———————————————————————————————————————————————————
CATCHERS
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
Name P Age AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS OPS+ THR
VERY GOOD
Chris Iannetta c 26 .268 .373 .481 106 339 49 91 21 3 15 57 49 80 1 1 113 Fr
FAIR
Michael McKenry c 24 .247 .311 .438 126 482 48 119 29 0 21 77 41 114 4 8 86 Vg
Edwin Bellorin c 27 .274 .305 .401 83 299 26 82 18 1 6 45 12 41 1 1 76 Av
Yorvit Torrealba c 30 .252 .309 .397 86 290 31 73 19 1 7 39 20 57 2 3 76 Av
POOR
Paul Phillips c 32 .263 .300 .343 81 274 25 72 13 0 3 21 14 31 0 1 62 Av
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
FIRST BASEMEN
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
Name P Age AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS OPS+ RNG
VERY GOOD
Todd Helton* 1b 35 .297 .411 .459 108 394 60 117 27 2 11 52 75 56 2 1 119 Vg
AVERAGE
Garrett Atkins 3b 29 .301 .360 .489 159 632 95 190 40 2 25 112 59 95 3 1 111 Fr
Ian Stewart* 3b 24 .281 .355 .503 159 551 86 155 34 5 26 95 58 144 9 2 113 Av
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
Joe Koshansky* 1b 27 .275 .342 .503 152 545 74 150 33 2 29 109 53 157 3 2 109 Av
POOR
Christian Colonel lf 27 .293 .337 .442 127 471 60 138 32 1 12 60 30 67 5 4 94 Av
Jeff Baker 2b 28 .269 .323 .466 101 294 43 79 18 2 12 48 23 76 3 1 96 Av
Dan Ortmeier# lf 28 .257 .305 .419 96 327 44 84 17 3 10 44 20 69 10 4 80 Av
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
SECOND BASEMEN
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
Name P Age AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS OPS+ RNG
VERY GOOD
Ian Stewart* 3b 24 .281 .355 .503 159 551 86 155 34 5 26 95 58 144 9 2 113 Fr
AVERAGE
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
Jeff Baker 2b 28 .269 .323 .466 101 294 43 79 18 2 12 48 23 76 3 1 96 Pr
POOR
Clint Barmes ss 30 .275 .318 .422 119 436 54 120 24 5 10 48 20 65 8 4 84 Av
Eric Young Jr.# 2b 24 .267 .329 .375 112 464 69 124 22 2 8 38 37 82 44 17 74 Av
Omar Quintanilla* ss 27 .267 .326 .364 102 330 46 88 21 1 3 28 27 59 3 1 74 Av
Jon Herrera# ss 24 .281 .326 .349 109 381 46 107 13 2 3 35 23 48 13 6 71 Av
Luis A. Gonzalez 2b 30 .260 .304 .375 34 104 10 27 6 0 2 11 4 17 0 0 70 Fr
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
THIRD BASEMEN
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
Name P Age AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS OPS+ RNG
VERY GOOD
Garrett Atkins 3b 29 .301 .360 .489 159 632 95 190 40 2 25 112 59 95 3 1 111 Fr
Ian Stewart* 3b 24 .281 .355 .503 159 551 86 155 34 5 26 95 58 144 9 2 113 Av
FAIR
Christian Colonel lf 27 .293 .337 .442 127 471 60 138 32 1 12 60 30 67 5 4 94 Fr
Jeff Baker 2b 28 .269 .323 .466 101 294 43 79 18 2 12 48 23 76 3 1 96 Fr
POOR
Clint Barmes ss 30 .275 .318 .422 119 436 54 120 24 5 10 48 20 65 8 4 84 Av
Luis A. Gonzalez 2b 30 .260 .304 .375 34 104 10 27 6 0 2 11 4 17 0 0 70 Fr
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
