User Comments, Suggestions, or Complaints | Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Advertising
Page rendered in 0.4578 seconds
58 querie(s) executed
|
You are here > Home > Transaction Oracle > Discussion
| ||||||||
Transaction Oracle — A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen Monday, December 27, 20102011 ZiPS Projections - Los Angeles DodgersRather than being a big splashy disappointment like the Mariners, Cubs, or Mets, the Dodgers’ disappointing year in 2010 was that of bland mediocrity than an explosive failure. Every team in the NL West as flaws, so even though the Dodgers don’t have a lot of depth or front-line talent on offense and the outfield defense is pretty weak, a good rotation gives LA as good a shot at the division as any of the other teams.
The McCourt divorce has caused a lot uncertainty in the short and medium term, but Ned Colletti hasn’t really helped matters. Again, the Dodgers aren’t a bad team, but there really aren’t a lot of organizational goals and they’ve had this tendency to try and solve problems through uncreative solutions bordering on hapless - Jay Gibbons isn’t very useful and the only place Tony Gwynn Jr. is only a major leaguer when he’s playing center. A real leftfielder and another bullpen arm or two are needed, but I don’t think they’re forthcoming at this point.
Next up: Twins
Batting Projections Player B PO Age BA OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS OPS+ Andre Ethier L RF 29 .280 .360 .480 146 529 78 148 34 3 22 85 64 97 4 3 127 Matt Kemp R CF 26 .271 .327 .458 156 583 88 158 28 6 23 88 48 144 25 11 111 James Loney L 1B 27 .279 .338 .416 156 574 68 160 35 4 12 93 52 83 8 4 104 Rafael Furcal B SS 33 .276 .341 .402 102 410 66 113 21 5 7 39 41 57 14 5 102 Juan Uribe R 2B 31 .260 .311 .436 134 450 55 117 24 2 17 68 32 85 1 3 101 Scott Podsednik L LF 35 .279 .327 .379 118 433 53 121 16 6 5 40 30 62 23 11 92 Prentice Redman R RF 31 .254 .309 .416 91 351 54 89 20 2 11 46 26 73 5 3 95 Trayvon Robinson B CF 23 .254 .330 .384 147 567 86 144 25 8 11 64 61 178 33 18 94 Rod Barajas R C 35 .245 .285 .443 96 314 39 77 17 0 15 49 14 54 0 0 95 Casey Blake R 3B 37 .247 .317 .407 131 462 58 114 25 2 15 64 43 117 1 3 96 Trent Oeltjen L RF 28 .256 .304 .398 132 477 65 122 28 8 8 53 28 112 18 7 90 Jay Gibbons L LF 34 .263 .292 .412 88 289 33 76 16 0 9 41 13 42 0 0 89 Ronnie Belliard R 2B 36 .247 .309 .395 88 215 30 53 12 1 6 32 19 47 2 1 90 Xavier Paul L LF 26 .254 .310 .388 100 358 47 91 21 3 7 39 27 84 10 5 89 John Lindsey R 1B 34 .244 .302 .407 120 430 46 105 24 2 14 66 25 102 0 1 91 Dioner Navarro B C 27 .261 .319 .374 114 372 39 97 21 0 7 41 29 53 3 2 88 Ivan DeJesus R 2B 24 .267 .321 .356 155 606 83 162 30 3 6 65 48 105 9 3 85 Michael Restovich R LF 32 .244 .299 .399 116 386 44 94 21 3 11 45 30 110 1 1 88 Tony Gwynn L CF 28 .256 .324 .337 131 398 54 102 13 5 3 29 39 63 18 6 81 Jamie Hoffmann R CF 26 .252 .312 .362 139 527 64 133 26 4 8 66 42 104 15 7 83 Travis Denker