to do the same for other submissions. That shouldn’t be hard to fix. This site was at its best when there was a greater volume & variety in the articles posted. It may never be that again given the migration to other platforms, but it would be better if more people could submit more articles. Maybe it won’t draw much of a new audience, but perhaps some who have reduced their involvement or disappeared might become more active.

The continued presence of the 2014 Game Chatters on the home page should be an embarrassment.
   14. NaOH Posted: August 01, 2023 at 10:47 PM (#6137880)
A few folks apparently have ‘keys’ that allow them to green light their own submissions, but lack either the authority or inclination to do the same for other submissions. That shouldn’t be hard to fix. This site was at its best when there was a greater volume & variety in the articles posted.

I don't remember who noted this, but there is a workaround for the submission shortcomings. Basically, submit an article, then comment on the new submission so it gets linked in the sidebar. How? Note the URL format for articles here. For example, this article:

https://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/newsstand/discussion/the_site_will_be_offline_starting_monday_july_31st_at_9_am

So if an article is submitted for a piece titled, "Orioles Headed to First World Since 1983" then following submission go to

https://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/newsstand/discussion/orioles_headed_to_first_world_since_1983

and post a comment so the article shows up in the sidebar.

Should we have to do this? No. Is it a little annoying? Sure. Better than nothing? I think so.
   15. Howie Menckel Posted: August 01, 2023 at 11:14 PM (#6137886)
thanks, truly.

now, did you lose me at "workaround?"

yes. but that's not your fault.
   16. Stevey Posted: August 02, 2023 at 12:29 PM (#6137907)
alas, it ain't me, babe.


Someone should dedicate time and resources to make my life better. Someone other than me that is.
   17. Howie Menckel Posted: August 02, 2023 at 12:40 PM (#6137908)
Someone should dedicate time and resources to make my life better. Someone other than me that is.

Someone should not litter a thread with such an utterly stupid comment.

if I knew how to do it, I would.
   18. villageidiom Posted: August 02, 2023 at 01:36 PM (#6137909)
The article submission process has been so unreliable for so long that most of us have simply stopped submitting articles that are seldom posted. A few folks apparently have ‘keys’ that allow them to green light their own submissions, but lack either the authority or inclination to do the same for other submissions. That shouldn’t be hard to fix.
Sounds like YC is volunteering.

The basic criticism is valid. The challenge is that with a limited number of volunteers the reliability of the submission approval process is hurt when any one of them has other commitments that interfere with their volunteerism. I know in the past year both Jose and I have had non-BTF stuff take priority for extended periods. The only things (from the user community perspective) that would make it hard to fix are if more people are unwilling to help or if the site admin doesn't trust the people who step up. I imagine there could be other factors behind the scenes that would make it hard to fix that I'm not aware of, but in terms of the "problem" being that volunteers aren't sufficiently volunteering - again from a site perspective is a valid criticism - the solution is for more volunteers from the community with adequate time to make an impact.

It's not my site and it's not my thread, but feel free to reply in this thread with your interest in volunteering. (I'll assume Duke's comment in #1 is such a reply. Keep in mind, I don't have the authority to set anyone up for this.)
   19. The Duke Posted: August 02, 2023 at 01:44 PM (#6137910)
Yes, I am happy to help. I'm hopelessly Neanderthal in my tech knowledge but I'm a quick learner
   20. Stevey Posted: August 02, 2023 at 01:50 PM (#6137911)
Someone should not litter a thread with such an utterly stupid comment.



"I'm not smart enough to help, and I'm not going to be arsed to learn how to be smart enough to help, but other people are the stupid ones!"
   21. Ron J Posted: August 02, 2023 at 02:24 PM (#6137912)
I have keys. I've just forgotten how to approve articles.
   22. tell me when i'm telling 57i66135 Posted: August 02, 2023 at 02:34 PM (#6137913)
may i suggest migrating to the metaverse? i've heard they have lots of balls.
   23. Walt Davis Posted: August 02, 2023 at 04:16 PM (#6137919)
Someone should not litter a thread with such an utterly stupid comment.

if I knew how to do it, I would.


You're doing great Howie. :-)
   24. Infinite Yost (Voxter) Posted: August 03, 2023 at 12:14 AM (#6137984)
It wouldn't be a BBTF thread without a little old-fashioned pointless hostility.
   25. Baldrick Posted: August 03, 2023 at 02:49 AM (#6137987)
I think people have asked before about expanding who has the keys and there has been no willingness to make that happen. There are probably a ton of folks here who would be willing to pitch in. I certainly would.

