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Transaction Oracle — A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen Wednesday, January 19, 20112011 ZiPS Projections - Los Angeheim AngelsThe Angels are a team essentially in water-treading mode. Bourjos’s defense is good enough that he’ll be a solid player in the majors and Mike Trout is ridiculous, but 2 of the Angels’ best offensive players, Hunter and Abreu, are getting up there in years. The rotation is solid, though the decline of Scott Kazmir is very sad; let him be a cautionary tale for any that thinks your young star ace is guaranteed to continue to be awesome (if Mark Prior and the other 730 previous examples weren’t enough). The team still needs him as there’s really not a lot of pitching depth in the upper minors (pitchers like Chatwood and Richards should have better projections in future years as they’re not ready yet, though there’s little star potential).
Los Angeheim isn’t going to catch up on the Rangers just sitting around, but there’s still enough talent to make this a .500 team. One thing the Angels really need to do is channel the nearly-free, amazing bullpens Bill Stoneman used to put together (like the Rays did last year). Last year’s 4.03 bullpen ERA was pretty disapponting for a team that used to find 130 ERA+ relievers easier than Dayton Moore finds sabermetric punching bags.
Am I a bad person for hoping Rodriguez’s control gets worse so I can call him BB-Rod?
Next up: White Sox
Batting Projections Player B PO Age BA OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS OPS+ Mike Napoli R C 29 .251 .336 .489 115 366 54 92 19 1 22 58 41 107 5 3 117 Torii Hunter R CF 35 .273 .340 .460 134 506 72 138 30 1 21 81 49 97 13 8 112 Kendry Morales B 1B 28 .283 .330 .476 102 378 48 107 20 1 17 63 24 68 1 4 113 Bobby Abreu L RF 37 .263 .349 .428 139 528 79 139 32 2 17 79 71 114 21 10 107 Howie Kendrick R 2B 27 .279 .315 .415 143 544 67 152 33 4 11 68 24 90 15 5 93 Mike Trout R CF 19 .274 .345 .375 156 632 106 173 26 7 8 54 64 120 46 19 93 Juan Rivera R LF 32 .268 .315 .431 113 392 49 105 19 0 15 58 27 50 1 2 97 Maicer Izturis B 3B 30 .273 .333 .386 89 308 45 84 16 2 5 43 28 35 9 4 92 Peter Bourjos R CF 24 .259 .300 .401 150 606 89 157 21 13 13 55 31 127 35 9 86 Alberto Callaspo B 3B 28 .274 .319 .396 137 500 62 137 26 4 9 53 34 43 3 2 90 Hank Conger B C 23 .261 .331 .381 142 517 59 135 26 3 10 57 55 88 1 2 90 Erick Aybar B SS 27 .270 .318 .366 135 492 67 133 20 6 5 43 30 67 17 7 83 Chris Pettit R LF 26 .252 .305 .365 77 282 35 71 16 2 4 30 16 56 9 1 79 Mark Trumbo R 1B 25 .248 .295 .412 156 605 69 150 30 3 21 85 40 148 5 6 87 Bobby Wilson R C 28 .250 .300 .365 77 244 22 61 13 0 5 32 17 48 1 0 77 Luis Jimenez R 3B 23 .251 .280 .407 145 578 84 145 40 7 12 73 20 93 18 13 81 Alexi Amarista L 2B 22 .267 .308 .365 156 636 82 170 31 8 5 57 34 84 25 19 79 Freddy Sandoval B 3B 28 .252 .308 .356 75 298 36 75 15 2 4 43 23 51 5 3 77 Kevin Frandsen R 3B 29 .255 .309 .347 97 329 46 84 16 1 4 25 17 30 4 2 75 Cory Aldridge L LF 32 .233 .289 .382 85 309 35 72 15 2 9 44 24 94 1 2 78 Jeremy Moore L CF 24 .239 .283 .377 142 531 62 127 16 9 13 55 31 185 20 12 75 Terry Evans R RF 29 .237 .276 .369 114 439 56 104 22 3 10 48 22 122 14 6 71 Kevin Melillo L LF 29 .223 .293 .359 102 373 48 83 18 3 9 40 38 78 5 3 75 Brandon Wood R 3B 26 .222 .272 .370 126 432 48 96 17 1 15 47 27 127 4 1 70 Luis Figueroa B SS 37 .260 .289 .337 76 285 25 74 12 2 2 27 12 18 1 1 67 Drew Meyer L 2B 29 .231 .295 .315 91 