Name P Age AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS
Chipper Jones# 3b 37 .339 .435 .546 119 434 80 147 28 1 20 83 75 58 4 0
Brian McCann* c 25 .294 .359 .517 148 528 65 155 44 1 24 94 52 71 3 0
AVERAGE 1B————————————————————————————————————————-
Kelly Johnson* 2b 27 .281 .362 .456 124 445 72 125 27 6 13 65 55 96 8 5
Casey Kotchman* 1b 26 .283 .352 .445 127 434 56 123 27 2 13 63 42 41 2 2
AVERAGE LF————————————————————————————————————————-
AVERAGE RF————————————————————————————————————————-
AVERAGE 3B————————————————————————————————————————-
Greg Norton# lf 36 .268 .360 .409 85 198 26 53 10 0 6 27 28 45 1 1
Martin Prado 2b 25 .301 .352 .409 123 399 57 120 25 3 4 46 32 48 5 2
AVERAGE CF————————————————————————————————————————-
Matt Diaz lf 31 .301 .335 .439 87 239 27 72 10 1 7 33 9 47 4 2
Yunel Escobar ss 26 .283 .356 .395 133 484 65 137 26 2 8 57 51 71 5 6
AVERAGE 2B————————————————————————————————————————-
Omar Infante 3b 27 .284 .330 .397 118 363 49 103 23 3 4 41 24 59 4 1
AVERAGE SS————————————————————————————————————————-
AVERAGE C—————————————————————————————————————————
Barbaro Canizares 1b 29 .274 .323 .406 87 325 33 89 16 0 9 42 23 46 1 0
Brandon Jones* lf 25 .255 .316 .420 138 510 65 130 29 2 17 72 45 108 12 6
Jeff Francoeur rf 25 .263 .315 .399 156 609 75 160 34 2 15 78 40 117 2 1
Joe Borchard# rf 30 .239 .322 .394 86 226 29 54 9 1 8 32 26 74 3 2
Ruben Gotay# 2b 26 .257 .323 .380 121 292 31 75 16 1 6 34 27 65 4 3
Scott Thorman* 1b 27 .243 .282 .437 120 387 40 94 22 1 17 60 21 79 4 1
Gregor Blanco* cf 25 .258 .351 .328 140 466 64 120 16 4 3 43 64 94 16 9
Jordan Schafer* cf 22 .244 .300 .415 113 455 55 111 26 2 16 64 35 97 14 12
Wes Timmons 3b 29 .235 .326 .335 101 319 38 75 17 0 5 32 34 29 8 3
Tyler Flowers c 23 .235 .308 .382 115 434 48 102 22 0 14 57 44 86 5 8
Josh Anderson* cf 25 .267 .310 .337 145 573 73 153 22 3 4 54 30 78 37 10
Corky Miller c 33 .211 .298 .361 59 166 13 35 7 0 6 22 16 32 1 0
Jason Heyward* if 19 .240 .291 .361 128 499 70 120 22 1 12 59 36 77 13 4
Diory Hernandez 2b 25 .265 .301 .369 138 529 51 140 24 2 9 59 22 74 13 14
Brent Lillibridge ss 25 .230 .284 .361 129 488 62 112 22 3 12 57 32 106 29 8
Brandon Hicks ss 23 .204 .276 .369 86 328 42 67 16 1 12 44 29 88 9 5
Cody Johnson* lf 20 .211 .254 .406 123 470 36 99 20 0 24 72 29 142 6 4
Jason Phillips c 32 .236 .288 .340 69 212 18 50 10 0 4 23 14 29 0 1
Gorkys Hernandez cf 21 .236 .287 .333 110 454 62 107 19 2 7 45 30 74 27 9
Carl Loadenthal* lf 27 .248 .308 .300 107 367 44 91 11 1 2 31 30 67 21 10
Clint Sammons c 26 .218 .272 .305 102 344 27 75 15 0 5 33 23 67 4 2
Ray Serrano c 28 .228 .250 .333 40 123 13 28 7 0 2 13 3 19 2 1
Enrique Cruz 3b 27 .207 .255 .293 89 300 21 62 14 0 4 27 18 65 4 3
Derrick Arnold# 2b 25 .205 .233 .265 99 317 24 65 11 1 2 24 11 61 10 4
* - Bats Left
# = Switch-Hitter
Name CThr 1b 2b 3b ss lf cf rf
Jones# Av
McCann* Av
Johnson* Fr
Kotchman* Vg
Norton# Av Fr Pr
Prado Av Av Av Fr Av
Diaz Vg Av
Escobar Av
Infante Vg Vg Av Av Av
Canizares Fr
Jones* Vg Vg
Francoeur Av
Super Joe# Av Av
Gotay# Pr Fr Pr
Thorman* Vg Pr Av Av
Blanco* Vg Av Vg
Schafer* Av Av Av
Timmons Av Fr Av
Flowers Fr Av
Anderson* Av Vg Fr Vg
Miller Av Fr
Heyward* Vg Av Vg
Hernandez Av Vg Av
Lillibridge Av Av Av
Hicks Av Av
Johnson* Fr
Phillips Fr Pr
Hernandez Vg Vg Vg
Loadenthal* Fr Fr Fr
Sammons Av
Serrano Vg
Cruz Fr Fr Pr Fr Av
Arnold# Fr Av Fr Av Av