SHORTSTOPS
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
Name P Age AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS OPS+ RNG
VERY GOOD
Troy Tulowitzki ss 24 .280 .350 .457 133 508 77 142 31 4 17 74 52 91 4 4 101 Vg
FAIR
Clint Barmes ss 30 .275 .318 .422 119 436 54 120 24 5 10 48 20 65 8 4 84 Av
POOR
Omar Quintanilla* ss 27 .267 .326 .364 102 330 46 88 21 1 3 28 27 59 3 1 74 Av
Jon Herrera# ss 24 .281 .326 .349 109 381 46 107 13 2 3 35 23 48 13 6 71 Av
Christopher Nelson ss 23 .241 .293 .377 98 398 45 96 22 1 10 56 28 79 9 4 67 Fr
Luis A. Gonzalez 2b 30 .260 .304 .375 34 104 10 27 6 0 2 11 4 17 0 0 70 Pr
Hector Gomez ss 21 .243 .273 .355 39 169 19 41 8 1 3 14 6 35 4 4 57 Vg
————————————————————————————————————————————————————-
CORNER OUTFIELDERS
————————————————————————————————————————————————————-
Name P Age AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS OPS+ LF RF
VERY GOOD
Brad Hawpe* rf 30 .283 .377 .498 146 498 71 141 27 4 24 91 74 129 3 2 118 Pr
AVERAGE
————————————————————————————————————————————————————-
Seth Smith* rf 26 .296 .359 .473 143 469 65 139 32 3 15 70 44 78 8 2 106 Av Av
Ryan Spilborghs cf 29 .295 .369 .450 100 298 49 88 18 2 8 43 35 54 7 3 105 Av Av
FAIR
Matt Murton lf 27 .290 .351 .431 124 404 55 117 23 2 10 46 36 49 6 2 96 Av Fr
Christian Colonel lf 27 .293 .337 .442 127 471 60 138 32 1 12 60 30 67 5 4 94 Av Av
Jeff Baker 2b 28 .269 .323 .466 101 294 43 79 18 2 12 48 23 76 3 1 96 Fr Fr
POOR
Dan Ortmeier# lf 28 .257 .305 .419 96 327 44 84 17 3 10 44 20 69 10 4 80 Av Fr
Scott Podsednik* lf 33 .276 .340 .360 91 272 42 75 16 2 1 20 24 44 20 9 77 Av
Chris Frey* cf 25 .281 .321 .367 136 474 52 133 24 4 3 38 26 55 12 6 73 Av Av
Sean Barker rf 29 .254 .298 .387 98 323 43 82 19 3 6 42 17 86 10 4 71 Av Av
Carlos Gonzalez* cf 23 .246 .288 .391 130 468 56 115 33 1 11 58 25 103 7 4 69 Av Av
Luis A. Gonzalez 2b 30 .260 .304 .375 34 104 10 27 6 0 2 11 4 17 0 0 70 Av Fr
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
CENTERFIELDERS
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
Name P Age AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS OPS+ RNG
AVERAGE
Seth Smith* rf 26 .296 .359 .473 143 469 65 139 32 3 15 70 44 78 8 2 106 Pr
Ryan Spilborghs cf 29 .295 .369 .450 100 298 49 88 18 2 8 43 35 54 7 3 105 Pr
———————————————————————————————————————————————————
Matt Murton lf 27 .290 .351 .431 124 404 55 117 23 2 10 46 36 49 6 2 96 Fr
FAIR
Dexter Fowler cf 23 .275 .345 .385 100 397 60 109 17 3 7 40 38 78 18 10 84 Vg
POOR
Dan Ortmeier# lf 28 .257 .305 .419 96 327 44 84 17 3 10 44 20 69 10 4 80 Fr
Scott Podsednik* lf 33 .276 .340 .360 91 272 42 75 16 2 1 20 24 44 20 9 77 Pr
Chris Frey* cf 25 .281 .321 .367 136 474 52 133 24 4 3 38 26 55 12 6 73 Fr
Sean Barker rf 29 .254 .298 .387 98 323 43 82 19 3 6 42 17 86 10 4 71 Fr
Carlos Gonzalez* cf 23 .246 .288 .391 130 468 56 115 33 1 11 58 25 103 7 4 69 Av
* - Bats Left
