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Monday, March 06, 2023
“So we wondered, which teams might do better or worse than their projections thanks to the new rules? That’s why we created MANFRED, or the Metric for Assessing Negative or Favorable Rule-Effect Dynamics. MANFRED takes every team’s 2022 ranking in categories that will be pertinent to the new rules — pitch tempo (which obviously matters for the pitch clock), defensive-shift frequency (since the shift is now outlawed) and sprint speed (since larger bases and restrictions on pickoff throws encourage more base stealing) — and combines them into a weighted composite1 that ranks teams from those most likely to benefit under the new rules to those most likely to suffer.”
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1. John Northey Posted: March 06, 2023 at 10:18 PM (#6119756)To be fair, the rule change is not a surprise. The Rays are not as wealthy as the other orgs; they would have had to have anticipated this change and planned to be in a good position when it took place, as they would not have the resources to adjust on the fly. So, they may be even smarter than smart (which I think we already knew).
I don't know what others think but I've been pleasantly surprised about infield defense alignments goof back to mostly normal. I thought teams would still "shift as much as they can" but my sense is that there isn't as much of that as I thought. Has the required to stay off the OF grass forced defense back to traditional model?
Not entirely: https://www.foxsports.com/stories/mlb/red-sox-employ-loophole-to-mlb-shift-ban-against-joey-gallo
The Red Sox shifted against Joey Gallo by moving the CF to short right field and the LF to cover center.
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