321 37 74 14 2 3 26 30 69 4 1 63 Reggie Willits B LF 30 .235 .320 .282 106 238 34 56 9 1 0 15 29 48 8 4 63 Jeff Mathis R C 28 .212 .270 .332 89 274 32 58 10 1 7 33 20 83 3 1 60 Andrew Romine B SS 25 .235 .299 .293 138 519 64 122 16 4 2 32 43 107 24 12 60 Nate Sutton L 2B 28 .235 .290 .300 124 463 54 109 16 4 2 34 34 91 13 7 59 Robb Quinlan R 1B 34 .231 .289 .286 58 147 14 34 5 0 1 11 11 30 2 1 55 Kevin Richardson R C 30 .196 .242 .346 69 240 20 47 9 0 9 23 12 99 0 0 56 Gil Velazquez R SS 31 .225 .264 .308 89 289 27 65 13 1 3 21 14 63 3 2 53 Nick Gorneault R LF 32 .202 .258 .320 109 372 41 75 15 1 9 41 27 114 5 5 54 Brian Walker L C 25 .213 .250 .322 62 211 14 45 8 0 5 29 9 72 2 3 52 Defensive Projections Player CTHr 1B 2B 3B SS LF CF RF Mike Napoli FR Torii Hunter FR/37 VG/116 Kendry Morales AV/92 FR/108 Bobby Abreu FR/81 PO/137 Howie Kendrick AV/119 AV/78 Mike Trout VG/50 AV/59 Juan Rivera AV/118 AV/113 AV/113 Maicer Izturis AV/81 AV/99 AV/78 Peter Bourjos EX/101 Alberto Callaspo FR/121 AV/67 FR/134 Hank Conger AV Erick Aybar AV/107 Chris Pettit AV/124 AV/111 Mark Trumbo AV/150 AV/109 Bobby Wilson VG FR/101 Luis Jimenez FR/134 Alexi Amarista AV/108 Freddy Sandoval AV/132 PO/114 AV/101 Kevin Frandsen AV/113 AV/110 AV/118 FR/138 Cory Aldridge FR/134 AV/124 Jeremy Moore AV/143 AV/168 AV/143 Terry Evans PO/151 PO/124 PO/151 Kevin Melillo VG/172 AV/125 AV/127 AV/109 AV/144 Brandon Wood AV/108 FR/118 AV/99 Luis Figueroa FR/95 FR/89 Drew Meyer AV/98 AV/108 FR/133 AV/104 AV/104 Reggie Willits VG/69 AV/69 AV/115 Jeff Mathis FR Andrew Romine AV/120 Nate Sutton AV/127 VG/122 PO/125 AV/110 FR/131 AV/110 Robb Quinlan AV/112 PO/123 FR/108 FR/114 Kevin Richardson FR Gil Velazquez AV/111 FR/109 FR/107 FR/117 Nick Gorneault AV/96 AV/96 Brian Walker FR Pitching Projections - Starters Player T Age ERA W L G GS IP H ER HR BB K ERA+ Jered Weaver R 28 3.53 15 8 32 32 201.3 182 79 22 54 195 119 Dan Haren R 30 3.57 15 9 33 33 224.3 216 89 25 45 213 117 Ervin Santana R 28 4.23 12 10 30 30 195.7 196 92 26 56 164 99 LEAGUE AVERAGE - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 96 Joel Pineiro R 32 4.44 8 8 23 23 146.0 162 72 16 29 84 94 Trevor Bell R 24 4.69 6 6 31 18 117.0 132 61 11 38 73 89 Scott Kazmir L 27 5.07 9 12 28 28 154.3 158 87 24 68 123 83 Matt Palmer R 32 5.12 5 6 28 13 95.0 101 54 11 53 64 82 Garrett Richards R 23 6.18 5 12 26 26 126.7 155 87 19 63 81 68 Tyler Chatwood R 21 6.31 6 13 26 25 124.0 152 87 15 84 65 66 Trevor Reckling L 22 6.50 6 13 26 26 134.3 166 97 18 93 77 64 Anthony Ortega R 25 6.66 2 5 13 8 52.7 67 39 10 27 26 63 Pitching Statistics - Relievers Player T Age ERA W L G GS IP H ER HR BB K ERA+ Scott Downs L 35 3.42 4 2 59 0 55.3 51 21 5 17 46 123 LEAGUE AVERAGE - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 108 Jason Bulger R 32 4.09 2 1 44 0 44.0 38 20 5 26 50 102 Rich Thompson R 26 4.10 2 1 29 0 41.7 40 19 5 16 37 102 Hisanori TakahashiL 36 4.16 8 6 47 11 106.0 106 49 13 35 95 101 Kevin Jepsen R 26 4.27 4 4 65 0 65.3 64 31 5 34 62 98 Michael Kohn R 24 4.34 4 4 57 0 58.0 52 28 5 38 58 96 Jordan Walden R 23 4.36 2 1 63 0 64.0 64 31 6 31 54 96 Fernando Rodney R 34 4.53 3 3 60 0 59.7 59 30 6 32 52 93 Ryan Z. Braun R 30 4.73 1 2 36 0 40.0 41 21 4 22 31 89 Scot Shields R 35 4.74 2 2 38 0 38.0 37 20 5 23 34 88 Francisco M. RodriR 28 4.88 4 4 49 0 66.3 69 36 7 35 48 86 Ysmael Carmona R 26 5.63 3 5 46 0 54.3 55 34 6 51 42 74 Bobby Cassevah R 25 5.81 3 5 55 0 69.7 84 45 7 43 36 72 Loek Van Mil R 26 6.81 1 3 30 0 35.7 45 27 5 29 19 61 