# - Switch Hitter
—————————————————————————————————————————————
STARTERS
—————————————————————————————————————————————
Name Age ERA W L G GS INN H ER HR BB K ERA+
MIDDLE THIRD
Aaron Cook 30 4.38 11 11 29 29 193.1 221 94 15 48 83 109
Ubaldo Jimenez 25 4.44 11 12 32 32 180.1 175 89 14 102 153 107
Jeff Francis* 28 4.64 9 11 29 29 178.1 194 92 22 58 125 102
————————————————————————————————————————————
Jorge de la Rosa* 28 4.95 6 7 24 17 96.1 98 53 13 46 87 96
Jason Marquis 30 5.03 8 12 28 28 161.0 179 90 20 68 83 94
Greg Smith* 25 5.03 7 10 25 25 143.0 154 80 19 49 84 95
BOTTOM THIRD
Greg Reynolds 23 5.70 4 7 19 19 94.2 114 60 13 34 39 83
Shane Lindsay 24 5.78 3 5 15 15 67.0 69 43 6 62 49 82
Franklin Morales* 23 5.87 5 11 26 26 133.1 146 87 18 93 77 81
Esmil Rogers 23 5.92 5 9 22 22 124.2 150 82 20 52 58 80
Samuel Deduno 25 6.09 3 6 16 16 88.2 101 60 11 66 57 79
Jason Hirsh 27 6.13 4 9 23 21 120.1 139 82 22 63 68 77
—————————————————————————————————————————————
RELIEVERS
—————————————————————————————————————————————
Name Age ERA W L G GS INN H ER HR BB K ERA+
TOP THIRD
Huston Street 25 3.58 6 4 62 0 65.1 58 26 7 19 67 133
Manuel Corpas 26 3.71 4 2 76 0 77.2 79 32 6 21 56 128
Taylor Buchholz 27 3.72 5 4 64 0 67.2 64 28 6 20 54 128
MIDDLE THIRD
Jason Grilli 32 3.97 3 3 56 0 70.1 68 31 4 32 57 120
—————————————————————————————————————————————
Alan Embree* 39 4.43 2 3 65 0 61.0 61 30 7 22 53 107
Ryan Speier 29 4.66 3 3 60 0 63.2 68 33 5 29 42 102
Matt Belisle 29 4.87 5 7 33 13 101.2 117 55 13 24 64 96
BOTTOM THIRD
Steven Register 26 5.01 3 3 64 0 64.2 72 36 8 24 41 95
Juan Morillo 25 5.12 2 3 56 0 63.1 63 36 5 53 46 93
Ryan Mattheus 25 5.55 3 4 60 0 61.2 71 38 9 30 34 86
* - Throws Left
——————————————————————-
Player Spotlight - Troy Tulowitzki
AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS OPS+
Projection .280 .350 .457 133 508 77 142 31 4 17 74 52 91 4 4 101
Top Near-Age Offensive Comps: J.J. Hardy, Andujar Cedeno, Eddie Miller
ODDIBE
Offense %
Top Quintile 31
2nd Quintile 30
Mid Quintile 24
4th Quintile 12
Low Quintile 3
OPS+ % OBP % 3B % Hits %
160+ 0 .400+ 2 10+ 4 200+ 0
140+ 1 .375+ 17 5+ 37 150+ 28
130+ 5 .350+ 52
120+ 13 .325+ 86 2B %
110+ 34 .300+ 98 45+ 4
100+ 56 30+ 59
90+ 79
80+ 93
60+ 98
BA % SLG % HR % SB %
.350+ 0 .550+ 2 50+ 0 70+ 0
.325+ 4 .500+ 16 40+ 0 50+ 0
.300+ 22 .450+ 57 30+ 3 30+ 0
.275+ 60 .400+ 92 20+ 29 10+ 12
.250+ 90 .350+ 100 10+ 91
(Based on Projected PA)
——————————————————————-
Player Spotlight - Brad Hawpe
AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS OPS+
Projection .283 .377 .498 146 498 71 141 27 4 24 91 74 129 3 2 118
Top Near-Age Offensive Comps: Paul O’Neill, Warren Cromartie, Jay Buhner
ODDIBE
Offense %
Top Quintile 24
2nd Quintile 40
Mid Quintile 19
4th Quintile 11
Low Quintile 6
OPS+ % OBP % 3B % Hits %
160+ 1 .400+ 19 10+ 6 200+ 0
140+ 10 .375+ 56 5+ 38 150+ 23
130+ 30 .350+ 87
120+ 50 .325+ 98 2B %
110+ 77 .300+ 100 45+ 1
100+ 91 30+ 35
90+ 98
80+ 100
60+ 100