Player Spotlight - Casey Kotchman
Name AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS OPS+
Optimistic (15%) .303 .377 .501 143 489 72 149 37 3 18 82 53 41 3 2 129
Mean .283 .352 .445 127 434 56 123 27 2 13 63 42 41 2 2 109
Pessimistic (15%) .257 .318 .384 115 393 36 101 21 1 9 47 32 42 2 2 84
Top Near-Age Offensive Comps: Ed Kranepool, Jim Spencer
Player Spotlight - Kelly Johnson
Name AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS OPS+
Optimistic (15%) .314 .401 .529 135 484 93 152 37 8 17 84 69 93 12 5 143
Mean .281 .362 .456 124 445 72 125 27 6 13 65 55 96 8 5 114
Pessimistic (15%) .244 .329 .377 114 409 45 100 22 4 8 48 44 100 6 4 83
Top Near-Age Offensive Comps: Tony Phillips, George Grantham
Name Age ERA W L G GS INN H ER HR BB K
Rafael Soriano 29 3.13 2 1 45 0 46.0 37 16 6 14 49
Mike Gonzalez* 31 3.32 3 1 38 0 38.0 32 14 4 17 43
John Smoltz 42 3.63 8 5 20 19 119.0 117 48 12 28 110
Will Ohman* 31 3.76 3 2 75 0 55.0 50 23 4 25 51
Tim Hudson 33 3.77 12 8 27 27 172.0 171 72 14 49 104
Jair Jurrjens 23 3.80 12 9 30 30 180.0 179 76 13 58 120
Peter Moylan 30 3.88 3 2 43 0 51.0 48 22 4 24 40
AVERAGE RELIEVER—————————————————————————————————
Buddy Carlyle 31 4.06 2 2 26 4 51.0 49 23 6 18 46
Phil Stockman 29 4.11 1 1 26 0 35.0 32 16 3 22 32
Jeff Bennett 29 4.30 4 4 60 6 90.0 92 43 8 40 58
Royce Ring* 28 4.31 3 3 59 0 48.0 46 23 3 27 40
Julian Tavarez 36 4.37 3 3 57 2 70.0 75 34 6 30 57
Chris Resop 26 4.41 2 2 37 1 51.0 50 25 5 27 42
Jorge Julio 30 4.43 3 3 65 0 67.0 61 33 8 39 73
Jorge Campillo 30 4.50 5 6 25 17 116.0 127 58 14 31 70
AVERAGE STARTER—————————————————————————————————-
Manny Acosta 28 4.70 5 5 56 0 67.0 65 35 7 43 48
Kris Medlen 23 4.75 5 6 39 11 91.0 101 48 12 25 58
Blaine Boyer 27 4.77 4 5 58 6 83.0 86 44 7 41 64
Brad Nelson 27 4.84 3 4 40 5 80.0 91 43 8 26 36
Elmer Dessens 38 4.85 2 2 18 1 26.0 28 14 3 8 19
Jo-Jo Reyes* 24 4.90 7 8 26 25 134.0 141 73 16 61 101
Vladimir Nunez 34 4.92 4 5 48 4 86.0 89 47 10 49 69
Tom Glavine* 43 4.93 6 7 22 22 126.0 142 69 16 51 67
Jeff Ridgway* 28 4.98 3 3 56 0 65.0 66 36 9 33 55
Mike Hampton* 36 5.04 2 2 10 10 50.0 58 28 6 19 22
Brian Lawrence 33 5.06 5 8 17 16 96.0 119 54 10 23 45
Michael Nix 26 5.16 4 6 48 0 68.0 72 39 7 41 47
James Parr 23 5.22 8 12 31 29 157.0 177 91 21 59 86
Chuck James* 27 5.24 6 10 25 23 122.0 133 71 22 46 85
Charlie Morton 25 5.28 6 9 33 17 116.0 125 68 12 63 69
Thomas Hanson 22 5.43 6 10 27 27 131.0 136 79 23 60 90
Jonathon Rouwenhorst* 29 5.48 6 10 37 15 110.0 130 67 14 44 60
Zach Schreiber 27 5.83 2 4 46 0 54.0 57 35 9 36 42
Francisco Bueno* 28 5.87 3 6 20 16 95.0 116 62 17 33 56
Damian Moss* 32 6.25 3 7 23 12 72.0 83 50 12 49 47
Jairo Cuevas 25 6.44 3 9 17 16 81.0 94 58 14 57 45
Anthony Lerew 26 6.49 2 5 14 13 61.0 72 44 11 38 37
* - Throws Left
Player Spotlight - Tim Hudson
ERA W L G GS INN H ER HR BB K ERA+
Optimistic (15%) 2.95 16 6 29 29 189 168 62 12 45 126 146
Mean 3.77 12 8 27 27 172 171 72 14 49 104 115
Pessimistic (15%) 4.67 8 9 22 22 135 146 70 14 46 75 93
Top Near-Age Comps: Larry Jackson, Bob Forsch
Player Spotlight - Jair Jurrjens
ERA W L G GS INN H ER HR BB K ERA+
Optimistic (15%) 3.03 16 7 33 33 205 187 89 11 52 146 143
Mean 3.80 12 9 30 30 180 179 76 13 58 120 114
Pessimistic (15%) 4.56 9 9 26 26 148 159 75 13 61 94 95
Top Near-Age Comps: Greg Maddux, Larry Dierker
Disclaimer: ZiPS projections are computer-based projections of performance.