R 2B 25 .246 .308 .364 132 467 52 115 28 3 7 51 38 101 5 2 82 Jamey Carroll R 2B 37 .263 .337 .323 107 319 45 84 12 2 1 24 33 60 7 3 81 Kyle Russell L RF 25 .216 .287 .402 148 560 70 121 30 7 20 77 52 250 10 5 85 Dee Gordon R SS 23 .266 .311 .334 155 658 98 175 17 11 2 41 37 119 52 24 76 Russ Mitchell R 3B 26 .241 .285 .384 149 560 68 135 29 3 15 70 33 114 3 3 80 A.J. Ellis R C 30 .245 .343 .319 83 257 26 63 12 2 1 34 37 47 1 2 82 Hector Gimenez B C 28 .231 .284 .377 90 324 32 75 18 1 9 46 24 87 2 1 78 Reed Johnson R LF 34 .254 .304 .355 91 228 28 58 12 1 3 22 10 48 2 3 79 Garret Anderson L LF 39 .247 .273 .375 94 267 23 66 14 1 6 31 10 45 1 0 74 Chin-lung Hu R SS 27 .254 .285 .340 98 315 37 80 12 3 3 30 13 42 7 1 70 Jaime Pedroza B 2B 24 .231 .301 .348 151 546 69 126 25 6 9 50 51 173 16 11 76 JD Closser B C 31 .226 .290 .308 90 279 27 63 11 0 4 28 25 65 2 2 63 Brad Ausmus R C 42 .235 .295 .259 29 81 6 19 2 0 0 5 6 19 0 0 53 Juan Castro R SS 39 .229 .264 .271 53 118 11 27 5 0 0 12 6 25 0 1 46 Defensive Projections Player CTHr 1B 2B 3B SS LF CF RF Andre Ethier PO/81 PO/81 Matt Kemp FR/88 FR/115 James Loney AV/96 Rafael Furcal VG/122 Juan Uribe VG/71 AV/95 AV/73 Scott Podsednik FR/68 FR/191 FR/68 Prentice Redman FR/148 PO/66 FR/148 Trayvon Robinson AV/183 Rod Barajas Casey Blake AV/120 AV/83 Trent Oeltjen AV/91 PO/110 AV/91 Jay Gibbons FR/116 PO/132 PO/132 Ronnie Belliard AV/137 FR/122 FR/129 PO/118 Xavier Paul AV/121 FR/260 AV/121 John Lindsey FR/146 PO/110 Dioner Navarro VG Ivan DeJesus VG/153 AV/159 Michael Restovich FR/119 FR/143 FR/143 Tony Gwynn VG/119 EX/158 VG/119 Jamie Hoffmann FR/41 VG/125 Travis Denker AV/133 AV/143 Jamey Carroll AV/50 VG/122 AV/90 AV/118 AV/118 Kyle Russell AV/126 FR/128 AV/126 Dee Gordon VG/176 Russ Mitchell AV/120 PO/121 PO/108 A.J. Ellis VG Hector Gimenez AV FR/130 130/ Reed Johnson AV/83 AV/93 AV/83 Garret Anderson FR/98 FR/112 Chin-lung Hu VG/110 AV/96 Jaime Pedroza AV/167 FR/177 JD Closser AV Brad Ausmus AV Juan Castro AV/142 AV/113 PO/102 Pitching Projections - Starters Player T Age ERA W L G GS IP H ER HR BB K ERA+ Clayton Kershaw L 23 3.02 14 6 33 33 193.7 154 65 12 86 203 132 Chad Billingsley R 26 3.30 16 9 33 33 207.3 182 76 13 78 195 120 Ted Lilly L 35 3.44 14 8 29 29 183.3 161 70 24 45 164 116 Hiroki Kuroda R 36 3.56 12 8 28 27 164.3 158 65 14 38 119 112 Jon Garland R 31 4.00 12 12 31 31 193.7 192 86 21 65 110 100 Vicente Padilla R 33 4.00 8 7 23 23 135.0 131 60 16 41 101 99 LEAGUE AVERAGE - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 96 Josh Lindblom R 24 4.26 3 3 32 11 86.7 89 41 9 29 64 93 Scott Elbert L 25 4.35 3 3 26 10 68.3 61 33 7 44 69 91 John Ely R 25 4.95 8 11 28 28 147.3 156 81 21 61 101 80 Seth Etherton R 34 5.01 5 7 17 16 93.3 105 52 14 27 62 79 Russ Ortiz R 37 5.19 2 3 15 8 52.0 54 30 6 31 37 77 Chris Withrow R 22 5.44 5 9 28 26 124.0 134 75 15 78 95 73 Carlos MonasteriosR 25 5.52 4 7 31 12 89.7 102 55 16 36 54 72 Jesus Castillo R 27 5.69 6 11 26 25 125.0 155 79 15 57 59 70 