BA % SLG % HR % SB %
.350+ 0 .550+ 13 50+ 0 70+ 0
.325+ 5 .500+ 52 40+ 2 50+ 0
.300+ 25 .450+ 91 30+ 21 30+ 0
.275+ 64 .400+ 100 20+ 78 10+ 6
.250+ 92 .350+ 100 10+ 100
(Based on Projected PA)
——————————————————————-
Player Spotlight - Ubaldo Jimenez
ERA W L G GS INN H ER HR BB K ERA+
Projection 4.44 11 12 32 32 180.1 175 89 14 102 153 107
Top Near-Age Comps: Jim Clancy, Van Mungo, Bump Hadley
ODDIBE
ERA %
Top 1/3 42
Mid 1/3 54
Bot 1/3 4
ERA+ % BB %
>150 1 >30 0
>140 3 >40 0
>130 7 >50 0
>120 19 >60 0
>110 42 >70 1
>100 73 >80 7
>90 95
>80 100 HR %
>70 100 >14 59
>20 92
K/9 % >26 99
>180 5 >32 100
>160 17
>140 53
>120 90
(Based on Projected IP)
——————————————————————-
Player Spotlight - Aaron Cook
ERA W L G GS INN H ER HR BB K ERA+
Projection 4.38 11 11 29 29 193.1 221 94 15 48 83 109
Top Near-Age Comps: Scott Erickson, Jake Westbrook, Mel Stottlemyre
ODDIBE
ERA %
Top 1/3 48
Mid 1/3 49
Bot 1/3 3
ERA+ % BB %
>150 1 >32 2
>140 3 >43 33
>130 8 >54 82
>120 24 >64 97
>110 51 >75 100
>100 79 >86 100
>90 97
>80 100 HR %
>70 100 >15 58
>21 92
K/9 % >28 99
>193 0 >34 100
>172 0
>150 0
>129 0
(Based on Projected IP)
——————————————————————-
ODDIBE (Odds of Important Baseball Events)
OPS+ 140+
Hawpe 10
Atkins 4
Stewart 4
OBP .400+
Helton 67
Iannetta 21
Hawpe 19
SLG .550+
Koshansky 17
Stewart 13
Hawpe 13
BA .325+
Spilborghs 16
Atkins 15
Helton 14
2B 45+
Atkins 26
Stewart 11
Koshansky 6
3B 10+
Barmes 7
Tulowitzki 4
Frey 2
HR 30+
Koshansky 48
Stewart 35
Atkink 23
SB 50+
Young 30
Fowler 1
ERA+ 140+ (Starters)
Cook 3
Jimenez 3
Francis 2
ERA+ 140+ (Relievers)
Street 39
Corpas 37
Buchholz 37
K/9 9+ (Starters)
de la Rosa 23
Jimenez 5
K/9 9+ (Relievers)
Street 51
Bowers 32
Grilli 7
BB/9 1.5- (Starters)
Cook 2
BB/9 1.5- (Relievers)
Belisle 11
Street 6
Corpas 5
HR/9 0.7- (Starters)
Jimenez 59
Cook 56
Lindsay 49
HR/9 0.7- (Relievers)
Grilli 73
Morillo 62
Corpas 57
All figures in % based on projection playing time - Min. 300 PA/50 IP for inclusion
Disclaimer: ZiPS projections are computer-based projections of performance.
Performances have not been allocated to predicted playing time in the majors -
many of the players listed above are unlikely to play in the majors at all in 2009.
ZiPS is projecting equivalent production - a .240 ZiPS projection may end up
being .280 in AAA or .300 in AA, for example. Whether or not a player will play
is one of many non-statistical factors one has to take into account when predicting
the future.
Players are listed with their most recent teams unless Dan has made a mistake.
This is very possible as a lot of minor-league signings are generally unreported in
the offseason.
ZiPS is projecting based on the AL having a 4.44 ERA and the NL having a 4.38 ERA.
Players that are expected to be out due to injury are still projected. More information
is always better than less information and a computer isn’t what should be projecting
the injury status of, for example, a pitcher with Tommy John surgery.
