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Transaction Oracle— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen
Saturday, September 25, 2010
2010 Minor League Park Multipliers
The original data that these were derived from was provided by Jeff Sackmann of Minor League Splits and Brew Crew Ball. Please support Jeff’s sites or I’ll have to mine this data myself next year, which will give me a gigantic headache and make me sad.
This year, I’ve started using runs created instead of runs for the run factors. I always was pretty sure that the RC factor would predict future R factors better than actual R factors, but I didn’t want to switch until I did the work to verify it. Three-Year factors are weighted 8/5/4.
Three-Year Weighted
TM R H 2B HR BB K
Aberdeen 1.00 1.00 0.95 1.06 1.00 1.00
Akron 0.99 1.00 1.01 0.89 1.03 0.97
Albuquerque 1.23 1.12 1.11 1.27 0.93 0.94
Altoona 0.95 1.01 1.00 0.84 0.97 0.96
Arkansas 0.91 0.96 0.93 0.81 0.98 1.02
Asheville 1.16 1.07 1.20 1.11 1.03 0.97
Auburn 1.08 1.03 1.08 0.96 1.02 1.04
Augusta 1.01 0.99 0.98 0.88 1.04 1.05
Bakersfield 1.02 1.00 1.09 1.10 1.01 0.99
Batavia 1.00 0.99 1.12 0.99 0.97 0.98
Beloit 1.02 1.01 1.00 1.11 0.99 1.00
Binghamton 1.02 1.03 1.00 1.03 0.99 0.97
Birmingham 0.96 0.98 1.00 0.85 0.99 1.00
Boise 1.00 1.03 0.94 0.97 1.00 0.93
Bowie 1.01 0.98 0.98 1.13 1.03 1.00
Bowling Green 0.98 0.98 1.00 1.07 1.00 1.00
Bradenton 1.05 1.01 1.02 1.09 1.01 1.01
Brevard 0.95 0.99 0.91 0.93 1.02 1.00
Brooklyn 1.00 1.02 1.06 1.02 0.96 1.03
Buffalo 1.03 0.99 1.07 1.06 1.02 0.97
Burlington 1.00 1.00 1.02 0.99 1.01 1.01
Carolina 1.01 1.00 1.08 0.99 1.01 0.99
Cedar Rapids 1.05 1.02 1.04 0.97 1.00 0.99
Charleston 0.95 0.97 0.94 0.86 1.00 1.01
Charlotte (A) 1.02 1.00 1.04 1.18 1.01 0.99
Charlotte 1.02 0.99 0.96 1.24 0.97 1.02
Chattanooga 1.01 1.00 1.09 1.02 0.99 0.99
Clearwater 0.98 0.99 0.97 1.16 1.00 0.99
Clinton 1.01 0.99 0.99 0.97 1.07 1.01
Colorado Sprng 1.13 1.07 1.09 1.01 1.03 0.95
Columbus 1.08 1.03 1.04 1.17 1.00 0.99
Connecticut 0.91 0.96 0.96 0.81 0.97 1.02
Corpus Christi 1.00 0.99 0.96 1.11 0.99 1.01
Dayton 1.03 1.00 1.03 1.11 1.00 1.03
Daytona 1.06 1.01 1.01 1.15 1.01 1.03
Delmarva 0.91 0.95 0.93 0.88 0.99 1.04
Dunedin 1.06 1.01 1.10 1.13 0.99 1.01
Durham 1.06 1.02 1.06 1.09 1.00 1.01
Erie 1.12 1.02 1.02 1.21 1.03 1.00
