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Friday, December 13, 2019

Yankees, Brett Gardner reunite on one-year, $12.5 million deal

George A. King III of the New York Post reports that the Yankees and outfielder Brett Gardner are back together on a one-year, $12.5 million contract. The deal includes a second year option worth $20 million.

Gardner, 36, is coming off of the strongest offensive season of his career, batting .251/.325/.503 with 28 home runs, 74 RBI, 86 runs scored, and 10 stolen bases over 550 plate appearances. While he has certainly lost a step or two with age, he still rates as an above-average defensive corner outfielder as well.

So, what chance do you support Gardner has of getting the club option picked up for 2021?

 

QLE Posted: December 13, 2019 at 12:49 AM | 23 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: brett gardner, contracts, yankees

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   1. Itchy Row Posted: December 13, 2019 at 10:24 AM (#5908417)
With one more WAR, he'll move into 24th on the Yankees list and knock Earle Combs off the bb-ref franchise page.
   2. Greg Pope Posted: December 13, 2019 at 10:32 AM (#5908421)
George A. King III


This still cracks me up. Especially since I finally saw Hamilton last week.
   3. Tom Nawrocki Posted: December 13, 2019 at 10:40 AM (#5908427)
Gardner turns 37 during the season next year, and is coming off the best full-season OPS+ of his career. Expect a lot of banging on the dugout, because his offensive output is going to be way down next year.

Given the similarly expected dropoffs from LeMahieu, Voit, Urshela and Tauchman, Yankees are really going to need Judge and Stanton to stay healthy next year.
   4. Rally Posted: December 13, 2019 at 10:45 AM (#5908430)
They'll be fine even with a huge team-wide offensive drop, since they just replaced their 5th starting spot with Gerrit Cole.
   5. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: December 13, 2019 at 10:48 AM (#5908433)
Gardner turns 37 during the season next year, and is coming off the best full-season OPS+ of his career. Expect a lot of banging on the dugout, because his offensive output is going to be way down next year.

People have been betting against Gardner for a loooong time, and all he does is put up a 3-4 win season every year.
   6. PreservedFish Posted: December 13, 2019 at 11:17 AM (#5908447)
A consistent ~45 WAR is like inner circle HOVG.
   7. jacksone (AKA It's OK...) Posted: December 13, 2019 at 11:21 AM (#5908451)
Gardner turns 37 during the season next year, and is coming off the best full-season OPS+ of his career. Expect a lot of banging on the dugout, because his offensive output is going to be way down next year.

People have been betting against Gardner for a loooong time, and all he does is put up a 3-4 win season every year.


He was below his average in average, below his average in OBP, and set a career high in slugging. Gotta assume Gardner is really hoping MLB sticks with the rabbit ball.
   8. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: December 13, 2019 at 11:29 AM (#5908458)
He was below his average in average, below his average in OBP, and set a career high in slugging. Gotta assume Gardner is really hoping MLB sticks with the rabbit ball.

9.5% BB rate vs. 10.2% career. 19.6% K rate vs. 18.5% career. .265 BABIP vs. .306 career. .253 ISO vs. .141 career. 34% hard-contact vs. 25% career. FB% 38% vs 33% career. It looks like he definitely changed his approach to the a la mode launch angle plan.

Interestingly, his HR were way up, but his doubles and triples didn't decline. 33 doubles+triple, vs. 27, 30, and 28 the previous three years. So, he was definitely driving more balls deep, not just seeing a few extra sneak over the wall.

61 XBH vs 39, 51, and 45 the three previous years.
   9. the Centaur Nipple Paradox (CoB). Posted: December 13, 2019 at 11:49 AM (#5908477)
Not that this was unexpected, but having Gazoo back for another year or two makes me happy.

He's been my favorite Yankee for quite a while.
   10. PreservedFish Posted: December 13, 2019 at 11:56 AM (#5908483)
He was below his average in average, below his average in OBP, and set a career high in slugging. Gotta assume Gardner is really hoping MLB sticks with the rabbit ball.


Eh. He coulda had his normal 3 WAR season and they'd still be happy to have him back in 2020.
   11. KronicFatigue Posted: December 13, 2019 at 11:59 AM (#5908485)
I like my 4th outfield spots to go to either really young rolls of the dice or long term veterans who have been on the team forever. I'm happy.
   12. Fancy Pants Handle on Altuve's Buzzer Posted: December 13, 2019 at 12:01 PM (#5908486)
People have been betting against Gardner for a loooong time, and all he does is put up a 3-4 win season every year.

I get the sentiment. Though the Yankees trying to play the "nobody believes in us" scrappy underdog card, will never not be funny.

Still, he is a 37 year old, who gets a large chunk of his value from good defense. As consistent as he has been, everybody hits a wall eventually. Still, at that number it is a good deal and a good bet for the Yankees.
   13. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: December 13, 2019 at 12:08 PM (#5908491)
I like my 4th outfield spots to go to either really young rolls of the dice or long term veterans who have been on the team forever. I'm happy.

What do you mean 4th OF? He's the starting CF.