Extrapolated Career Statistics Player BA OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ Bobby Abreu .288 .386 .472 2594 9523 1616 2739 636 65 330 1532 1556 2021 434 124 Torii Hunter .271 .328 .458 2261 8421 1201 2278 487 34 341 1308 657 1574 221 105 Howie Kendrick .279 .313 .413 1654 6260 765 1745 391 41 122 776 269 981 149 92 Mike Napoli .244 .327 .457 1505 4762 660 1162 235 12 252 696 517 1253 64 107 Erick Aybar .267 .314 .363 1469 5199 681 1389 212 60 56 456 304 666 145 81 Juan Rivera .274 .322 .445 1157 3871 487 1061 200 3 152 581 268 474 14 101 Kendry Morales .276 .325 .465 1029 3723 464 1027 204 8 162 601 252 629 12 108 Maicer Izturis .270 .333 .385 1026 3467 504 937 180 28 54 461 317 374 105 90 Player W L S ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ Dan Haren 194 147 0 3.78 480 470 3109 3070 1305 371 675 2763 113 Jered Weaver 187 120 0 3.68 426 427 2669 2467 1091 314 740 2487 116 Ervin Santana 157 132 0 4.40 381 378 2426 2455 1187 326 743 1976 97 Joel Pineiro 136 126 6 4.41 416 346 2284 2455 1118 254 586 1379 97 Scott Kazmir 92 95 0 4.40 257 256 1446 1394 707 181 659 1341 99 ODDIBE (Odds of Important Baseball Events) Player PO EX VG AV FR PO COMP 1 COMP 2 COMP 3 Mike Napoli C 56% 27% 10% 6% 2% Steve Yeager Chris Hoiles Mike MacFarlane Torii Hunter CF 31% 24% 25% 14% 6% Dave Winfield Dave Henderson Al Simmons Kendry Morales 1B 4% 19% 21% 32% 24% Larry Sheets Xavier Nady Matt LeCroy Bobby Abreu RF 12% 21% 18% 21% 28% Paul O’Neill John Vander Wal Brady Anderson Howie Kendrick 2B 16% 17% 19% 23% 25% Gene Alley Carlos Garcia Mike Aviles Mike Trout CF 12% 16% 27% 26% 20% Richie Ashburn Rocco Baldelli Tim Raines Juan Rivera LF 2% 7% 13% 26% 52% Brick Smith Larry Sheets Glenn Wilson Maicer Izturis 3B 5% 12% 19% 26% 38% Joe Randa Desi Relaford Greg Dobbs Peter Bourjos CF 7% 12% 25% 30% 26% Angel Pagan Carlos Gomez Santiago Perez Alberto Callaspo 3B 2% 7% 15% 27% 50% Jeff Treadway Keith Lockhart Ramon Martinez Hank Conger C 5% 20% 26% 32% 17% John Jaso Kurt Suzuki Butch Wynegar Erick Aybar SS 5% 13% 28% 30% 24% Cesar Izturis Cristian Guzman Bill Spiers Chris Pettit LF 0% 2% 4% 13% 81% Rod Allen Ruben Mateo Omar Infante Mark Trumbo 1B 0% 1% 2% 14% 82% Leo Daigle Julio Zuleta Craig Brazell Bobby Wilson C 2% 6% 13% 31% 47% Wyatt Toregas Mike DiFelice Geronimo Gil Luis Jimenez 3B 2% 1% 5% 13% 79% Olmedo Saenz Juan Uribe German Rivera Alexi Amarista 2B 1% 2% 5% 14% 77% William Suero Tony Abreu Joseph Thurston Freddy Sandoval 3B 0% 1% 5% 14% 80% Mike Tyson Doug Strange Ken Caminiti Kevin Frandsen 3B 1% 2% 4% 11% 83% Ever Magallanes Robert Eenhoorn Bien Figueroa Cory Aldridge LF 0% 1% 2% 5% 93% Armando Rios Brian Lesher Dann Howitt Jeremy Moore CF 1% 2% 7% 16% 73% Herm Winningham Todd Dunwoody Tyler Colvin Terry Evans RF 0% 0% 1% 3% 97% Sean Barker Darrell Nicholas Shawn Garrett Kevin Melillo LF 0% 1% 3% 8% 87% Phil Dauphin Nate Murphy Marc Sagmoen Brandon Wood 3B 0% 1% 3% 7% 89% Seth Johnston Mike Groppuso Ryan Minor Luis Figueroa SS 1% 2% 6% 14% 76% Rey Sanchez Casey Candaele Larry Bowa Drew Meyer 2B 0% 0% 1% 3% 96% Frank Kellner Danny Solano Leo Durocher Reggie Willits LF 0% 0% 0% 0% 99% Damon Mashore Jose Flores Nick Alvarez Jeff Mathis C 1% 1% 2% 7% 89% Paul Chiaffredo Francisco Morales Louis Santangelo Andrew Romine SS 0% 1% 2% 7% 90% Tommy Hinzo Carson Carroll Freddie Bynum Nate Sutton 2B 0% 0% 0% 2% 98% Derek Wathan Kevin Castleberry John Holt Robb Quinlan 1B 0% 0% 0% 0% 99% Frank Charles Dusty Wathan Felipe Zayas Kevin Richardson C 1% 1% 