I stopped submitting articles here years ago because they never got posted and it seemed like a big waste of time. Would love it if that could be reversed.
   26. Lassus Posted: August 03, 2023 at 08:22 AM (#6137990)
People have asked before about a lot of things.
   27. The Yankee Clapper Posted: August 03, 2023 at 01:49 PM (#6138003)
I’m just a not very computer-savvy end-user, who might be more worried about breaking the site than approving articles, but I suppose I (and others) could handle the task if provided with “Approving BBTF Submissions For Dummies” instructions. However, the broken article submission process has been repeatedly noted in various threads going back for years without anything be done. The problem seems to be that those in charge have taken a very passive role and/or simply don’t care.
   28. villageidiom Posted: August 03, 2023 at 04:15 PM (#6138011)
I’m just a not very computer-savvy end-user, who might be more worried about breaking the site than approving articles, but I suppose I (and others) could handle the task if provided with “Approving BBTF Submissions For Dummies” instructions.
It's easy to do, without breaking the site.
   29. villageidiom Posted: August 03, 2023 at 04:56 PM (#6138013)
I stopped submitting articles here years ago because they never got posted and it seemed like a big waste of time. Would love it if that could be reversed.
The last article you submitted was the BBHOF tracker less than 8 months ago. You submitted it at 9:22 AM (EST) on December 12. It had been approved and posted within 17 minutes of submission, which I can tell because the first comment in the thread was 17 minutes after submission. It took you a full day to respond to that first comment, making reference to the site's "absentee landlords" in doing so.

I've acknowledged the problems with volunteer time not keeping up with submissions. It is a real problem. But, like, your heaping of bullshit atop that is going to confuse people into thinking the problems are grossly overstated. Let's focus on solutions. Would you be willing to be part of the solution? (EDIT: I'm taking "I certainly would" as a yes for Baldrick. The "you" in the last sentence is meant for the community. Sorry for confusing matters.)
   30. NaOH Posted: August 03, 2023 at 05:11 PM (#6138014)
I hope if anyone receives keys allowing them to approve submissions that they're averse to the obvious-in-advance controversial topics that elicit divisive, predictably off-topic discussions. The site is worse off from those threads.
   31. The Yankee Clapper Posted: August 03, 2023 at 05:20 PM (#6138016)
It's easy to do, without breaking the site.
Good to know, but if it’s easy that makes it even more inexplicable that the function has been so neglected for so long.
   32. The Duke Posted: August 03, 2023 at 06:20 PM (#6138021)
I added a second email address in my profile to each. Both work but best to send to both until we make contact.
   33. Baldrick Posted: August 04, 2023 at 02:31 AM (#6138049)
The last article you submitted was the BBHOF tracker less than 8 months ago. You submitted it at 9:22 AM (EST) on December 12. It had been approved and posted within 17 minutes of submission, which I can tell because the first comment in the thread was 17 minutes after submission. It took you a full day to respond to that first comment, making reference to the site's "absentee landlords" in doing so.

Yes, I did not LITERALLY stop submitting articles years ago. I did submit ONE article almost a year ago, when the tracker had already been up and running for like two weeks and no one had posted a link.

However, back in the day, I submitted many articles that either NEVER got approved or got approved long long after I submitted them. It's extremely frustrating, as others have noted here, and there has been no obvious action about it in the better part of a decade. Despite people consistently offering to help.

If that changes this week, I will be very happy!
   34. Greg Pope Posted: August 04, 2023 at 10:59 AM (#6138056)
I've acknowledged the problems with volunteer time not keeping up with submissions. It is a real problem. But, like, your heaping of bullshit atop that is going to confuse people into thinking the problems are grossly overstated. Let's focus on solutions. Would you be willing to be part of the solution?

I e-mailed Jim directly towards the end of last year and asked if I could be given access to approve messages. He was receptive to the help offer but didn't jump on it and give me the keys or anything. We had a short conversation but that was 9 months ago and I haven't heard from him since. So I've done more than just complain, but I still haven't gotten anywhere.
   35. tell me when i'm telling 57i66135 Posted: August 05, 2023 at 10:44 AM (#6138085)
I hope if anyone receives keys allowing them to approve submissions that they're averse to the obvious-in-advance controversial topics that elicit divisive, predictably off-topic discussions. The site is worse off from those threads.

yeah, i agree. that soccer bullshit has gotta go.
   36. cardsfanboy Posted: August 05, 2023 at 02:48 PM (#6138093)
The issue I have with the submittal process is that it has so many requirements, that if you make a mistake on one of the requirements, it doesn't save your progress and you have to start the process all over again. Add in that it's not entirely clear what each field represents in the final submission, and it can be frustrating, but once you submit a few within a short period of time, you kinda realize the entire process. It's when I haven't submitted for a long time and I go and try that it takes about three tries for me to get the submission the way I want it to be.

But, I've never had any problems getting something approved, almost all of my submissions have been approved or I was beaten to the punch by someone else. I haven't submitted anything in a while, but I think the longest wait I've had has been a day, and that was because I was late night drunk submitting or something like that.
   37. Ziggy: social distancing since 1980 Posted: August 05, 2023 at 08:44 PM (#6138131)
Just wanted to say that I love Primer and to thank Jim for keeping it going for so long. (And for giving it an update! I was worried for a while there.)
   38. cardsfanboy Posted: August 05, 2023 at 09:10 PM (#6138146)
Just a reminder, there is a donate button at the top right of the screen. Hopefully if Jim gets enough money he can buy a year or a multi year https instead of a three month one.
   39. Ziggy: social distancing since 1980 Posted: August 05, 2023 at 09:22 PM (#6138153)
Thanks for the reminder CFB. Donation sent. After 23 years I guess it is time to stop free riding.
   40. The Duke Posted: August 06, 2023 at 08:57 AM (#6138169)
How much do these certifications cost?
   41. cardsfanboy Posted: August 06, 2023 at 11:23 AM (#6138174)
How much do these certifications cost?


