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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Monday, September 13, 2021Who will be the first to wear a Rays, Marlins, or Nationals cap to Cooperstown?
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F)
Posted: September 13, 2021 at 11:02 AM | 50 comment(s)
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1. The Duke Posted: September 13, 2021 at 11:39 AM (#6039424)Marlins - hmmm. Still a long way to go for them.
Does anyone in the Hall have a senators cap?
Walter Johnson does.
Goose Goslin and Sam Rice too.
The only way it changes if he somehow sours on the Nats and pleads with the Hall to allow him to wear a different cap. He pitched longer and better as a Nat than he did as a Tiger, so there's no real contest there. And he's not going to put up anything near what he did in Washington the rest of the way.
The logoless cap (which the Hall shouldn't allow) would be the only thing that prevent him from "going in as a Nat."
This is not true. Tom Cheney once struck out 21 hitters in a game, while Scherzer topped out at 20.
It still amazes me that of the five times where a pitcher has fanned 20 hitters over nine innings - Clemens twice, Kerry Wood, Randy Johnson and Scherzer - not a single one of them walked a hitter.
this observation fully concedes how many other things I care about, that few others do
:)
Juan Soto is only 22, but on an inner circle path, and absent a career-impairing injury will likely become the best Washington, DC position player ever, passing Sam Rice, if he’s extended beyond 2024 by the Nationals.
You might make a case for the Tigers over Nats, but he has almost 3x as much WAR for Washington. Plus a ring.
And Bucky Harris. You'd think that Clark Griffith might have a Senators cap, not for what he did as a player with them, but for his long-term ownership, but he has a cap with no logo. Ed Delahanty doesn't have a cap at all.
Seven of them in extra innings. Pity the manager who lets his starter go 16 today.
Maybe he gives the Rays half a hat
Can the Rays get half a hat elsewhere ?
The Rays need a long, productive decline from Longoria and a generous veteran's committee.
Otherwise, they're looking at a really long wait.
I think the Boggs instance was kind of the final straw on the question (they previously had a similar situation, though one that was defensible when Winfield chose the Pads over the Yankees). They will still let the players have input if the question is reasonably close, but they weren't going to let the Rays buy their way in if the choice really wasn't representative of the player's Hall career.
I doubt they would have let him have a Cubs logo. But I don't think they should have let him go the lame no logo route either.
If Snell goes in, is it with 5/9 of a Rays' cap?
Halladay's logo-less cap is just dumb though, and I'm surprised the Hall went along with it. 12 years, 148 wins, and 48.4 with the Jay's vs 4 years, 55 wins, and 17 WAR with the Phillies. It's no contest.
If Harper goes, does he wear a Nationals cap? Even if he plays out his whole, huge contract in Philly? He's unlikely to ever reach the heights he did in DC.
Simultaneously related and unrelated factoid: Charlie Morton is 17th among active pitchers in innings pitched, with just over half the total of active leader Zack Greinke. He is the active leader in HBP by a pitcher by a margin of 136-111 (Johnny Cueto). Through 2018, he had more HBP than home runs allowed (HR have slipped into the lead by 2).
He kind of has to (obviously, it doesn't have to happen in Philly). If he doesn't have a post-Washington career as good as his Nats' one, he's not going to be good enough.
Conversely, I don't see how anything Longoria could do in SF, even a couple of titles, could tilt the scales away from Tampa.
If the Phillies catch fire in the last three weeks of the season, Harper could win another MVP this year.
Pair of hands around his neck.
If Longoria does enough in SF to start the debate about career value with Tampa he's going to be in the discussion for 2nd or 3rd best 3B ever. I don't *think* he's going to put up 40+ WAR after the age of 35, but hey, who knows, Bonds put up 50+ so it's technically possible.
They should show him that one first, record the reaction, then unveil the real one and auction off the other to benefit a charity of Beltre's choice.