Aaron Miller L 23 5.70 5 10 26 24 115.3 121 73 16 86 83 70 Alberto Bastardo L 27 5.77 6 12 28 26 132.7 160 85 17 64 81 69 Mario Alvarez R 27 6.03 3 7 24 15 88.0 112 59 10 44 43 66 Pitching Statistics - Relievers Player T Age ERA W L G GS IP H ER HR BB K ERA+ Hong-Chih Kuo L 29 2.40 4 1 49 0 56.3 41 15 4 18 68 166 Jonathan Broxton R 27 2.74 7 3 71 0 72.3 55 22 5 29 94 145 Kenley Jansen R 23 3.52 3 2 48 0 53.7 42 21 4 36 68 113 LEAGUE AVERAGE - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 108 Matt Guerrier R 32 3.80 6 5 74 0 71.0 66 30 9 23 51 104 Ronald Belisario R 28 4.16 3 3 60 0 62.7 60 29 6 26 48 95 Ramon Troncoso R 28 4.24 4 4 66 0 76.3 77 36 8 32 54 94 Jon Huber R 29 4.41 3 3 40 0 51.0 55 25 5 17 35 90 Jon Link R 27 4.43 3 3 54 0 63.0 64 31 6 31 50 90 Juan Perez L 32 4.46 3 3 39 0 40.3 36 20 5 25 40 89 Travis SchlichtingR 26 4.47 2 3 36 0 56.3 57 28 5 25 34 89 Blake Hawksworth R 28 4.62 6 7 39 11 99.3 107 51 12 36 67 86 Jack Taschner L 33 4.65 1 2 43 0 40.7 41 21 5 19 30 85 Scott Dohmann R 33 4.68 1 1 36 0 42.3 44 22 5 17 29 85 Jeff Weaver R 34 4.71 4 4 33 6 65.0 68 34 8 26 45 84 Geoff Geary R 34 4.88 3 5 38 3 62.7 71 34 7 25 36 81 Javy Guerra R 25 4.94 2 3 37 0 47.3 47 26 3 38 37 80 Russ Ortiz R 37 5.19 2 3 15 8 52.0 54 30 6 31 37 77 Luis Vasquez R 25 6.04 1 2 22 0 25.3 26 17 3 23 17 66 Extrapolated Career Statistics Player BA OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ Matt Kemp .268 .321 .445 2440 9069 1271 2431 423 84 338 1237 709 2052 306 102 Garret Anderson .291 .322 .459 2322 8907 1107 2595 536 37 293 1396 439 1269 81 101 Rafael Furcal .278 .341 .402 2070 8387 1343 2332 405 97 147 757 793 1137 369 95 Andre Ethier .277 .350 .462 1845 6613 885 1832 413 39 244 953 703 1108 48 114 Juan Uribe .254 .301 .424 1820 6246 763 1588 328 50 211 858 403 1181 45 85 Casey Blake .260 .330 .435 1515 5413 744 1405 311 24 196 730 515 1254 38 101 James Loney .277 .338 .418 1446 5228 606 1450 305 39 117 802 480 728 67 97 Scott Podsednik .279 .338 .379 1234 4505 640 1257 201 52 49 372 384 711 342 88 Player W L S ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ Ted Lilly 176 144 0 4.06 457 432 2627 2437 1185 390 818 2249 106 Vicente Padilla 137 126 2 4.32 425 340 2103 2154 1009 252 720 1486 97 Chad Billingsley 145 126 1 4.17 399 363 2296 2284 1064 265 781 1693 107 Hiroki Kuroda 77 67 0 3.73 207 203 1228 1194 509 106 289 871 107 ODDIBE (Odds of Important Baseball Events) Player PO EX VG AV FR PO COMP 1 COMP 2 COMP 3 Andre Ethier RF 37% 31% 16% 11% 6% Jason Kubel Jim Edmonds Pete Ward Matt Kemp CF 39% 24% 22% 11% 4% Adam Jones Reggie Sanders Marlon Byrd James Loney 1B 3% 16% 20% 35% 26% Broderick Perkins Bruce Bochte Matt Murton Rafael Furcal SS 38% 27% 23% 10% 2% Orlando Hudson Tony Fernandez Omar Vizquel Juan Uribe 2B 18% 17% 21% 25% 20% Scott Seabol Ricky Jones Earl Snyder Scott Podsednik LF 2% 7% 10% 20% 62% Milt Thompson Dave Collins Jim Piersall Prentice Redman RF 1% 6% 11% 23% 60% Marlin McPhail Damon Hollins Matt Mieske