I don't know what Jim is paying, it depends on the type that they get, average is supposedly around $60 a year. He's using an OV ssl, GoDaddy has that for $169.99 a year (introductory rate of $139.99 with a two year purchase) I do think godaddy is probably a little on the high side though, Name cheap has better prices ranging from $36 to $100 a year depending on other factors. '


He's been doing three month certificates (set your calendar to October 25, 2023 which is when the current certificate expires)
   42. tell me when i'm telling 57i66135 Posted: August 06, 2023 at 01:12 PM (#6138180)
Currently there are 2 fearless Primates, 0 anonymous Primates and 266 lurkers viewing the site.

i'm not even sure this is a viable site anymore.
   43. ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick Posted: August 06, 2023 at 08:39 PM (#6138214)
I stopped submitting articles here years ago because they never got posted and it seemed like a big waste of time. Would love it if that could be reversed.

Maybe that problem could be solved by selling automatic submission rights to anyone for a nominal fee, say $8.00 a month.
   44. Zonk Won the Mental Acuity Golf Trophy at his Club Posted: August 06, 2023 at 08:51 PM (#6138215)
Larry Bowa’s turn to shine!
   45. Ziggy: social distancing since 1980 Posted: August 06, 2023 at 09:49 PM (#6138219)
Obviously things are quieter than they used to be. But I'm often not logged in when I'm here (since I read more than I post*). If others are like me, plenty of those lurkers could be real people.

*This is true, although I've still managed thousands of posts over the years.
   46. jimfurtado Posted: August 07, 2023 at 11:37 AM (#6138230)
Thanks for the kind words. It's the devotion of so many of you over the years that has kept the site alive.

As most of you know, the current state of the site is not tenable. Things can't remain as they are. Although I can't excuse my lack of work on the site over the last few years, I hope I can explain where I've been.

My life has changed a lot over the last twenty years. I was a company firefighter when Sean and I created the site. That job came with a lot of free time. A few years in, though, the continued neglect of the city's overworked IT department pushed my Fire Chief to create an IT position for the department. The job requirements, he later told me, were crafted with me in mind. When I read the description of responsibilities I knew I was the only possible person who could do the job. My now ex-wife pushed me to take it. I did.

The schedule and workload were real downsides. After spending all day working on all the computer-related tasks, finding time to update stuff here changed from a labor of love to a real chore. Luckily a bunch of people continued posting links. Although I never prioritized making money on the site, enough ad money and donations kept the site financially viable. I wasn't making money but the site was paying for itself.

On the personal side I FINALLY realized my horrific marriage was not salvageable. Divorce, child support, and making time for my two sons became my focus.

Then I met Sharron, who was/is the great love of my wife. We've been together since 2009 and have been happily married for just about 12 years. As wonderful as that relationship has been for me, it became another impediment to working on the site. My bad marriage pushed me to spend some time on the site, as a distraction; my great marriage pushed me to spend even less time working on the site because of the enjoyment and appreciation I have for every moment I get to spend with my wonderful bride.

Eventually Covid-19 struck and impacted all of our lives. Specific to the site, ad revenue tanked. Due to my inactivity over the previous few years, site donations had already disappeared. All the while costs for the site kept creeping higher. With retirement on the horizon, I decided to dig into my pockets to pay the site's bills until I could get back to work on the site.

When retirement arrived, however, other interests (like golf and my OOTP online league, among other things) sucked up my newly found free time. I also took on more responsibities at home. All the while, though, I kept telling myself that I wouild get back to work on the site "soon". Soon ended up lasting three years.

Soon is no longer an option. Recent site issues have forced me to take a very hard look at either shuttering the site or getting to work.

Also recently, Sharron has suggested I might be spending too much time with the dogs. I have to agree with her. I have gotten a little bored. I have considered getting a new job, either full- or part-time. It would get me out of the house and provide us some extra cash for projects/trips. If I picked up something full-time, I could really generate a lot of extra money; if I went the part-time route, though, I could earn enough money to fund some trips while still allowing me time to improve my golf game, which would make my retired friends and brother happy.

As promising as those options are, at the same time, the idea of letting go of the site does not feel right. It's tough letting go of something that has been such a big part of my life.

After talking over things with my wife, we've decided that I should put a year into the site and then reassess. (My dogs approve of this decision as well.)

Going forward I will log all the time I spend on the site. At the end of the year, if I'm not making at least minimum wage for a part-time job the site will be shut down.

After assessing the online baseball landscape over the last couple of months, I believe the site can still fill a niche. Since I'm turning 60 soon, my timeline is a lot shorter than when I started the site. With hard work, some help, and good decision-making, I believe the site can be thriving by this time next year.