Eugene 0.93 0.95 0.93 1.01 1.01 1.04
Everett 1.08 0.99 1.07 1.47 1.05 1.07
Fort Myers 0.98 0.99 1.00 0.93 1.03 0.98
Fort Wayne 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.03 1.00 0.98
Frederick 1.05 1.00 0.99 1.26 0.97 1.05
Fresno 0.97 0.98 0.93 1.13 0.98 0.98
Frisco 0.99 0.98 0.96 1.03 1.01 1.02
Great Lakes 0.97 0.99 1.01 0.95 1.02 1.05
Greensboro 1.11 1.03 1.04 1.39 1.02 0.97
Greenville 1.03 1.02 1.03 1.07 0.98 1.00
Gwinnett 0.98 1.01 0.96 0.92 1.01 0.99
Hagerstown 0.97 0.99 1.01 1.00 0.96 0.99
Harrisburg 1.01 1.01 0.96 1.09 0.96 0.98
Hickory 1.03 1.03 0.96 1.16 0.99 0.98
High Desert 1.20 1.09 1.06 1.31 1.05 0.99
Hudson Valley 0.98 0.98 0.93 0.85 0.97 1.04
Huntsville 1.03 1.00 0.98 1.16 1.05 1.03
Indianapolis 0.96 1.00 0.97 0.90 0.98 0.98
Inland Empire 0.89 0.96 0.89 0.80 0.99 1.01
Iowa 0.96 0.97 1.04 0.96 1.00 1.09
Jacksonville 0.96 0.97 0.89 1.02 1.01 1.06
Jamestown 1.04 1.03 0.94 1.07 1.00 0.98
Jupiter 0.96 1.00 0.97 0.86 0.94 0.99
Kane County 0.99 1.01 0.93 0.96 0.99 0.99
Kannapolis 1.01 1.02 0.98 0.96 1.01 0.99
Kinston 1.00 0.99 0.91 1.13 1.06 1.05
Lake County 1.02 1.00 0.96 1.23 1.00 1.00
Lake Elsinore 0.92 0.98 1.03 0.79 1.01 0.99
Lakeland 1.02 1.02 0.99 0.97 1.02 0.98
Lakewood 0.92 0.97 0.95 0.77 1.02 1.02
Lancaster 1.11 1.05 0.99 1.22 0.97 0.94
Lansing 1.02 1.01 0.97 0.95 1.03 0.98
Las Vegas 1.06 1.06 1.08 1.01 0.99 0.98
Lehigh Valley 0.96 0.98 0.95 0.93 1.00 1.05
Lexington 0.98 0.98 1.01 1.13 1.00 1.00
Louisville 0.99 1.01 0.96 1.02 0.99 0.97
Lowell 1.07 1.00 1.12 0.96 1.03 1.00
Lynchburg 0.99 1.01 1.05 0.88 0.98 0.98
Mahoning Valley 1.01 0.99 1.00 1.13 1.03 0.99
Memphis 0.94 0.97 0.94 1.00 0.97 1.03
Midland 1.02 1.05 1.06 0.89 0.99 0.94
Mississippi 0.95 0.99 0.92 0.81 1.00 1.01
Mobile 1.02 1.00 0.97 1.14 0.99 0.99
Modesto 0.96 1.00 1.09 0.77 0.99 1.02
Montgomery 1.03 1.01 1.00 1.08 1.02 0.99
Myrtle Beach 0.97 0.99 0.89 0.96 1.02 0.99
Nashville 0.98 0.97 0.99 1.02 1.05 1.06
New Britain 0.98 1.00 1.09 0.90 0.97 1.03
New Hampshire 1.03 1.01 1.00 1.04 1.02 1.01
New Orleans 0.91 0.96 0.98 0.97 0.98 1.01
Norfolk 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.91 1.02 1.01
NW Arkansas 1.08 1.03 1.07 1.08 1.02 0.96
Oklahoma City 1.00 1.02 0.98 0.90 0.99 0.98
Omaha 0.97 0.99 0.95 0.97 1.01 1.00
Palm Beach 0.92 0.99 0.96 0.89 0.96 1.00
Pawtucket 0.97 0.97 0.94 1.05 1.04 1.01