Trayvon Robinson CF 11% 13% 24% 26% 26% Stan Javier Milt Cuyler Junior Felix Rod Barajas C 13% 25% 24% 25% 12% Jeff Newman Jim Hegan Joe Oliver Casey Blake 3B 5% 11% 18% 27% 39% Mark DeRosa Scott McClain Todd Zeile Trent Oeltjen RF 1% 5% 10% 22% 62% Steve Carter Bubba Crosby Alexis Gomez Jay Gibbons LF 1% 4% 7% 18% 70% Glenn Adams Darrell Whitmore Armando Rios Ronnie Belliard 2B 10% 10% 14% 24% 42% Marty McManus Greg Gagne Jerry Royster Xavier Paul LF 0% 3% 6% 16% 75% LaVel Freeman Rod Allen Larry Bigbie John Lindsey 1B 1% 4% 7% 26% 63% Tom Dodd Pedro Swann Dale Sveum Dioner Navarro C 4% 15% 25% 34% 22% Raul Chavez Walt McKeel Yadier Molina Ivan DeJesus 2B 5% 8% 14% 27% 47% Josh Barfield Damion Easley Todd Haney Michael Restovich LF 1% 3% 6% 15% 76% Terrell Lowery Lou Collier Marlin McPhail Tony Gwynn CF 3% 5% 16% 32% 43% Greg Tubbs Bruce Dostal Eric Owens Jamie Hoffmann CF 1% 4% 14% 33% 49% Lou Collier Bubba Bell Ryan Spilborghs Travis Denker 2B 3% 5% 11% 25% 56% Adam Heether Tony Granadillo Chris Lombardozzi Jamey Carroll 2B 3% 5% 10% 22% 60% Johnny Temple Tony Graffanino Randy Velarde Kyle Russell RF 1% 4% 7% 14% 74% Ralph Bryant Doug Frobel Brad Snyder Dee Gordon SS 3% 7% 20% 29% 40% Erick Aybar Royce Clayton Alcides Escobar Russ Mitchell 3B 0% 3% 7% 15% 76% Travis Hanson Eric Duncan Travis Metcalf A.J. Ellis C 1% 8% 16% 33% 41% Dick Bertell Andrew Ellis Erik Pappas Hector Gimenez C 1% 8% 15% 32% 44% Bill Hayes Alvin Colina Steve Jackson Reed Johnson LF 0% 1% 2% 7% 90% Gary Ward Shane Spencer Chad Allen Garret Anderson LF 1% 1% 2% 6% 90% Brian Jordan Joe Orsulak Bud Stewart Chin-lung Hu SS 1% 4% 12% 27% 56% Hector Rincones Jackie Gutierrez Craig Shipley Jaime Pedroza 2B 2% 2% 4% 12% 80% Bob Meacham Scott Earl David Howard JD Closser C 1% 1% 3% 11% 84% Chad Moeller Danny Ardoin Chris Tremie Brad Ausmus C 0% 0% 1% 5% 94% Dan Wilson Joe Girardi Raul Chavez Juan Castro SS 0% 0% 1% 1% 98% Rene Gonzales Mark Belanger Jeff Branson Player PO TOP MID BOT Comp1 Comp2 Comp3 Hong-Chih Kuo RP 86% 11% 3% John Hiller Mark Davis Willie Hernandez Jonathan Broxton RP 73% 21% 6% Dick Radatz Steve Bedrosian Duane Ward Clayton Kershaw SP 87% 10% 3% Sam McDowellFernando Valenzuela Sid Fernandez Chad Billingsley SP 73% 24% 3% Bump Hadley Mark Gubicza Juan Guzman Ted Lilly SP 55% 36% 9% Ron Guidry Jeff Fassero Carl Hubbell Kenley Jansen RP 41% 44% 15% Mark Clear Mark Littell Rich Gossage Hiroki Kuroda SP 54% 41% 5% Bryn Smith Derek Lowe Rick Reuschel Matt Guerrier RP 20% 48% 32% Gene Nelson Donn Pall Bob Wells Jon Garland SP 13% 59% 29% Jim Slaton Andy Hawkins Kirk McCaskill Vicente Padilla SP 24% 55% 21% Rick Helling Jim Clancy Bartolo Colon Ronald Belisario RP 12% 46% 42% Chad Paronto Steve Hoeme Steve Schmoll Ramon Troncoso RP 5% 42% 53% Steve Schmoll Rocky Childress Jeff Sexton Josh Lindblom SP 6% 46% 47% Jim Neidlinger Rick Davis Brady Raggio Scott Elbert SP 8% 34% 57% Jesse Orosco Tim Conroy Ken Brett Jon Huber RP 9% 30% 61% Jose Santiago Jose Silva Juan