Anyway, migrating the server is the first step. When that's finished, we can discuss my thoughts and plans going forward. If you like my plans and see changes that you like, I hope you consider helping out or contributing some money to sustain the site.
   47. NaOH Posted: August 07, 2023 at 12:11 PM (#6138234)
Thanks for sharing all of that, Jim. Great to hear how you're well. Best to you, Sharron, you and Sharron, and the dogs.
   48. Ron J Posted: August 07, 2023 at 12:59 PM (#6138238)
I understand how all of that happens. I mostly drifted away from the site years ago thanks to changes in my own life. As I said upthread, I've been so disconnected I forgot how to approve posts.

Having said that, I'd be really sad if you chose to shutter the site Jim. But do what's best for you.
   49. The Yankee Clapper Posted: August 07, 2023 at 02:01 PM (#6138244)
Ah, I see the makings of a happy ending here. Glad to see that the important things in life are working out for Jim. The site doesn’t have to be his priority, but I think a more functional article submission process might increase traffic, which could be beneficial to all.
   50. Mefisto Posted: August 07, 2023 at 03:01 PM (#6138249)
Then I met Sharron, who was/is the great love of my wife.


I see what you did there.
   51. The Duke Posted: August 07, 2023 at 03:58 PM (#6138256)
Jim, when you come back online please give us a sense of how much money is needed in aggregate to make the financial side of the equation work. I'm sure the users can make that part work. As to the other more personal issues, that's for you but I believe a year or so ago on another thread like this, a couple of the primates expressed interest in taking it over, so even if you do want to shut down, there might be other solutions to that as well.
   52. Mr. Hotfoot Jackson (gef, talking mongoose) Posted: August 07, 2023 at 04:26 PM (#6138258)
Going forward I will log all the time I spend on the site. At the end of the year, if I'm not making at least minimum wage for a part-time job the site will be shut down.


If it comes to that, which of course I hope doesn't happen, might a change of ownership be feasible?
   53. Pat Rapper's Delight (as quoted on MLB Network) Posted: August 08, 2023 at 12:04 AM (#6138286)
On the personal side I FINALLY realized my horrific marriage was not salvageable.

Here I start thinking, "Oh no! The pics of Jim and Sharron on FB are always so fun."

Then I met Sharron, who was/is the great love of my wife.

CURIOSITY INTENSIFYING!!1!

Seriously though, if any of you Primates want to buy my house in Frisco, TX, (the self-designated "Sports City U.S.A."!!!) I'd have enough cash to pay the new house off and still underwrite the site for a good while. As it stands I won't be ponying up any disposable cash until I'm no longer paying two mortgages but after that I'd be delighted to kick some cash over to what's also been a huge part of my baseball fandom for most of my adult life.... even if it does only work out to a fraction of a penny per enjoyable moment.
   54. NaOH Posted: August 13, 2023 at 06:42 PM (#6138607)
Godspeed tomorrow, Jim. May the site-update winds be at your back.
   55. Captain Joe Bivens, Pointless and Wonderful Posted: August 14, 2023 at 05:19 PM (#6138690)
Either the update went very well or it hasn't happened yet.
   56. tshipman (The Viscount of Variance) Posted: August 14, 2023 at 08:52 PM (#6138713)
As promising as those options are, at the same time, the idea of letting go of the site does not feel right. It's tough letting go of something that has been such a big part of my life.

After talking over things with my wife, we've decided that I should put a year into the site and then reassess. (My dogs approve of this decision as well.)

Going forward I will log all the time I spend on the site. At the end of the year, if I'm not making at least minimum wage for a part-time job the site will be shut down.

After assessing the online baseball landscape over the last couple of months, I believe the site can still fill a niche. Since I'm turning 60 soon, my timeline is a lot shorter than when I started the site. With hard work, some help, and good decision-making, I believe the site can be thriving by this time next year.


I enjoy the site, have spent a lot of time here, have donated to the site and would be sad to see it go.

That said, the site has no real purpose and has not for a long time.

The landscape of baseball research has changed. It's no longer hobbyists talking to each other on message boards. The age of the amateur has passed from being relevant. Instead, baseball research is overwhelming focused on either continuing to improve defensive metrics, which requires significant expertise, or translating observable indicators like launch angles and spin rates into measurable value.

Defensive metrics require real expertise, and amateurs adding notes have not added value to the equation since about 2014 (when Tangotiger and MGL published The Book). Maybe Walt occasionally adds value on the topic, but pretty much the rest of the site has no real value to add and is mostly an echo chamber.

This site has basically never managed to wrap its collective head around the next revolution in baseball analysis: translating observable indicators into value. Indeed, most of the commentary from this site has focused on dismissing spin rates, even as teams increasingly emphasized indicators. This site has no access to that data, and the posters are mainly not good analysts on that kind of data set. Most of this expertise lies with teams, actually.

So what does the site have left in terms of value to add? The comments, while entertaining, tend to be insular. New users don't discover the site easily, and while I think the comments are better than on places like Fangraphs or r/baseball, comments there are much more frequent, and don't require people to navigate antiquated submission flows or terrible login management.

While specific UX issues could be addressed, frankly, past precedent indicates that they will not be. The Copyright notice hasn't been updated since 2021, let alone the constant user certificate issues.

