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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Sunday, January 15, 2023Why The Angels’ Small Moves Might (Finally) Add Up To Big Success
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F)
Posted: January 15, 2023 at 10:52 PM | 23 comment(s)
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1. DL from MN Posted: January 16, 2023 at 10:49 AM (#6113341)ZiPs is a believer in the quality, if not the quantity.
1) Signing Anderson will add another solid arm to the rotation - boosting a strength - and adding depth in case of injuries. The arms on the farm are pretty good - and between Canning, Rodriguez, Silseth, Barria - they have decent insurance policies if anyone in the rotation goes tits up.
2) Adding Renfroe to the OF lets them not need to count on Adell or Moniak at all (aside from injury replacement). And that's good. Adell gets one year to figure it out and this allows him to do so without any expectations. Also, it plugs a 3 WAR player into the mix - something they had far too few of last year.
3) Urshela is Rendon insurance and the RH part of a 1B platoon that Walsh has looked like he has needed for a while. Also, if Walsh doesn't come back from his crappy 2022 - Urshela can be put at 1B full time and another 3 WAR player is added to the mix.
4) Drury is the perfect extra guy to play 1B, 2B, 3B, and the corner OF slots 4-5 times a week. And if they just give him the 2B job - which I have heard might happen - then Fletcher is on the bench - which is fine.
5) Estevez is a live arm in the pen and added to Tepera, Loup, Herget, etc. is a perfectly decent pen without breaking the bank. The AA arms should be able to help there too by mid-season. Also, Chris Rodriguez was great in the pen in 2021 - so he's another option there if he can stay healthy at all.
6) Phillips is a fine add as OF defense insurance - I guess. He's the only guy I don't think was necessary. Another BP arm was higher on my list, but this is fine.
This team is much better suited to be good this season than last - and I thought they could be good last year. This is, potentially, an 88 win team if things don't go off the rails, and with luck - like good health and steps forward for Detmers and Suarez, and a continuation of last year for Ward - they could win 92-93 games...
I'm excited, as I always am in January/February, but this year it might be warranted for the first time in a while.
Or Tyler Anderson returns to being the solid, unspectacular SP he was from 2017-21.
Or Renfroe is the 2nd coming of Justin Upton (that's deep analysis there).
It's a bit unfair to suggest the Angels didn't try, that they were always nothing but Trout (then Ohtani). Rendon was overpriced but a heck of a player before arrival. Marsh, Walsh, Calhoun, Cron were all decent players out of their system (or elsewhere cheap) and Adell was supposed to be. Fletcher, Upton, Simmons, Kinslder were all good players before showing up. Even Freese (did his job), Escobbar (5 WAR, 0 WAA in 3 seasons prior), Valbuena (7.4 WAR, 3 WAA in 3 seasons prior). Drury and Renfroe fit right into that list.
Sorry to be a downer, hope springs eternal.
A version of Drury that approximates 2021-2022 would be a much better option for the Angels than any alternative.
Anderson is basically the #4 starter - if he gives 160 league average innings - that's worth the $13 million.
Renfroe - for one year - is likely to approximate the average of his last five full years of production - I mean a .775 OPS from him would be a big boon for this offense and that's less than his career numbers.
While I agree it could all go terribly bad, this team is more ready to whether a few injuries than they have been in a long while. Just putting a real MLB player out there in case of injury will help - and these depth pieces to that.
Oh, who am I kidding? HOPE SPRINGS ETERNAL! The Angels are winning the West this year!!!
If they get a few reasonable breaks, I think they're an 86-win team right now, and 86 wins was a wildcard team last year.
Renfroe didn't get a full season until age 25. Over 6 seasons, it's 10 WAR, 2 WAA, 2.5 WAR/650 with 0 dWAR/yr
Calhoun didn't get a full season until age 26. Over 6 seasons, it's 14 WAR, 1 WAA, 2.4 WAR/650 with 0 dWAR/yr
Maybe you want just 3 seasons, age comped. OK, Renfroe 28-30 had 4.9 WAR, 1 WAA, 2.6 WAR/650 vs Calhoun 5.2 WAR, -1 WAA, 1.8 WAR/650.
Drury 27-29: 1.8 WAR, -0.5 WAA, 1.7 WAR/650 (just 700 PA)
Valbuena 28-30: 7.4 WAR, 2.8 WAA, 3.5 WAR/650 (the 3 years before joining the Angels; ages 27-29 is 2.9 WAR/650)
Escobar 30-32: 5.2 WAR, -0.5 WAA, 2.0 WAR/650 (ages 27-29 is 3.6 WAR/650)
Anderson will look good in almost any comp because of that huge 2022. I think we all agree that if he carries any of that forward then he is a bg addition. I'm not sure the Angels have added anybody like this since ... CJ Wilson? (sorry!) OK, for all I know, he'll match Othani on the mound.
The fact you poor bastards are excited about the addition of Renfroe and Drury tells the rest of us all we need to know about being an Angels fan. :-)
All I’d say is that look at the 2022 reserves and compare THEM to Drury, Urshela, and Renfroe.
There’s the difference.
Jared Walsh: 81 OP+
Andrew Velazquez: 53 OPS+
Matt Duffy: 77 OPS+
David Fletcher: 77 OPS+
Tyler Wade: 56 OPS+
Brandon Marsh: 80 OPS+
Jo Adell: 79 OPS+
Angels fans aren't "excited" about the new additions, just reasonably confident that things can't get any worse than having the absolute worst 6-7-8-9 in baseball. This is one of those situations when mediocrity would be an enormous improvement.
They need to make him the closer and bring out “Wild Thing” as his entrance music. He has the same birth name as the actor we call Charlie Sheen.
Moreno's tenure can't end soon enough.
And it comes across like 80k, his former salary, is supposed to be a good thing.
And it comes across like 80k, his former salary, is supposed to be a good thing.
He probably has a day job if he can call games from home.
The trick, folks, is sites like the one I've linked which will provide the content for articles at The Athletic now that it's a NY Times property (and thus has a more porous paywall than The OG Athletic had).
He's 61 and played major league baseball, albeit briefly. I can easily imagine he bought the house when he was younger and Mission Viejo was still a newish, affordable community. It says he also runs a baseball academy.
Torentino isn't necessarily a huge victim here; I feel bad for him, but he seems like he's doing alright for himself. Mostly I feel like this is one more short-sighted business decision in a long list of them that has characterized Moreno's ownership of the Angels and Carpino's presidency. I don't know that this particular decision has, or will have, any tangible on-field ramifications, but it's not helpful in connecting with the local community, many of whom come from Latine households where Spanish is regularly spoken. As an Anaheim resident, it rankles.
2022 Tigers have entered the chat
Actually, Detroit was only -6.6 with their negative-WAR players, most of that being Torkelson (who'll improve...won't he?), Cabrera (see ya Cooperstown, Miggy!) and a dumpster fire named Elvin Rodriguez. The Tigers' problem isn't that they have so many rotten players, it's that they don't have any good players. When your top producer is a guy with a 2.5 WAR and a $20MM paycheck, ya got trouble.
The saddest of all hijacks?
When the 2022 Tigers try to out-awful the 2022 Angels.
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