Padilla Jon Link RP 6% 37% 57% Dan Reichert Gerry Hannahs Jeff Cornell Juan Perez RP 11% 28% 60% Doug Creek Kevin Tolar Tim Fortugno Travis SchlichtingRP 5% 39% 56% Frank Lankford Jim Winn Greg Booker Blake Hawksworth RP 1% 26% 73% Don Wengert Eric Moody David Lundberg Jack Taschner RP 6% 21% 73% Joey Eischen Kevin Hickey Wayne Franklin Scott Dohmann RP 5% 27% 68% Tom Hume Ricky Barlow Rob Stanifer Jeff Weaver RP 5% 25% 69% Dave Wainhouse Terry Mathews Ricky Barlow Geoff Geary RP 5% 19% 77% Bob Scanlan A.J. Sager Ricky Barlow Javy Guerra RP 3% 24% 72% Heathcliff Slocumb Jeff Smith Ryan Henderson John Ely SP 2% 27% 72% Matt Crouch Scott Cassidy Scott Klingenbeck Seth Etherton SP 4% 22% 74% Mike Smithson James Baldwin Kevin Jarvis Russ Ortiz SP 6% 19% 75% Vern Kennedy Chuck Smith Jim Slaton Chris Withrow SP 0% 10% 90% Doug Robertson Kevin Ritz Matt Albers Carlos MonasteriosSP 0% 4% 96% Ken Ryan Daron Kirkreit Mike Redding Jesus Castillo SP 0% 4% 96% Ben Fritz Mickey Callaway Hatuey Mendoza Aaron Miller SP 0% 5% 95% John Rocker Nate Cromwell Steve Colyer Alberto Bastardo SP 0% 3% 97% Jason Cromer Mike Prochaska Matt Smith Mario Alvarez SP 0% 3% 97% Chris Enochs Steven Jackson Andy Larkin Luis Vasquez RP 1% 7% 91% Jon Connolly Edwardo Sierra Johnny Humphries Player .300 BA .375 OBP .500 SLG 45+ 2B 10+ 3B 30+ HR 140 OPS+ 30+ SB Andre Ethier 20% 29% 32% 10% 2% 15% 24% 0% Matt Kemp 11% 4% 17% 3% 16% 27% 6% 35% James Loney 17% 8% 2% 17% 3% 0% 2% 2% Rafael Furcal 18% 13% 3% 0% 8% 0% 3% 3% Juan Uribe 6% 1% 7% 0% 0% 2% 2% 0% Scott Podsednik 21% 4% 1% 0% 12% 0% 0% 19% Prentice Redman 3% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Trayvon Robinson 4% 5% 2% 1% 32% 1% 1% 66% Rod Barajas 3% 0% 11% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% Casey Blake 2% 2% 4% 1% 1% 2% 2% 0% Trent Oeltjen 3% 0% 1% 1% 28% 0% 0% 3% Jay Gibbons 10% 0% 4% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% Ronnie Belliard 6% 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% Xavier Paul 3% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% John Lindsey 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% Dioner Navarro 6% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% Ivan DeJesus 7% 1% 0% 4% 2% 0% 0% 0% Michael Restovich 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% Tony Gwynn 4% 3% 0% 0% 6% 0% 0% 7% Jamie Hoffmann 1% 0% 0% 1% 4% 0% 0% 2% Travis Denker 1% 1% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% Jamey Carroll 10% 10% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% Kyle Russell 0% 0% 2% 2% 17% 8% 0% 0% Dee Gordon 6% 0% 0% 0% 60% 0% 0% 0% Russ Mitchell 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% A.J. Ellis 3% 14% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% Hector Gimenez 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Reed Johnson 8% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Garret Anderson 5% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% Chin-lung Hu 4% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% Jaime Pedroza 0% 0% 0% 0% 15% 1% 0% 2% JD Closser 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Brad Ausmus 8% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Juan Castro 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Player ERA+>130 ERA+>100 K/9 >8 BB/9 <2 HR/9 <1 Hong-Chih Kuo 88% 96% 97% 14% 92% Jonathan Broxton 71% 97% 98% 1% 92% Clayton Kershaw 61% 92% 91% 0% 99% Chad Billingsley 32% 93% 68% 0% 99% Ted Lilly 22% 84% 47% 36% 30% Kenley Jansen 33% 74% 98% 0% 90% Hiroki Kuroda 21% 79% 4% 49% 84% Matt Guerrier 15% 61% 4% 8% 52% Jon Garland 4% 52% 1% 1% 68% Vicente Padilla 4% 45% 4% 7% 44% Ronald Belisario 8% 43% 10% 1% 70% Ramon Troncoso 5% 34% 2% 0% 63% Josh Lindblom 5% 40% 7% 4% 70% Scott Elbert 6% 36% 78% 0% 69% Jon Huber 6% 31% 3% 10% 72% Jon Link 4% 36% 15% 0% 72% Juan Perez 7% 31% 72% 0% 42% Travis Schlichting 5% 36% 0% 1% 70% Blake Hawksworth 1% 18% 1% 1% 43% Jack Taschner 4% 27% 10% 1% 55% Scott Dohmann 5% 24% 4% 3% 62% Jeff Weaver 4% 21% 6% 1% 47% Geoff Geary 4% 16% 4% 4% 64% Javy Guerra 3% 21% 19% 0% 87% John Ely 0% 6% 1% 0% 22% Seth Etherton 1% 10% 2% 19% 19% Russ Ortiz 2% 12% 14% 1% 60% Chris Withrow 0% 2% 6% 0% 52% Carlos Monasterios 0% 2% 1% 0% 12% Jesus Castillo 0% 0% 0% 0% 49% Aaron Miller 0% 1% 3% 0% 31% Alberto Bastardo 0% 0% 0% 0% 38% Mario Alvarez 0% 1% 0% 0% 53% Luis Vasquez 1% 9% 5% 0% 57% All figures in % based on projection playing time Disclaimer: ZiPS projections are computer-based projections of performance. Performances have not been allocated to predicted playing time in the majors - many of the players listed above are unlikely to play in the majors at all in 2011. ZiPS is projecting equivalent production - a .240 ZiPS projection may end up being .280 in AAA or .300 in AA, for example. Whether or not a player will play is one of many non-statistical factors one has to take into account when predicting the future. Players are listed with their most recent teams unless Dan has made a mistake. This is very possible as a lot of minor-league signings are generally unreported in the offseason. ZiPS is projecting based on the AL having a 4.29 ERA and the NL having a 4.14 ERA. Players that are expected to be out due to injury are still projected. More information is always better than less information and a computer isn't what should be projecting the injury status of, for example, a pitcher with Tommy John surgery. Positional offense is ranked by RC/27 and divided into quintiles based on what the most frequent starting players at each position did in 2007-2010. Excellent is the top quintile, Very Good the 2nd quintile and so on.2011 Projections Archive Pittsburgh Pirates San Diego Padres Oakland A’s Texas Rangers Florida Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks Cleveland Indians Washington Nationals Toronto Blue Jays Tampa Bay Rays Kansas City Royals Cincinnati Reds Milwaukee Brewers Baltimore Orioles Colorado Rockies Atlanta Braves Houston Astros St. Louis Cardinals