Peoria 0.95 0.99 0.94 1.00 0.97 1.00
Portland (AA) 1.04 1.01 1.02 1.01 1.02 1.02
Portland 0.88 0.92 0.91 0.94 1.02 1.05
Potomac 1.01 1.01 1.00 0.97 0.98 0.99
Quad Cities 1.01 0.99 0.99 1.07 0.99 1.01
Rancho Cuca. 0.95 0.98 0.95 0.95 1.00 1.00
Reading 1.05 1.00 0.99 1.30 1.02 0.98
Reno 1.07 1.02 1.05 1.09 1.04 0.95
Richmond 0.97 1.00 0.96 0.91 0.99 1.01
Rochester 1.01 1.00 1.04 0.98 1.00 1.02
Rome 0.97 1.01 0.96 0.81 0.96 0.96
Round Rock 0.99 1.00 1.00 0.97 1.00 0.97
Sacramento 0.92 0.95 0.91 0.87 1.04 1.04
Salem 0.99 1.01 1.01 0.86 0.97 0.94
Salem-Keizer 1.05 1.02 1.06 1.14 0.99 0.99
Salt Lake 1.05 1.03 0.98 1.09 0.97 0.98
San Antonio 0.92 0.97 0.95 0.84 1.00 1.02
San Jose 0.94 0.97 0.98 1.01 0.94 1.04
Savannah 0.92 0.96 1.01 0.78 1.00 1.01
Scranton 0.95 0.99 0.96 0.93 0.95 1.02
South Bend 0.99 1.01 1.02 0.99 1.01 0.95
Spokane 1.02 1.00 1.01 1.16 0.96 1.04
Springfield 1.08 1.02 1.03 1.24 0.98 1.06
St. Lucie 1.03 1.00 1.05 0.96 1.02 1.01
State College 1.00 1.02 1.04 0.89 1.00 0.96
Staten Island 0.98 0.98 1.00 1.09 1.02 0.96
Stockton 1.00 0.98 0.94 1.16 1.01 1.03
Syracuse 1.00 1.01 1.02 0.97 1.03 0.95
Tacoma 0.99 0.98 1.01 0.96 1.00 1.04
Tampa 0.98 1.00 0.96 0.86 1.00 1.01
Tennessee 1.03 1.01 1.02 1.11 0.99 0.95
Toledo 0.98 1.00 1.04 0.97 1.00 1.03
Trenton 0.90 0.95 0.93 0.83 1.00 1.07
Tri-City (NP) 1.05 1.01 1.02 1.24 1.05 1.00
Tri-City (NW) 0.93 0.97 0.94 0.75 0.97 1.06
Tulsa 1.02 1.00 1.00 1.13 1.00 0.97
Vancouver 0.99 1.00 1.03 0.83 1.03 0.95
Vermont 0.97 0.96 0.89 1.00 1.04 1.05
Visalia 1.03 1.01 1.05 1.03 1.04 1.00
West Michigan 0.96 1.01 0.98 0.84 0.93 1.00
West Tennessee 1.00 1.03 1.03 0.95 0.96 1.00
West Virginia 1.03 1.00 1.03 1.10 1.01 1.03
Williamsport 0.98 1.00 0.99 1.00 0.97 0.99
Wilmington 0.94 0.96 0.95 0.84 1.07 1.03
Winston-Salem 1.05 1.03 1.06 1.19 0.97 0.97
Wisconsin 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.97 1.03 1.02
Yakima 1.04 1.04 1.05 0.84 1.01 0.93
2010
TM R H 2B HR BB K
Aberdeen 1.02 1.04 0.95 1.07 0.96 0.95
Akron 0.96 0.98 1.04 0.84 1.01 0.97
Albuquerque 1.27 1.11 1.18 1.32 0.92 0.95
Altoona 0.90 0.99 1.00 0.80 0.94 0.98
Arkansas 0.87 0.94 0.96 0.74 1.01 1.05
Asheville 1.21 1.07 1.20 1.14 1.09 0.96
Auburn 1.10 1.04 1.08 0.94 1.01 1.04
Augusta 0.94 0.97 0.96 0.85 1.01 1.09
Bakersfield 1.07 1.02 1.14 1.10 1.02 0.96