I don't see how there's a path to value for the site, and while I personally benefit from the entertainment value, the only honest conclusion I can reach is that if you only care to continue the site if it can do something more than what it is doing now, you should just shut it down. Your pathway to success is incredibly narrow and, respectfully, requires you to do a lot more work in the next year than you have in the last 20 or so.
   57. It's regretful that PASTE was able to get out Posted: August 14, 2023 at 09:46 PM (#6138717)
It's just a place for a bunch of old baseball fans to rock in our rocking chairs and banter with the guys we've been bantering baseball with since we were kinda almost young, tship. It's comfortable.

I don't understand why Jim would choose to close the site, rather than selling it for a nominal sum to whoever among us is willing to assume the responsibility of paying the bills. Which I'm sure several of us would happily pitch in to do, to keep this comforting old porch open.

(I would also hate to lose the archived threads of yore, incidentally.)
   58. Nasty Nate Posted: August 15, 2023 at 10:31 AM (#6138740)
cool update site looks great
   59. Mr Dashwood Posted: August 15, 2023 at 01:10 PM (#6138756)
I would also hate to lose the archived threads of yore, incidentally.

Speaking as a trained historian, this is the most valuable part of the site as things stand. It's an incredible trove of fan commentary on 'current events' in baseball, as they were, and tell us a lot about what more dedicated enthusiasts think is important.

That said, the site has no real purpose and has not for a long time.

The landscape of baseball research has changed. It's no longer hobbyists talking to each other on message boards. The age of the amateur has passed from being relevant.


This isn't wrong, but it works on the assumption that the site was only about doing analytics. The Hall of Merit threads contain a lot of info about baseball history that hasn't got a lot to do with the frontiers of analytics, and the most advanced analytics don't have the data to add knowledge to the case for older Hall of Merit candidaates. BTF also provided a forum for friendly (and sometimes not-so-friendly) debate between baseball fans.

When I knew how to work the keys in the early 2010s, I used to source more blogposts as opposed to 'mediot' piñata posts for discussion, but this never gained any traction. So in that sense, the audience of the site itself turned away from one useful new direction (which history proved to be a dead-end anyway). But that's the kind of thinking we need to do -- where can we point Primates in the direction of material that might interest them, but gets overlooked.

Rather than trying to keep the site 'relevant' with the latest analytics, we should accept that most of us are dinosaurs or underequipped to research in those areas. That was only ever about half of what went on here, though, so we can still build on the other half. The great strength of the Internet is that it can cater to a small audience/special interest relatively inexpensively.
   60. tshipman (The Viscount of Variance) Posted: August 15, 2023 at 01:31 PM (#6138757)
This isn't wrong, but it works on the assumption that the site was only about doing analytics. The Hall of Merit threads contain a lot of info about baseball history that hasn't got a lot to do with the frontiers of analytics, and the most advanced analytics don't have the data to add knowledge to the case for older Hall of Merit candidaates. BTF also provided a forum for friendly (and sometimes not-so-friendly) debate between baseball fans.

When I knew how to work the keys in the early 2010s, I used to source more blogposts as opposed to 'mediot' piñata posts for discussion, but this never gained any traction. So in that sense, the audience of the site itself turned away from one useful new direction (which history proved to be a dead-end anyway). But that's the kind of thinking we need to do -- where can we point Primates in the direction of material that might interest them, but gets overlooked.

Rather than trying to keep the site 'relevant' with the latest analytics, we should accept that most of us are dinosaurs or underequipped to research in those areas. That was only ever about half of what went on here, though, so we can still build on the other half. The great strength of the Internet is that it can cater to a small audience/special interest relatively inexpensively.


What are the possible niches for the site to fill?

Discussion - Clearly other forums like r/baseball or Fangraphs are significantly more popular. There are 8 people logged in and 249 people lurking as I write this. By comparison, r/baseball has 2.5 million subscribers and 6,680 actively online. That's a 27x difference. I think the comments are overall higher quality here, but not 27x in quality.

Analysis - The amount of analysis on the site has cratered to basically zero. Walt writes here. That's about it, and he prefers to randomly pop in to threads with analysis, not have a disciplined structure. Dominated by Fangraphs and the Athletic.

Research - Hasn't happened in 10 years. No longer exists in the public space in a meaningful way.

Fandom - Really just a RedSox blog. And it's pretty solidly dominated by other fora. The inability to natively post images significantly detracts from a modern fandom platform.

The best, most unique feature of the site is the off-topic threads. There is no path to relevance. It's fine for it to be a comfortable museum for middle aged to older baseball fans to want to reminisce, but it's exceptionally unlikely to be anything but that. If Jim doesn't want the site to be that, he should pass off the costs to someone else who is willing to pay.
   61. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: August 15, 2023 at 03:15 PM (#6138764)

What are the possible niches for the site to fill?


Crypto, short-form video, hard-core pornography.
   62. DL from MN Posted: August 15, 2023 at 04:27 PM (#6138769)
I would also hate to lose the archived threads of yore, incidentally.


The entire Hall of Merit is on here. Discussions, voting history, analysis of the Negro Leagues. Everything.

   63. Eric J can SABER all he wants to Posted: August 15, 2023 at 07:08 PM (#6138781)
The entire Hall of Merit is on here. Discussions, voting history, analysis of the Negro Leagues. Everything.