2% 6% 90% Kevin Brown Paul Chiaffredo Jayhawk Owens Gil Velazquez SS 0% 0% 1% 3% 96% Chris Petersen Juan Castro Kevin Baez Nick Gorneault LF 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% Jeff Guiel Lou List Damon Buford Brian Walker C 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% Tommy Duenas Wilfredo Tejada Mike Russell Player PO TOP MID BOT Comp1 Comp2 Comp3 Scott Downs RP 54% 39% 7% Gary Lavelle Tug McGraw Greg Swindell Jered Weaver SP 67% 27% 6% Josh Beckett Jim Bunning Mike Mussina Dan Haren SP 63% 31% 6% Mike Mussina Aaron Harang Ben Sheets Jason Bulger RP 23% 43% 34% Ryne Duren Mark Clear Jason Kershner Rich Thompson RP 21% 44% 36% Justin Speier Kyle Farnsworth Scott Strickland Hisanori TakahashiRP 12% 51% 37% Rick Honeycutt Darren Oliver Ron Mahay Ervin Santana SP 23% 62% 15% Brett Tomko Dennis Eckersley Pedro Astacio Kevin Jepsen RP 12% 50% 37% Frank Williams Jim Stoops Ryan Bukvich Michael Kohn RP 13% 46% 41% Mark Littell Brian Bruney Ryan Bukvich Joel Pineiro SP 21% 49% 30% Dave Eiland Joe Roa Brad Radke Fernando Rodney RP 7% 39% 53% Toby Borland Heathcliff Slocumb Tim Stoddard Trevor Bell SP 13% 45% 41% John Hope Jake Westbrook Jim Neidlinger Ryan Z. Braun RP 7% 32% 61% Marc Wilkins David Holdridge Colter Bean Scot Shields RP 9% 26% 65% Rich DeLucia Ryne Duren Tim Stoddard Francisco M. RodriRP 2% 27% 71% Jim Stoops Marcus Gwyn Ryan Henderson Scott Kazmir SP 2% 31% 67% Dennis Cook David West Cliff Lee Matt Palmer SP 1% 18% 81% Bill Zuber Juan Eichelberger Mike Heathcott Jordan Walden RP 2% 15% 84% Alan Mills Anthony Chavez Mike Madden Ysmael Carmona RP 1% 8% 91% Bill Bene Jeff Smith Heathcliff Slocumb Bobby Cassevah RP 0% 6% 94% Barry Hertzler Ron Graves Sean Green Garrett Richards SP 0% 2% 98% Matt Achilles Brian Rogers Travis Anderson Tyler Chatwood SP 0% 1% 99% Edwin Morel Jake Joseph Chad Paronto Trevor Reckling SP 0% 1% 99% Mike Wodnicki Keith Seiler Allan Ramirez Anthony Ortega SP 0% 3% 97% David Walters Larry McWilliams Bryan Corey Loek Van Mil RP 0% 2% 98% Al Osuna Sean Green Matt Smith Player .300 BA .375 OBP .500 SLG 45+ 2B 10+ 3B 30+ HR 140 OPS+ 30+ SB Mike Napoli 5% 12% 41% 0% 0% 13% 13% 0% Torii Hunter 14% 11% 19% 3% 0% 12% 8% 5% Kendry Morales 25% 5% 25% 0% 0% 2% 5% 0% Bobby Abreu 8% 17% 7% 6% 1% 4% 4% 17% Howie Kendrick 20% 1% 3% 6% 4% 2% 1% 6% Mike Trout 11% 12% 0% 2% 28% 0% 0% 93% Juan Rivera 10% 1% 4% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% Maicer Izturis 17% 11% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% Peter Bourjos 4% 0% 1% 0% 69% 1% 0% 71% Alberto Callaspo 13% 2% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% Hank Conger 5% 6% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% Erick Aybar 12% 2% 0% 0% 11% 0% 0% 6% Chris Pettit 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Mark Trumbo 0% 0% 1% 3% 2% 10% 0% 0% Bobby Wilson 5% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Luis Jimenez 2% 0% 2% 28% 21% 2% 1% 9% Alexi Amarista 8% 0% 0% 6% 32% 0% 0% 30% Freddy Sandoval 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Kevin Frandsen 5% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Cory Aldridge 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Jeremy Moore 1% 0% 1% 0% 44% 1% 0% 5% Terry Evans 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% Kevin Melillo 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% Brandon Wood 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% Luis Figueroa 10% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Drew