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Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen Saturday, November 05, 2011Dodgers - Re-signed Juan RiveraLos Angeles Dodgers - Signed OF Juan Rivera to a 1-year, $4.5 million contract with club option for 1-year, $3.5 million. This is a signing that makes me want to take a paint tutorial (Billy is pretty loyal to the Royals though and might not be available). Words will have to be enough. Honestly though this isn’t an objectively terrible signing. I can’t readily identify 60 better corner outfielders, so he’s (arguably) playing on merit. He isn’t horrendously overpaid and there’s no long-term ... Read More...Thursday, November 03, 20112012 ZIPS Projections - New York MetsObviously not a great year for the Mets at 77-85, but if you just went by the tenor of the media reports, thanks to the Wilpon/Madoff turmoil, you’d think the Mets played like the 1993 edition that went 59-103. The team spent most of the year, playing “sort of OK-ish” and while never really in any kind of risk of being relevant, weren’t Astrotastic horrible.
The pitching staff is interesting in that while it was one of the worst in the league (the 89 ERA+ was 15th of 16 teams in the National ... Read More...Tuesday, November 01, 2011Yankees - Signed SabathiaNew York Yankees - Signed P C.C. Sabathia to a 6-year, $142 million contract.
Well that was something of a letdown. I think most of us were poised Did he leave anything on the table either in terms of length of Monday, October 31, 2011Indians - Acquired LoweCleveland Indians - Acquired P Derek Lowe from the Atlanta Braves for P Chris Jones
It’s not exactly news that Lowe was surplus to requirements in
The problem is that he’s 3 years removed from being an impact player. Sunday, October 30, 20112012 ZiPS Projections - Philadelphia PhilliesNot a whole lot of surprises here. A ton of hitters that played in the organization get projected this year, mostly because the team employed a massive number of semi-familiar names this year. Brent Clevlen! Rich Thompson! Tagg Bozied! A lot of the minors looked a bit like the 2004 waiver wire in your fantasy baseball league.
The starting pitching made up for a lot of sins in the form of an overrated offense and should continue to do so, even if they can’t bring Roy Oswalt back at a ... Read More...Thursday, October 27, 20112012 ZiPS Projections - Chicago CubsEpstein! That’s pretty much the big news in Cubs baseball the last month. It’s still hard to tell what direction exactly Epstein will take the Cubs, but it’s likely that the list of players employed by the Cubs in 2012 will look very different than the list of players below. Epstein wasn’t brought in with giant sacks full of money in order to politely churn Jim Hendry’s assemblage of awesomeness.
On the plus side, the Cubs aren’t really as decrepit a team to rebuild as the Houston Astros ... Read More...Tuesday, October 25, 20112012 ZiPS Projections - Boston Red SoxDespite the September collapse, the Red Sox managed to still win 90 games, but the collapse is what will be remembered about this team in the year 2050. Hopefully, as we listen to baseball games in our rocket cars or watch with our virtual reality Ballparksperience contraptions. Still, what it came down didn’t really have much to do with beer drinking in the clubhouse (drinking beer and playing video games seemed to work just fine for the 5/6th of a season during which the team was one of ... Read More...Monday, October 24, 2011Frank McCourt Bankruptcy PlanWith so many interest in parties, keeping track of who owes who what is a monumental task. To make things simple, I’ve made a quick diagram that sums up Frank McCourt’s proposal to the bankruptcy court.
Transaction Oracle, the FutureAs most of you probably ought to know by now, I’ve been contributing regularly to ESPN.com for about a year and a half. As such, a lot of the transaction analysis stuff that went on in this area has gone by the wayside, simply because I’ve done a lot of articles for ESPN that involve player signings and trades. While I don’t write up every trade for ESPN, I do enough that to oraculate about the rest here would tend to leave this blog unsatisfyingly fragmented. After all, what good’s a ... Read More...2012 ZiPS Projections - New York YankeesAnd heeeeeeeere come the pretzels!
Just a reminder, that I’m going in reverse from last year. Starting next year, I’m going to randomly draw for order.
ZiPS is rather grumpy again about the Yankee starting pitching. Banuelos and Betances still have a lot of upside, but ZiPS is suspicious about them immediately making an impact in the rotation, given that they both walked way too many batters in AA. The good news for Yankees fans, of course, is that the team has an open wallet and is likely ... Read More...Sunday, October 16, 20112011 ZiPS Minor League Translations 0.9Archive with files .xlsx and .csv can be found here. I’m calling this 0.9 for now as there are usually some errors to massage out, sometimes big ones I overlooked.
As a reminder, these are translations, not projections and subject to the same pitfalls as any seasonal line is.
Any errors, omissions, or other questions, feel free to ask.
For those that don’t remember, I have two flavors, one with no $H regression and one with mild $H regression. I post the latter one as people have found it ... Read More...Dan Szymborski
Posted: October 16, 2011 at 08:09 PM | 10 comment(s)
Related News: minor leagues, sabermetrics Saturday, October 15, 20112011 Minor League Park MultipliersAs usual, the raw data for these would be a complete pain to accumulate without the scripting wizardry of Jeff Sackmann. Jeff runs College Splits, GMAT Hacks and has a weekly column on college baseball on ESPN Insider during the season. Jeff also has a tennis sabermetrics blog, Heavy Topspin. So make sure to support Jeff, or else I’ll have to put the information together myseful, resulting in a gigantic headache and me retaliating on the community with random beatings and pessimistic ... Read More...Thursday, August 25, 2011Saying Goodbye to FlannyI never got to meet Mike Flanagan. I have no stories about Flanagan, no interesting anecdotes about him, just the lingering emotional attachment that comes with rooting for a sports team when you’re a little kid. I was born in 1978, so I was too young to remember Mike Flanagan at his best as a pitcher. But he was a part of the first sports team I was old enough to follow over the course of an entire season, the 1983 Orioles. It was a pretty good year to become a fan, this being the last ... Read More...Tuesday, July 26, 2011ESPN: Szymborski: Cheap relief key for Bucs and Tribe (INSIDER)Read More... Page 2 of 2 pages < 1 2 | Site Archive
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