So those factors will come into play with Harper. While it's pretty likely he won't stay a Phillie for the entire remainder of his career, he's very likely there for at least the next 4-5 years and his various stats are on pace to match/exceed his DC totals. It surprised me a bit since we debated whether Harper had already dropped out of the elite when he signed and that first Philly season got off to a rough start as I recall ... he's now at a 150 OPS+ for his Philly time. He's been on a 5 WAR/650 pace in Philly, better than what he did in DC even including the 2015 outlier.
As to the Rays, I think we are under-estimating the chance that Nelson Cruz will be slugging HR there for another 10 years. :-)
The Florida teams may have to wait a LONG time. Cabrera will go in as a Tiger. If Stanton produces a Hall of Fame career, he'll have done enough with the Yankees to go in with their cap. Longoria looks a lot like Sal Bando, who is in neither the Hall of Fame nor the Hall of Merit.
Wow, Longoria got 51.2 WAR as a Ray? Didn't know it was that high. About 2 years from 2000 hits if healthy, has 300 HR, doesn't need that much of a finishing kick to make the HOF imo and has to go in as a Ray. Next is Carl Crawford (no chance), Kiermaier is highest active (30.2 but no chance - how does he only have 3 gold gloves?), David Price has a shot, 7 years Tampa 21.3 WAR, has played for 4 other teams but needs a finishing kick (can't see him getting in with under 60 WAR (at 40) and under 200 wins (at 154)).
Scherzer has 7 years, 39.6 WAR, 2 Cy's in Washington. Short of a return to Detroit (5 years, 21.4 WAR, 1 Cy) and getting another Cy there I have to figure he goes in as a National. Strasburg would need a killer jump now to make the HOF (age 32, just 33 WAR, 113 wins). Rendon & Harper both would need to produce more away from Washington than they did there to make the Hall so odds are low they'd be put in as a National.
As a Jay fan I was pissed that Halladay's wife asked for no logo and the HOF went with it. Just done to make her happy. He was working for the Jays part time before his death and clearly wanted to go in as a Jay - he made that pretty clear. No logo makes sense for guys who jump around teams a lot - Roberto Alomar I could've accepted easier he was just here for 5 years (big memories of the 2 WS wins). I suspect for Halladay's wife the mess in his final year here (with the terrible GM who treated him like a burden rather than a star) is the cause of that.
96 rField helps a lot. But he's been a pretty consistent 4.5 player and has had a 14 year career. A plus defender at third who puts up a 120 ops+, feels like a hofer to me. Rolen basically has played a season and a half more than him,(900 pa more roughly) and is better defensively (by a good margin) and offensively( by a smidgen) and kills him by war 70 to 57... Rolen clearly should be in the hof, Longoria still needs work. But if he rebounds enough to play 3 or so seasons as a slightly above average player, he probably deserves it, if he produces even one all star type of season and two average season he also probably deserves it, if this year is any indication, he might have enough left in the tank.
Basically he's Scott Rolen with half the defense, and 2 fewer seasons. Nobody's definition of a lock, but for an active player who is having a good season when healthy this year, he can be on track to make it.
The only two possible examples of a no logo making sense were if Fisk and Piazza were shown wearing catcher's helmets. Baseball hats worn bill-side forward have logos. Letting them go logoless makes it looks as if they couldn't secure the rights, like a cheap baseball card.
One thing about Maddux that allowed me to accept the players input into the decision on logo, was he spent two years in the minors before making the team, and really was there for three years, he was drafted by the team and developed by the team that doesn't show up in his major league record, him respecting that is worthy. Effectively he pitched 2500 innings for the Braves, and 2400 for the Cubs, the Cubs was mostly his formative years, while the Braves was his valuable years, but does he have the same value if he's developed by the Braves? Who knows what he learned and developed while with the Cubs that helped cement his hof trajectory.
Since then Longoria has only been a good player -- 109 OPS+, 22 WAR, 8 WAA. You get used to thinking of a guy as a bit of a disappointment and maybe we start to forget why we're disappointed.
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