Meyer 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Reggie Willits 2% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Jeff Mathis 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Andrew Romine 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 0% 22% Nate Sutton 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 0% 0% 1% Robb Quinlan 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Kevin Richardson 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Gil Velazquez 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Nick Gorneault 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Brian Walker 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Player ERA+>130 ERA+>100 K/9 >8 BB/9 <2 HR/9 <1 Jered Weaver 32% 88% 78% 21% 58% Dan Haren 25% 86% 72% 75% 57% Jason Bulger 17% 58% 94% 0% 69% Rich Thompson 14% 56% 44% 4% 62% Hisanori Takahashi 10% 54% 55% 6% 45% Ervin Santana 3% 51% 28% 7% 33% Kevin Jepsen 9% 49% 64% 0% 82% Michael Kohn 9% 51% 76% 0% 71% Joel Pineiro 6% 42% 1% 74% 55% Fernando Rodney 5% 32% 41% 0% 74% Trevor Bell 3% 29% 4% 7% 77% Ryan Z. Braun 7% 30% 17% 0% 58% Scot Shields 5% 26% 48% 0% 51% Francisco M. Rodri 1% 23% 4% 0% 60% Scott Kazmir 0% 9% 14% 0% 11% Matt Palmer 1% 13% 7% 0% 64% Jordan Walden 1% 12% 13% 0% 64% Ysmael Carmona 1% 6% 12% 0% 68% Bobby Cassevah 0% 3% 0% 0% 73% Garrett Richards 0% 0% 0% 0% 16% Tyler Chatwood 0% 0% 0% 0% 48% Trevor Reckling 0% 0% 0% 0% 34% Anthony Ortega 0% 1% 0% 0% 17% Loek Van Mil 0% 1% 0% 0% 41% All figures in % based on projection playing time Disclaimer: ZiPS projections are computer-based projections of performance. Performances have not been allocated to predicted playing time in the majors - many of the players listed above are unlikely to play in the majors at all in 2011. ZiPS is projecting equivalent production - a .240 ZiPS projection may end up being .280 in AAA or .300 in AA, for example. Whether or not a player will play is one of many non-statistical factors one has to take into account when predicting the future. Players are listed with their most recent teams unless Dan has made a mistake. This is very possible as a lot of minor-league signings are generally unreported in the offseason. ZiPS is projecting based on the AL having a 4.29 ERA and the NL having a 4.14 ERA. Players that are expected to be out due to injury are still projected. More information is always better than less information and a computer isn't what should be projecting the injury status of, for example, a pitcher with Tommy John surgery. Positional offense is ranked by RC/27 and divided into quintiles based on what the most frequent starting players at each position did in 2007-2010. Excellent is the top quintile, Very Good the 2nd quintile and so on.2011 Projections Archive Pittsburgh Pirates San Diego Padres Oakland A’s Texas Rangers Florida Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks Cleveland Indians Washington Nationals Toronto Blue Jays Tampa Bay Rays Kansas City Royals Cincinnati Reds Milwaukee Brewers Baltimore Orioles Colorado Rockies Atlanta Braves Houston Astros St. Louis Cardinals Los Angeles Dodgers Minnesota Twins San Francisco Giants Seattle Mariners
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BookmarksYou must be logged in to view your Bookmarks. Hot Topics2012 ZiPS Projections, Final Edition
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1. threepointpi Posted: January 19, 2011 at 03:31 PM (#3732605)Yeah, he's only made 2 errors in the minors.