Performances have not been allocated to predicted playing time in the majors -
many of the players listed above are unlikely to play in the majors at all in 2009.
ZiPS is projecting equivalent production - a .240 ZiPS projection may end up
being .280 in AAA or .300 in AA, for example. Whether or not a player will play
is one of many non-statistical factors one has to take into account when predicting
the future.
Players are listed with their most recent teams unless Dan has made a mistake.
This is very possible as a lot of minor-league signings are generally unreported in
the offseason.
ZiPS is projecting based on the AL having a 4.44 ERA and the NL having a 4.38 ERA.
Reader Comments and Retorts
Go to end of page
Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.
1. 1k5v3LInteresting Cody Johnson projection.
Joe Borchard# rf 30 .239 .322 .394 86 226 29 54 9 1 8 32 26 74 3 2"
And a special guest appearance by Joe Borchard as the Ghost of Christmas Future?
If he can't scare Francoeur straight, then I guess nobody can.
Barbaro Canizares 1b 29 .274 .323 .406 87 325 33 89 16 0 9 42 23 46 1 0Time for the glue factory, I'm afraid.
Kinda surprised Frenchy's projections are as good as they are. I predict major shakeup of this roster before opening day.
What shakeups do you predict? Unless something fell into my lap, I wouldn't change that much. (And wouldn't plan on competing this year.)
dried up completely? No, but his year was terrible, he needed at the very least to hold serve or take a step froward, but moved back two spaces-
he now looks like this guy in some respects.
Good? He projects similarly to Ruben Gotay, a bad defensive 2b, but still a 2b, and ThorMan.
Sounds like they're the frontrunners to land Peavy. And there are rumors they'll deal Franceour and Kelly Johnson. You'll probably see them overhaul the rotation.
he did hit .239/.294/.359 last year, but .263/.315/.399 is below Frenchy's career line of .268/ .312/.434 - and he'll be only 25 next year....
I vaguely recall that before 2008 many were projecting 2008 to be Frenchy's breakout year...
I think he's on the precipice now:
up- Jose Guillen
down- Cory Patterson (without the CF defensive value)
* - Graffanino was replaced by Keith Lockhart, and DeRosa was replaced by Charles Thomas, with Chipper Jones changing positions.
Well, Maddux ages 22-25 was good, not great. I don't thinks ZiPS is projecting many 200+ ERA+s for Jurjjens just yet. :-) The Dierker comp is in some ways more impressive at that age ... but hopefully not prophetic as age 24 is when his arm started falling off.
contract aside, if he just likes to play it would be interesting to see him play the utility bat/garbage P role better than Brooks Kieschnick did.
up- Jose Guillen
down- Cory Patterson (without the CF defensive value)
There's down from where he is now?
a little shallow in the outfield.
They don't have a single outfielder that projects to hit like an average centerfielder. That's not shallow, the pool is empty.
That Hanson projection seems very pessimistic.
The Braves outfield looks really bad right now.
those are some shitty projections for the prospects. Schafer worse than Francoeur, Hanson just craptastic...
And I am surprised by the Yunel projection. He flashed some power once his shoulder got better.
Mccann only a 860 OPS ? :(
This team needs a power bat in the worse way possible
He's actually projected for an .876 OPS after a .896 in 2008. His relatively poor 2007 season is going to hurt the projection a little bit.
You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.
<< Back to main