Positional offense is ranked by RC/27 and divided into quintiles based on what the
most frequent starting players at each position did in 2006-2008. Excellent is the top
quintile, Very Good the 2nd quintile and so on.
Reader Comments and Retorts
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1. "bothsidesism" word 57i66135 Posted: February 10, 2009 at 01:37 PM (#3072996)Double his RC/27 and he has the 11th highest RC/27 (of players that I've projected), just below Ryan Howard. I'll take the under!
None of the projection systems are expecting big things after how poorly Gonzalez played last year.
I liked CarGo last year, but I think you may be setting yourself up for disappointment. I agree his defense is better than generally accepted, but he's got a lot of learning to do in the batter's box. If he can manage a .310 or .315 or so, OBA, you've got to be happy with that. He's a freakin doubles machine, though. I think he'll be solid, eventually. AROM has his upside as Garret Anderson and that makes a lot of sense to me but I think his glove is better than GA's in his prime. I would advise patience.
Steagles, just switch bandwagons from Carlos Gonzalez to Dexter Fowler. You'll be happier.
last year, he proved that he's a capable CFer, and while i still don't think his bat is all that great, i think it'll be enough to make him a very good player.
i'm firmly entrenched in that bandwagon, as well. 6'5" of lithe, lean CFer, who can draw a walk and steal a base will always be appreciated in my book.
i just happen to think gonzalez is better than the 9th best CF option in colorado.
also, for this particular list, i think separating out the tiers would make a huge difference. joe koshansky might be projected for a .500 SLG%, but i can't imagine that'd be better than average in that park and at 1B.
No. 7: What hip injury? Tulowitzki tore a muscle in his quad last year, then ripped open his palm. Neither is likely to have any long-term effects.
My theory on Coors Field is that it has its greatest effect on power hitters who put the ball in play, which is why Matt Holliday's home/road splits narrowed throughout his career as he learned to draw more walks, and Brad Hawpe, who walks a lot, has never had a severe split. Carlos Gonzalez hardly walks ever, and doesn't strike out that much for a power hitter; he could be the new Dante Bichette. At any rate, the Rockies have four plausible outfield candidates in Gonzalez, Spilborghs, Hawpe and Stewart, so even if one of them falls apart or gets hurt, they'll be OK out there. It would be nice if one of them stepped forward to be an MVP candidate and fill Holliday's shoes, but even if they don't, none of them should be nearly as bad as Willy Taveras was last year.
It would also be nice if they'd just forget about Podsednik once and for all. Those four guys plus Seth Smith and Dexter Fowler (who I presume starts the year at AAA) is plenty of outfielders.
However, if you take a step back, MLB has quietly started to resemble the NFL in that every year could be your year and you kind of have to take a "win now" approach to your team every year, or close to every year. Esp in a small 4 team division, where getting into the playoffs can happen by accident and these days winning the World Series once there is occasionally something of an accident.
Of course this is not to say the Rockies should not be trying to operate with a (strategic) plan in mind.
I would be a little concerned about the torn quad. At Tulo's age it might be nothing but a similar injury has robbed Soriano of much of his speed.
which would be what exactly?
He hit .283/.344/.416 in the PCl last year,
He hit .286/.330/.476 in AA in 2007
He hit .300/.356/.563 in the Calif League for the Lancaster JetHawks- the TEAM hit .303/.368/.483- and that's a pretty typical line there.
Basically his established level of minor league performance says he has trouble reaching a league average OBP IN THE MINORS.
All he's got on his side is youth, and even considering his youth and his levels he didn't hit nearly as well as Milledge or Chris Young or Delmon Young did in the minors (when accounting for park/league context).
And those three put up OPS+s of 91, 91 and 102 last year.
2006: 218/264/379
2007: 274/308/438
2008: 246/284/361
His minor-league performance isn't much to scream about.
Level, OPS, lgOPS
A-, 756, 723
A, 849, 723
A+, 919, 764
AA, 794, 731
AAA, 787, 801
MLB, 634, 734
He hasn't really sustained his performance through the high minors, and that's somewhat troubling. I agree that given his defense and his tools there's a lot to like here (I also find him aesthetically pleasing as a ballplayer and enjoyed rooting for him). But he's not getting any younger and the bat needs to show up at some point. He'll probably end up as at least average all things considered, but - unfair as it sounds - he was supposed to be a star.