Batavia 0.98 0.98 1.07 0.95 0.97 0.97
Beloit 0.99 1.00 0.97 1.12 0.95 1.01
Binghamton 0.98 1.02 0.98 1.00 0.98 0.96
Birmingham 0.97 0.98 1.05 0.87 1.01 1.00
Boise 0.97 1.01 0.94 0.93 1.05 0.95
Bowie 1.02 0.98 0.97 1.10 1.08 0.99
Bowling Green 0.99 0.95 1.02 1.10 1.03 1.02
Bradenton 1.10 1.03 1.04 1.18 1.02 1.02
Brevard County 0.90 0.99 0.88 0.84 1.00 0.97
Brooklyn 1.04 1.03 1.02 1.04 0.95 1.03
Buffalo 1.02 1.00 1.11 1.05 1.00 0.95
Burlington 1.02 1.00 1.09 1.02 0.98 1.01
Carolina 1.01 1.00 1.04 1.01 1.01 1.00
Cedar Rapids 1.07 1.01 1.08 1.04 0.99 1.00
Charleston 0.95 0.98 0.94 0.86 0.98 1.02
Charlotte (A) 1.04 0.99 1.05 1.39 1.02 0.99
Charlotte 1.04 0.99 0.95 1.28 0.96 1.02
Chattanooga 0.96 0.97 1.05 0.89 1.01 0.98
Clearwater 1.01 0.99 0.93 1.31 0.97 1.01
Clinton 0.99 1.00 1.02 0.87 1.11 1.01
Colorado Sprng 1.16 1.07 1.10 1.02 1.05 0.97
Columbus 1.14 1.05 1.06 1.34 1.01 0.97
Connecticut 0.90 0.95 0.95 0.78 0.97 1.04
Corpus Christi 1.00 1.00 0.98 0.98 1.05 1.03
Dayton 1.02 0.99 1.05 1.04 1.01 1.03
Daytona 1.05 1.02 1.02 1.12 1.00 1.03
Delmarva 0.93 0.96 0.90 0.91 1.02 1.05
Dunedin 1.11 1.00 1.16 1.22 1.01 1.02
Durham 1.06 1.02 1.04 1.03 0.98 1.02
Erie 1.14 1.05 1.05 1.30 0.99 0.98
Eugene 0.90 0.93 0.88 1.10 1.02 1.02
Everett 1.20 1.01 1.16 1.59 1.05 1.04
Fort Myers 0.98 1.00 1.05 0.88 1.04 0.96
Fort Wayne 1.02 1.02 1.06 0.97 1.01 0.95
Frederick 1.03 0.99 0.96 1.30 0.96 1.09
Fresno 0.94 0.97 0.91 1.13 0.97 0.98
Frisco 1.03 0.99 0.98 1.20 1.02 1.04
Great Lakes 0.97 0.99 1.01 0.88 0.97 1.07
Greensboro 1.14 1.03 1.05 1.52 0.99 1.00
Greenville 1.07 1.03 1.07 1.08 0.93 1.00
Gwinnett 0.97 1.01 0.99 0.86 1.04 1.00
Hagerstown 0.95 0.99 1.01 0.99 0.91 0.99
Harrisburg 1.02 1.02 0.92 1.13 1.01 0.98
Hickory 1.02 1.03 0.98 1.06 1.01 0.96
High Desert 1.27 1.10 1.08 1.35 1.07 0.98
Hudson Valley 0.96 0.97 0.95 0.94 0.95 1.02
Huntsville 1.07 1.01 0.99 1.23 1.06 1.02
Indianapolis 1.02 1.04 1.03 0.95 0.99 0.97
Inland Empire 0.84 0.94 0.90 0.79 0.98 0.99
Iowa 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.98 1.02 1.09
Jacksonville 0.97 0.98 0.88 1.05 1.00 1.06
Jamestown 1.06 1.03 0.88 1.08 1.02 0.98
Jupiter 0.95 1.01 0.97 0.88 0.92 0.99
Kane County 0.97 1.01 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.99
Kannapolis 1.04 1.04 0.97 1.04 1.04 0.97
Kinston 1.04 1.00 0.93 1.12 1.06 1.05