Hicks is out at least half a season, and knowing Hick, I'd put the over/under on his games started at about 40-50.

Gardner really should be platooned (he hasn't hit lefties for years), but who knows if the Yankees will have enough healthy bodies to do that.
   14. Walt Davis Posted: December 13, 2019 at 02:47 PM (#5908541)
But back to the opening question -- the reporting is incorrect. Per Cots, the option if $10 M. The contract breaks down as a $2 M signing bonus, a $8 M salary this year, a $10 M option for next year with a $2.5 M buyout. So it's 1/$12.5 or 2/$20. Nice deal for the Yanks and Gardner gets his wish of staying in NY.
   15. The Yankee Clapper Posted: December 13, 2019 at 03:21 PM (#5908556)
The contract breaks down as a $2 M signing bonus, a $8 M salary this year, a $10 M option for next year with a $2.5 M buyout. So, what chance do you support Gardner has of getting the club option picked up for 2021?
Some might regard $7.5M as a bit pricey for a 4th outfielder, but finding someone who can play a decent CF and the large LF at Yankee Stadium isn’t that easy. And with Stanton likely to be used more & more at DH, Gardner will start a lot of games even after Hicks comes back. Mike Tauchman could give Gardner some competition, and while 2021 might be a little early for Jasson Dominguez to start his Mike Trout/Mickey Mantle career, one can hope. I think it’s more likely than not that the Yankees will pick up the 2021 option, with Gardner used more as a 4th outfielder rather than the mostly starter role that appears to be his for 2020.
   16. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: December 13, 2019 at 03:27 PM (#5908559)
Some might regard $7.5M as a bit pricey for a 4th outfielder, but finding someone who can play a decent CF and the large LF at Yankee Stadium isn’t that easy. And with Stanton likely to be used more & more at DH, Gardner will start a lot of games even after Hicks comes back.

If they count on Hicks for more than 50 games, they're insane. He's never healthy.

Gardner is going to start 130 games between CF and LF. He just shouldn't play against LHP.
   17. The Yankee Clapper Posted: December 13, 2019 at 03:39 PM (#5908565)
If they count on Hicks for more than 50 games, they're insane. He's never healthy.
Hicks played 123 games for the Yankees in 2016, when his playing time was limited by not being very good (64 OPS+), and 137 games in 2018, when he was quite good (127 OPS+). 2020 is an even year, let’s be optimistic. He’s not going to ready at the start of the season, but once he comes back there’s no reason to assume the worst.
   18. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: December 13, 2019 at 03:57 PM (#5908569)
Hicks played 123 games for the Yankees in 2016, when his playing time was limited by not being very good (64 OPS+), and 137 games in 2018, when he was quite good (127 OPS+). 2020 is an even year, let’s be optimistic. He’s not going to ready at the start of the season, but once he comes back there’s no reason to assume the worst.

He's already gone for half the season. The 82 games Gregorius played is like the max.

Knowing Hicks, the odds he gets hurt again is very, very high. You can't count on him.
   19. Walt Davis Posted: December 13, 2019 at 04:10 PM (#5908572)
The 2020 question and the 2021 question are different questions. Given the season he had, Gardner for 1/$12.5 is pretty much a no-brainer, he'll be the main CF as the season starts and, unless he severely struggles (or gets hurt duh), is probably down for at least 120-ish starts on the year. The marginal $7.5 option will all come down to how this year goes. If he's healthy and at least near average, they likely exercise the option. Given his recent performance, being at least average this year seems a pretty good bet.
   20. The Yankee Clapper Posted: December 16, 2019 at 05:44 PM (#5909112)
The Yankees continue to bring back familiar faces by signing Adam Warren to a 2-year minor league deal. Warren pitched pretty well in 2 prior stints with the Yankees (3.18 ERA), not so much for other teams. Not likely to contribute until late in the season, if at all, since he’s coming off Tommy John surgery.
   21. Banta Posted: December 16, 2019 at 07:24 PM (#5909136)
It's amazing, Gardner is past Baines in WAR and has a chance to pass Jim Rice with a couple more Gardner-like seasons.

I'm starting the HoF campaign now.
   22. DCA Posted: December 16, 2019 at 07:42 PM (#5909141)
Yankees still need a RHB to play the 4th/5th OF (the one who can play CF) role. Ideally, it's a guy good enough to platoon with Gardner to start the year, but who can potentially be released or sent to AAA when Hicks returns.

The in-house option is Clint Frazier (yes, even with the glove). So probably need someone else. Guillermo Heredia would be a good fit. Kevin Pillar is the best of this class of player, but he'd need to stick on the roster all year.
   23. Fred Lynn Nolan Ryan Sweeney Agonistes Posted: December 16, 2019 at 08:10 PM (#5909144)
Eh. He coulda had his normal 3 WAR season and they'd still be happy to have him back in 2020.

If Gardner has his normal 3-WAR season he'll be the Yankees' #20 player all-time, passing Earle Combs, Jorge Posada, Mel Stottlemyre, Bob Shawkey, and Graig Nettles.

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