Seems about right. I saw him at the Futures Game a few years back.
Take out the word "power" and I think you're correct, although for some reason Taveras didn't (maybe because when he hits the ball in the air it's a weak popup, whereas most of the other guy who were primarily contact hitters at least had a little oomph). Pierre had big splits in two of his three years there. Aaron Miles also had huge splits in his two seasons.
-- MWE
Dan, this is creepy. I literally watched this episode less than 12 hours ago.
Do you have projection for Glendon Rusch? With Francis possibly going down he becomes a little more important.
Bowers - 3-4, 5.48, 87 ERA+
Fogg - 5-11, 5.80, 82 ERA+
Rusch - 4-8, 5.91, 80 ERA+
Ha! Jokes on you! I'm not white! <goes back to watching Simpsons>
I did say mostly!
I think it's worth noting that ZIPS absolutely nailed Gonzalez last year:
Projection: .228/.271/.365, 68 OPS+
Actual: .242/.273/.361, 72 OPS+
His MLE at AAA--translated into Oakland--was also right at the same level. That said, the fact that he matched his projections doesn't mean he's the same prospect he was last year. CarGo's prospectdom has never been based on his numbers, but on the chance that he could translate his great tools into great skills. Another year without doing so dims his hopes some. But he was also surprisingly good with the glove after being hyped as overmatched in CF last offseason. Dewan had him as +5 plays in CF in 530 innings and anther +5 plays in RF in just 160 innings. UZR said pretty much the same (+3 runs in CF, +4 runs in RF).
...oh wait
I think that means the joke is on me.
What's missing is some kind of long-term strategy.
But they essentially wasted the year in that they answered very few questions about the team going forward.
So all over, we see the artifacts of poor planning sucking the talented players down.
So, what you're trying to say here, Dan, is that the Rockies are a poorly run team?
Don't worry, soon any income will be above average. You might even be able to hire a giant to carry you around!
Not really, I mean, they're functional at lots of things, not like the 98-02ish Orioles.
-- MWE
-- MWE
Thanks for the projection, as always. Any specific suggestions on what they should be doing?
Love the "Homer" plan, even if you do use it a lot. I hope that all of Dayton Moore's offseason brilliance earn him quite the Oracle intro the the Royals 2009 projections... Maybe even another note from Billy.
I thought this sounded impossible and that you were exaggerating. Then I looked it up and... wow.
Dev, check the last bit in the disclaimer!
And keep signing older fill-in guys thinking that you'll occasionally get hits like Herges in 07.
That's not a bad strategy, one that would generally get good props here.
I just think that they are TOO dependent on prospects being the solution to everything. They could, for example, use a quality bat in the OF at a time when there are several really good hitters who can probably be snagged cheap. This is a pretty winnable division, even after trading Holliday. They just don't seem to be doing much beside relying on prospects to mature.
As a narrow strategy, it doesn't address other issues like what to do with Todd Helton who is over-payed and under-productive. It's probably too late to trade him (when did he turn 35?). But the time for thinking about that was a few years ago.
I'm getting old...
I agree. Just look at all of the guys they potentially will have that have come up thru their system:
Ianetta
Stewart
Tulowitzki
Hawpe
Spillbourghs
Fowler
Smith, Seth
Koshansky
Barmes
Colonel
Francis
Jimenez
Morales
Reynolds
Corpas
Register
Morillo
and probably a couple I missed..
That's essentially your 2006-2007 Tulsa Drillers.
Of course he's not really 9th on the ZiPS depth chart either. First, Murton's on there by mistake. The other two average-hitting guys are poor defensively. Of the poor-hitting guys, Gonzalez is rated the best defender. ZiPS is saying Fowler's the "best" CF choice and after that, ZiPS is just holding its nose, closing its eyes and praying the dart doesn't hit Podsednik.
I'll be glad though after he's plowed through these and can go back to the other best thing he does: transaction analysis. Lowe, Looper, Dunn, Abreu... they're kind of piling up.
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