Lake County 1.00 0.98 0.93 1.26 0.98 1.01
Lake Elsinore 0.88 0.97 1.06 0.75 1.01 1.00
Lakeland 0.99 1.02 0.97 0.85 0.99 0.97
Lakewood 0.87 0.96 0.91 0.76 1.02 1.01
Lancaster 1.12 1.06 0.95 1.39 0.96 0.95
Lansing 1.03 1.02 0.97 0.96 1.06 0.98
Las Vegas 1.07 1.06 1.08 1.03 0.98 1.00
Lehigh Valley 0.93 0.97 0.93 0.94 1.00 1.06
Lexington 1.02 1.00 1.04 1.13 1.03 1.00
Louisville 0.96 1.00 0.91 1.01 0.98 0.97
Lowell 1.11 1.01 1.26 1.04 1.05 0.96
Lynchburg 1.00 1.00 1.06 0.94 0.99 1.01
Mahoning Valley 1.02 1.00 1.04 1.01 1.07 0.97
Memphis 0.94 0.96 0.92 1.06 0.97 1.04
Midland 0.96 1.05 1.04 0.78 0.98 0.93
Mississippi 0.93 0.99 0.93 0.79 1.03 1.01
Mobile 1.01 1.00 0.98 1.17 0.99 1.00
Modesto 0.96 1.00 1.03 0.79 0.99 1.06
Montgomery 1.04 1.02 0.98 1.08 0.98 0.99
Myrtle Beach 0.93 0.99 0.92 0.88 1.02 0.98
Nashville 1.00 0.98 1.00 1.02 1.06 1.02
New Britain 0.97 0.98 1.15 0.86 0.97 1.03
New Hampshire 1.06 1.01 0.97 1.09 1.04 1.00
New Orleans 0.94 0.97 1.01 0.89 1.01 0.99
Norfolk 0.98 0.99 1.01 0.92 1.05 1.00
NW Arkansas 1.17 1.06 1.10 1.22 1.05 0.96
Oklahoma City 1.01 1.03 1.02 0.96 0.97 0.99
Omaha 0.96 1.00 0.91 0.98 0.99 0.98
Palm Beach 0.92 0.98 0.95 0.90 1.00 0.99
Pawtucket 0.91 0.96 0.93 0.90 1.02 1.01
Peoria 0.95 0.99 0.93 1.02 0.96 1.01
Portland (AA) 1.06 1.03 1.09 1.03 0.98 1.02
Portland 0.85 0.91 0.91 0.85 1.03 1.04
Potomac 1.00 1.00 1.06 0.99 0.98 0.99
Quad Cities 1.00 0.99 1.03 1.04 0.99 1.01
Rancho Cuca. 0.93 0.98 0.95 0.89 1.01 0.99
Reading 1.09 1.00 1.03 1.41 1.01 0.96
Reno 1.04 1.02 1.00 1.04 1.04 0.92
Richmond 0.94 1.00 0.92 0.81 0.99 1.03
Rochester 0.97 0.99 1.04 0.95 0.98 1.03
Rome 0.98 1.03 1.01 0.81 0.98 0.91
Round Rock 1.00 1.00 1.01 0.98 0.99 0.99
Sacramento 0.92 0.95 0.92 0.91 1.05 1.03
Salem 0.96 1.02 1.00 0.87 0.99 0.93
Salem-Keizer 1.04 1.04 1.05 0.94 0.99 0.99
Salt Lake 1.01 1.03 0.99 1.01 0.96 0.99
San Antonio 0.89 0.95 0.95 0.87 0.99 1.01
San Jose 0.95 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.96 0.99
Savannah 0.93 0.95 1.00 0.84 1.01 1.01
Scranton/WB 0.96 0.99 0.96 0.95 0.96 1.03
South Bend 0.97 1.02 0.95 0.96 1.02 0.94
Spokane 1.02 1.01 0.98 1.15 0.98 1.01
Springfield 1.11 1.03 1.04 1.24 0.93 1.05
St. Lucie 1.02 1.00 1.08 0.90 1.05 1.03
State College 0.99 1.01 1.07 0.84 0.97 0.98
Staten Island 0.97 0.99 1.00 1.04 1.02 0.96
Stockton 1.01 0.97 0.92 1.19 1.01 1.03