This kind of obliquely gets at the fact that not all new research is necessarily required to deal with the most accurate possible evaluation of current players on an ongoing basis. Historical research and evaluation is also a thing, and a lot of that has been and still is done by the HoM crew.
   64. The Duke Posted: August 15, 2023 at 08:43 PM (#6138788)
When people talk about Reddit or fangraphs or the athletic, that's basically like Twitter. Millions of comments, no community, most people don't know or care about each other. As a relative newcomer to this place, it's clear there is a ton of people here who have interacted for years. That's really hard to find anywhere else - so that's the value. The issue is that this place has the same downside as a country club, without bringing in active new members with families, the club becomes old by virtue of time passing.

There are tons of analytics -minded people out there who simply don't know it exists and would bring new perspectives. The trick, of course, getting enough people to keep the place moving forward but not too many to overwhelm the place.
   65. Mefisto Posted: August 15, 2023 at 09:41 PM (#6138802)
Adding to what Eric J said, it's not just HoM threads. There's still analysis of players in other threads too. And discussion of how the game has changed, which includes analysis.
   66. What did Billy Ripken have against ElRoy Face? Posted: August 15, 2023 at 11:13 PM (#6138809)
Certainly some museum somewhere would be interested in the world’s greatest repository of ARod centaur jokes.
   67. sunday silence (again) Posted: August 15, 2023 at 11:47 PM (#6138812)
There are 8 people logged in and 249 people lurking as I write this. By comparison, r/baseball has 2.5 million subscribers and 6,680 actively online. That's a 27x difference. I think the comments are overall higher quality here, but not 27x in quality.


HOnestly, that does not seem like such a horrible ratio. You talking Reddit which is a huge phenomenon and this site which is run by one guy on a part time basis. Despite 27x more people online there I still find reason to come here. As Duke points out, the discussion is more focused and you can a better peer reviewed discussion than 300 posters on Reddit yelling about someone's domestic violence issues or whatever video was just posted on Twitter.

Surely there is room for a more focused discussion group about baseball. Its not some crack pot sport like pickleball.
   68. base ball chick Posted: August 16, 2023 at 12:54 AM (#6138818)
10. Infinite Yost (Voxter) Posted: August 01, 2023 at 06:35 PM (#6137848)
I really did a quick intake of breath when I saw the headline. Glad to see it's not a permanent outage.

I started posting here when I was 20. Now I'm 43. Jesus, that's well more than half my life


- yeh

you're 3 weeks oldern me but i didn't start posting or coming here until, i think something like dec 2002? i know the twins were definitely sitting up. seems like another lifetime ago

seems the few of us that are left were here from bout near the beginning. it's kind of like a baseball "family" chat only ain't nobody having younguns to keep it going


and jim,

i am not nobody to be throwing stones at somebody having too much time with the Dogz



   69. Scoriano Flitcraft Posted: August 16, 2023 at 08:59 AM (#6138827)
Minimum wage is too much.
   70. Nasty Nate Posted: August 16, 2023 at 09:55 AM (#6138828)
Are there updates on twitter?
   71. pikepredator Posted: August 16, 2023 at 10:20 AM (#6138829)
I'm mostly one of your lurkers (often, I don't realize I wasn't automatically logged in). I typically read thru things at lunchtime and comment sporadically.

Most of my comments are on Jose's Sox threads . . . I appreciate a lot of the dialogue that goes on here. I'm only part of two on-line forums as it is.

I don't really have a point, which is maybe the reason I don't post more. but I do appreciate those who keep this site active.
   72. Adam Starblind Posted: August 16, 2023 at 10:44 AM (#6138830)
I know I'm a broken record on this, but the site's best and most unique feature is the HoM, so I would make that the centerpiece. I wouldn't change much else, except for that emphasis (and maybe a renaming to match).

Anyway, I echo those who've said I hope Jim would consider selling before shutting down.
   73. It's regretful that PASTE was able to get out Posted: August 16, 2023 at 12:04 PM (#6138834)
Jim seems to have made it clear enough that he is going to kill the site, rather than pass it on to someone else.

He hasn't made it at all clear why he feels so strongly he has to do that, nor is he going to, I don't think.

Everything ends.
   74. Scoriano Flitcraft Posted: August 16, 2023 at 12:10 PM (#6138835)
Anyway, I echo those who've said I hope Jim would consider selling before shutting down.
I presume the price has to equal minimum wage times anticipated hours of effort less “cost” avoidance.

You can have my answer now if you like. My offer is this -- nothing. Not even the fee for the gaming license, which I would appreciate if you would put up personally.
   75. The Mighty Quintana Posted: August 16, 2023 at 12:25 PM (#6138836)
The fact that you can't posts gifs or pictures forces people to write complete sentences and have (..ahem...) semi-coherent thoughts. I like that aspect of the site. Also, this is the only Red Sox forum where people are constantly discussing roster and lineup composition. Probably more than Chaim does!
   76. The Duke Posted: August 16, 2023 at 01:50 PM (#6138840)
I'm not sure not being able to post pictures and gifs is bad. I think it's rather nice
   77. DL from MN Posted: August 16, 2023 at 02:10 PM (#6138843)
I know I'm a broken record on this, but the site's best and most unique feature is the HoM, so I would make that the centerpiece. I wouldn't change much else, except for that emphasis (and maybe a renaming to match).