FYI: Downs makes ODDIBE, but not the projection.
How does Segura project?
I can't think of any. I'd be surprised if that wasn't the best projection for a 19-year-old that I've ever done.
I'm pretty surprised how down ZiPS is on Morales, Pineiro and Santana too.
It's hard for me to see this team finishing higher than third in the AL West unless a few guys really blow away their projections.
How many more wins is ZiPS projecting for the Angels than the Mariners Dan? I can't imagine it's more than 5 or so after seeing both teams' projections.
I haven't run any sims (not everyone's done), but from the projections and some playing time estimates, I have Mariners around 70-72 and the Angels around 78-80.
Turns out for GS, I had an extra ROUND in there before the adding (which should not have been there)
Sadly, there will probably be a minimum of 10 travesties or so in HOF balloting over the next decade!
I hear Gary Bell is available.
They should trade for Mike Carp.
The A's offensive projections did not include DeJesus, Willingham and Matsui, so with them I think the upside for this year is better. Willingham has a 117 OPS+ from Washington, but I couldn't find projections for DeJesus or Matsui on their respective former teams. Maybe those should be added to the A's projections.
For pitching, the A's also now have Balfour and Fuentes, who both have very good OPS+ numbers. Given all that, the A's look like the better squad on paper for this year at least.
He just needs good leads! The leads are ####!
I can't think of any. I'd be surprised if that wasn't the best projection for a 19-year-old that I've ever done.
For what it's worth, Wil Myers who is a few months older than Trout, but they are from the same HS draft class got a projection of a 96 OPS+. That along with this Trout projection have to be one of the best ever for a first full season HS kid.
NDFA from High Point in '09 ago who dropped his arm slot and found surprising success - career ERA of 1.36 in 91.2 inn (24 in AA), w/ 67 h, 2 hr, 13 bb, 97 k. Not a lot of pro experience and somewhat of a longshot, but could be their next Darren O'Day.
Well done, sir.
Hell, trade Hunter and play with 5 infielders. :-)
So now the Angels have traded away their best hitter, and one of only 4 hitters projected to be above average. This offense looks awful now.
On the Angels' side, this move could open up a return of Vladimir Guerrero or Manny Ramirez -- or even Scott Podsednik
3 peas in a pod.
Otherwise I hereby declare Alex Anthopoulos the greatest GM in baseball history.* Or the soon-to-be-former Angels GM the worst.
*I'm so impressed I went to the trouble of looking up his last name rather than just calling him AA.
That would make things a little more palatable.
Not clear what this means for Trout/Bourjos. Trout could use another year anyway but Hunter is signed through 2012 and Wells until 2525. I suppose Hunter could move to DH in 2012.
It's all about the cash- if its 40 million or so- I could live with it.
Edit: If it's no Drabek, I'm over the moon.
gad.
This would actually not surprise me. I can see the angels FO rationalizing this as getting a Crawford-like player for less years and money AND they get rid of 10 million bucks of what they consider dead weight.
Anyone want to give odds on Napoli getting flipped to Boston?
From what I gather the first value (Ex, VG, FR, etc) refers to the player's arm quality, and the 2nd value (numerical) refers to their range?
At times it appears that the lower the number means a better fielder. Other times, it appears that a number closer to 100 is the better fielder. I know the number corresponds with the rating system in DMB. I've read the FAQ, searched Google, and cannot find a thorough explanation for what the values represent specifically.
Example: "FR/37"
Fair = Arm, 37 = ?
Thanks in advance.
Catcher values are arm values.
In the game, outfielders also get arm values and catchers also get range, error, and pb values.
I'm assuming this is a mistake of sorts.
What would his SS rating be?
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