Syracuse 1.01 1.02 1.02 0.98 1.03 0.95
Tacoma 0.97 0.98 1.06 0.93 0.98 1.05
Tampa 0.94 0.99 0.94 0.83 0.97 1.03
Tennessee 1.06 1.02 1.10 1.17 1.00 0.94
Toledo 0.97 0.98 1.02 0.92 1.02 1.05
Trenton 0.89 0.95 0.91 0.82 1.03 1.10
Tri-City (NP) 1.07 1.01 0.96 1.24 1.05 1.05
Tri-City (NW) 0.84 0.93 0.85 0.73 0.95 1.09
Tulsa 0.99 0.99 0.94 1.11 0.99 0.95
Vancouver 1.02 0.99 1.03 0.97 1.02 0.97
Vermont 0.95 0.94 0.84 1.06 1.03 1.06
Visalia 0.98 0.98 1.03 0.96 1.02 1.06
West Michigan 0.96 1.02 1.02 0.86 0.93 1.00
West Tenn 0.96 1.03 1.01 0.89 0.92 1.00
West Virginia 1.02 0.98 1.00 1.06 1.02 1.05
Williamsport 0.99 1.00 1.03 0.90 0.99 0.98
Wilmington 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.87 1.09 0.99
Winston-Salem 1.04 1.02 1.06 1.10 0.94 0.97
Wisconsin 1.03 1.00 0.94 1.01 1.11 0.99
Yakima 1.08 1.09 1.14 0.84 0.98 0.94
Dan Szymborski
Posted: September 25, 2010 at 03:01 PM | 10 comment(s)
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1. jwb Posted: September 25, 2010 at 07:00 PM (#3648397)Incidentally, why not list rookie league factors?
So since PCL average was 5.22 r/g, the average team playing half their games in Albuquerque would score 6.42
so at 6.09 the Isotopes were actually a below average scoring team- while leading the league in runs? (Possible- the Rockies managed that "feat" a few time in the pre-humidor daze)
Dan answered #3 two years ago:
I don't do the Instructional Leagues - when you combine the short season with the ridiculously high roster turnover, you get something I don't really want to touch. Same problem with the short seasons in the higher NY-Penn and Northwest Leagues, but their more stable rosters and higher level just barely gets me to do those.
Dan, what park changes did you account for? (Ex: Winston-Salem is in a new facility.)
Lg R/G ERAMLB 4.41 4.11
AL 4.47 4.15
NL 4.36 4.06
-------------
IL 4.51 4.15
PCL 5.22 4.79
-------------
EL 4.63 4.21
SL 4.52 4.00
TL 4.48 3.99
-------------
Cal 5.21 4.58
Car 4.53 3.92
Fsl 4.18 3.68
-------------
Mwl 4.72 4.13
Sal 4.54 3.82
-------------
NYP 4.49 3.80
Nwl 4.47 3.70
Weird not having MLB not above AAA in terms of scoring context.
Until 1993/94 AAA (especially PCL) was always above- so to me its been "weird" that the MLB run context has been higher
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