If the larger site does shut down I'd like to know what it would take to archive just the Hall of Merit. We can probably find a new path forward but re-creating the past 20 years would be tedious.
   78. Barry`s_Lazy_Boy Posted: August 16, 2023 at 03:33 PM (#6138847)
99.9% of the internet is irrelevant and nothing more than a waste of time.

This place is a waste of time that we have been enjoying for more than 20 years, and we know all the regulars. I'll keep coming back until it disappears.

Jim seems to have made it clear enough that he is going to kill the site, rather than pass it on to someone else.

If I were Jim, it would be weird to hand my baby off to someone else to own and take care of.
   79. villageidiom Posted: August 16, 2023 at 05:56 PM (#6138855)
In case the site is down tomorrow I'll take the opportunity now to say happy birthday, Jim. Also, I assume you won't be working to fix the site on your birthday.
   80. It's regretful that PASTE was able to get out Posted: August 16, 2023 at 06:00 PM (#6138856)
If I were Jim, it would be weird to hand my baby off to someone else to own and take care of.


Less or more weird than killing it?
   81. Zonk Won the Mental Acuity Golf Trophy at his Club Posted: August 16, 2023 at 06:17 PM (#6138858)
If the larger site does shut down I'd like to know what it would take to archive just the Hall of Merit. We can probably find a new path forward but re-creating the past 20 years would be tedious.


FWIW, DL - it should be relatively easy to scrape and download the HOM threads and materials. I wouldn't want to go there without an explicit OK from Jim, but for anything publicly available on the internet, it's almost certainly doable unless he's got some kiboshes in place (another reason we'd want the explicit OK would be that the process would be a relative pounding on the db).

As luck would have it, I've been in a workshop this week using google's console, colab, and cloud for a project - and just to get some sample data for use, we scraped all posts from stackoverflow.com with tag "python"... I'm guessing it would be just as easy to content from bbtf with the HOM tag. I'm willing to bet the amount of data and the tools needed would fall well within google's "free" $300 of worth of use... and if not - there are other methods to just download content using tags from a site. We used BigQuery to get our sample set from stackoverflow.

Of course... that would just be getting the data - you'd still need storage, hosting, and a front-end (i.e., the stackoverflow sample set was just a raw dump of the questions and the posts, not a browser-ready page)... but I imagine getting the raw data is pretty easy (and if Jim were onboard, I'm sure he could even just export it even easier).
   82. Captain Joe Bivens, Pointless and Wonderful Posted: August 16, 2023 at 06:58 PM (#6138861)
Youse guys sure do love to speculate.
   83. Mr Dashwood Posted: August 17, 2023 at 09:52 AM (#6138900)
If I were Jim, it would be weird to hand my baby off to someone else to own and take care of.

This site is old enough to drink nowadays.
   84. A triple short of the cycle Posted: August 17, 2023 at 08:01 PM (#6138948)
Hey folks. My memory is hazy but I definitely remember being on the site for a while before the registration happened. Back when Rob Neyer and his flannel shirt were big. My favorite moment was when I got to tailgate at an A's game with Shooty, Steve Treder, Trader Dave, and a couple other dudes I forget. Trader Dave brought sausage that he made himself, from a boar he killed himself with a bow and arrow! Treder was fascinating. Shooty was just as fun in person as he was online.
   85. tell me when i'm telling 57i66135 Posted: August 17, 2023 at 08:39 PM (#6138955)
After assessing the online baseball landscape over the last couple of months, I believe the site can still fill a niche. Since I'm turning 60 soon, my timeline is a lot shorter than when I started the site. With hard work, some help, and good decision-making, I believe the site can be thriving by this time next year.
i, for one, am looking forward to BBTF's 'pivot' to gambling content.
   86. tell me when i'm telling 57i66135 Posted: August 17, 2023 at 09:04 PM (#6138957)
As luck would have it, I've been in a workshop this week using google's console, colab, and cloud for a project - and just to get some sample data for use, we scraped all posts from stackoverflow.com with tag "python"... I'm guessing it would be just as easy to content from bbtf with the HOM tag. I'm willing to bet the amount of data and the tools needed would fall well within google's "free" $300 of worth of use... and if not - there are other methods to just download content using tags from a site. We used BigQuery to get our sample set from stackoverflow.

here's the archived list of every (i think) hall of merit post, going back to 2002, about 1700 threads in total.

a little bit of python/HTML wrangling will get you a map of the url's you'll need to scrape. some more code wrangling will get you a raw dump of all posts/comments within those urls. this will give you an offline backup of the HOM.


after that, you can take as much time as you need to format the information. or you can just keep it as a raw data dump, and leave that part for someone else to worry about.


as far as storage, this amount of text should fit on a floppy disk. it's a negligible amount/cost moving forward.
   87. Ziggy: social distancing since 1980 Posted: August 18, 2023 at 11:11 PM (#6139021)
I moved to Baltimore in 2004 and didn't know anybody. Was only in town for a couple days and got to go to an O's game with Dan Z and a few other guys though, because I was on Primer. So one thing that Primer did for me in the real world was make a lonely time a little nicer.

