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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Thursday, July 21, 2022What Yankees, Mets refuse to do in Juan Soto trade sweepstakes
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F)
Posted: July 21, 2022 at 08:13 PM | 21 comment(s)
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1. JJ1986 Posted: July 21, 2022 at 09:46 PM (#6087715)I have to assume you meant bridesmaid and cost preference? I see it's late in the midwest, you must be either drunk or tired? If drunk and if you're old like the rest of us, will be tired very soon....
They're talking about a longterm obligation to a fading veteran - late Bernie and late A-Rod-like. I guess you can make a Stanton case, but I wouldn't. He generates significant positive value.
It's at best awkwardly phrased but presumably they mean "young MLers" (and ML-ready prospects). Jeremy Pena is an Astros' "current pennant-race contributor" who is a 2022 debut, a SS with a 115 OPS+ and 3.1 WAR already this year. That would be an awesome piece to get back in a Soto deal, likely much better than Anthony Volpe. Houston's also got some guys like Cristian Javier, about to enter arb with a 122 career ERA+.
Even more obviously, if Seattle called, Rizzo would enquire about Julio Rodriguez. Michael Harris or Spencer Strider from the Braves or Nolan Gorman from the Cards would probably be asked for.
Now neither the Mets not Yankees seem to have a single player like that so it's a silly point to make when focusing on those two teams. The closest the Dodgers come is Gavin Lux with 4 more years per-FA and Will Smith with 3.
Of course in any and all cases, the impact of Soto's 2-3 WAR over the last two months is reduced if you're losing 1-1.5 WAR from your rookie SS. Teams rarely toss genuine current contributors into trades like this unless (a) they are being directly replaced by the new guy or (b) they are promising part-timers or otherwise redundant to current needs. The offseason, when young GMs' fancies turn to thoughts of missing pieces and their own genius, is the time to trade Brian Giles for Ricardo Rincon.
He got bridesmaid wrong, but I think he meant "coast preference" (as in playing on the east (NY/BOS) or west coast (LA/SD), and not in the "fly over" states.
As a fan, as much as I appreciate Soto, that's too much to give up.
That said, a Cardinal fan somewhere posted lists of the Cardinals "top prospects" from a few years ago, and you reaize that most of the time these No. 1-5 prospects don't all become solid contributing major leaguers, much less stars.
(The Cardinals' No. 1 is Jordan Walker, who "looks like" a bonafide star in the making, and one of those other prospects is Masyn Winn, who had that 100+ MPH throw from SS in the Futures game.)
If you do that, then prospect return becomes de minimums. The new team is taking on almost $100 million in salary.
Why would the Nats do this ? If you are selling the team in a year, you increase your profits by $100 million a year until you sell plus new Owners can have flexibility on how they want to approach the team.
Lower state income taxes? Maybe?
Players really do like the option to control where they play.
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