Always regretted not making it up to any of the softball games.

It's true that we're no longer on the cutting edge of statistical analysis, but, as others have said, so what? We did our work. And the historical stuff is still worthwhile. One thing that I always appreciated about Primer is that the level of discourse here is much higher than on most of the internet (even if you ignore the politics-poisoned parts of the internet).
   88. Ziggy: social distancing since 1980 Posted: August 18, 2023 at 11:51 PM (#6139031)
Eh, Dan S that is. Of ZiPS fame.
   89. sunday silence (again) Posted: August 20, 2023 at 10:44 PM (#6139136)
A couple of other issues that might be improved:

Its also really hard to find past articles. You can try to google them but sometimes I am left with some sort of error message and other times just nothing shows up. These are threads I know we had and there's no discussion. The threads seem to be arranged in some sort of chronology but then they just disappear beyond a certain date. Thats my experience with the site.

Also if the site could do something special for the playoffs that might be really neat. Being able to discuss stuff in real time with people you know is pretty much the epitome of online discussion. Not sure what but perhaps more interaction, more graphics, I dunno.
   90. Nasty Nate Posted: August 21, 2023 at 10:17 AM (#6139147)
oh, the update is pushed back until next Monday
   91. dmunk Posted: August 21, 2023 at 11:58 AM (#6139155)
FWIW, DL - it should be relatively easy to scrape and download the HOM threads and materials. I wouldn't want to go there without an explicit OK from Jim, but for anything publicly available on the internet, it's almost certainly doable unless he's got some kiboshes in place (another reason we'd want the explicit OK would be that the process would be a relative pounding on the db).

As luck would have it, I've been in a workshop this week using google's console, colab, and cloud for a project - and just to get some sample data for use, we scraped all posts from stackoverflow.com with tag "python"... I'm guessing it would be just as easy to content from bbtf with the HOM tag. I'm willing to bet the amount of data and the tools needed would fall well within google's "free" $300 of worth of use... and if not - there are other methods to just download content using tags from a site. We used BigQuery to get our sample set from stackoverflow.

Of course... that would just be getting the data - you'd still need storage, hosting, and a front-end (i.e., the stackoverflow sample set was just a raw dump of the questions and the posts, not a browser-ready page)... but I imagine getting the raw data is pretty easy (and if Jim were onboard, I'm sure he could even just export it even easier).


I used wget a few weeks ago to pull down all the HOM pages locally. Feel free to send me a BTF mail if you'd like a tarball or whatever.
   92. Dolf Lucky Posted: August 21, 2023 at 05:30 PM (#6139199)
I’m going to use this thread to:

A) echo how great this site has been for such a long time. My entire adult life, basically, it’s been a near daily visit. Usually multiple times per day.

B) note that I mentally link this site with three others that were also daily visits when I started using the internet frequently: Baseball America, Baseball Prospectus, and Baseball Reference. The first two, I stopped using years ago. The value didn’t exceed the cost of the paywalls enacted. It happens. And B-R is now worse than ESPN, with its slow load times, spotty performance, and auto-play videos. Point being, for all the technical issues that BBTF has, it has outlasted all of its competitors from c. 2000, per my own personal value system. So, Mazel Tov, I guess.
   93. It's regretful that PASTE was able to get out Posted: August 21, 2023 at 08:33 PM (#6139226)
Dolf: the problems you cited with baseball-reference mostly go away if you (you guessed it) pay the monthly/yearly membership fee.
   94. Dolf Lucky Posted: August 21, 2023 at 08:50 PM (#6139231)
@93:

Yeah, that’s what I figured but that’s an abominable business model and not one I’m going to support.
   95. It's regretful that PASTE was able to get out Posted: August 21, 2023 at 10:20 PM (#6139237)
I don't much enjoy the crippleware model, either, but... how else, besides membership fees or intrusive advertising, would you suggest Sean and his company go about paying their formidable bills?
   96. Dolf Lucky Posted: August 22, 2023 at 06:50 AM (#6139257)
It’s the right question and not one I have a good answer for. I have no idea what the operating expenses are for a website company. Nor do I have a clue what kind of revenue is generated every time a GMC ad blares at me unannounced.

I like the subscription tier model, in which I can pay for access for “premium content”. I’m not sure what that would mean for B-R, other than their advanced search service.

The problem with this site specifically is that when it came out it was the cleanest and quickest site I’d ever seen. That memory doesn’t pay the bills…it just means I resent the changes that much more.
   97. The Duke Posted: August 22, 2023 at 05:45 PM (#6139310)
I'd love to know what the costs (labor plus money ) are here and is there any associated revenue other than donations ?
   98. Scoriano Flitcraft Posted: August 29, 2023 at 10:30 AM (#6139857)
LOL.
   99. Nasty Nate Posted: August 30, 2023 at 05:15 PM (#6140022)
Did this happen?
   100. McCoy Posted: August 30, 2023 at 06:04 PM (#6140026)
The flip to a new page? It has not.
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