Dan Szymborski
Posted: December 27, 2010 at 07:59 AM | 33 comment(s)
Login to Bookmark
Related News: |
BookmarksYou must be logged in to view your Bookmarks. Hot Topics2012 ZiPS Projections, Final Edition
(23 - 11:21am, May 31) Last: craigsaboe 2012 ZiPS/RBI Baseball (20 - 10:58am, May 03) Last: tjans 2012 ZiPS Projections Spreadsheets, v. 1 (62 - 4:38pm, Apr 10) Last: nemodomi 2012 ZiPS Projections - Oakland A's (69 - 5:57am, Apr 10) Last: Athletic Supporter's aunt's sorry like Aziz 2012 ZiPS Projections - Kansas City Royals (31 - 1:51pm, Mar 23) Last: hokieneer Pirates - Acquire Burnett (10 - 11:09pm, Feb 20) Last: You Know Nothing JT Snow (YR) 2012 ZiPS Projections - Pittsburgh Pirates (41 - 10:02am, Feb 20) Last: Dangerous Dean 2012 ZiPS Projections - Minnesota Twins (31 - 8:53pm, Feb 17) Last: A Random 8-Year-Old Eskimo 2012 ZiPS Projections - Boston Red Sox (46 - 4:41pm, Feb 17) Last: Jose is an Absurd Sultan 2012 ZiPS Projections - San Diego Padres (29 - 2:33pm, Feb 17) Last: Dan Szymborski 2012 ZiPS Projections - Arizona Diamondbacks (31 - 2:03am, Feb 14) Last: Dan Szymborski 2012 ZiPS Projections - Texas Rangers (21 - 12:43pm, Feb 10) Last: DEF: selfish min-maxer 2012 ZiPS Projections - Miami Marlins (31 - 8:16pm, Feb 07) Last: Misirlou cut his hair and moved to Rome 2012 ZiPS Projections - Cleveland Indians (19 - 10:18pm, Feb 02) Last: DevinM 2012 ZiPS Projections - Atlanta Braves (28 - 6:25pm, Jan 31) Last: Spahn Insane Syndicate |
|||||||
|
About Baseball Think Factory | Write for Us | Copyright © 1996-2021 Baseball Think Factory
User Comments, Suggestions, or Complaints | Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Advertising
|
| | ||||||
Reader Comments and Retorts
Go to end of page
Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.
1. Boxkutter Posted: December 27, 2010 at 08:18 AM (#3718296)Having said that... I think Ned Colletti will trade Kemp + Kuo + Kreshaw for a *insert random over the hill big name player here*
On another note, I also would be interested in seeing what the projection for Sands would be...
25 Games
24 IP
21 Walks
18 Strikeouts
30 Hits
3 Homeruns
The weird thing is he really didn't lose any velocity during the season, but was utterly dominate in the first half and then just fell apart after the all-star break.
I was hoping nobody would speak up about Rubby as I hate projecting pitchers with very short resumes (and resulting super wide error bars). But I guess I was caught fair and square. 92 ERA+ swing role projection (down to 87 as a full-time starter).
Very impressive front 4 of the rotation here. There will not be a lot of runs scored in the NL West this year.
If the Dodgers miss the playoffs again, Ned might finally be sacked.
So we should start planning the wake for Kershaw's arm now? :-)
How in the world does Jason Kubel get to be Ethier's #1 comp?
Ethier, ages 26-28: 132, 131, 134 OPS+
Kubel, ages 26-28: 115, 136, 102
ZiPS projects 267 more AB for Garret Anderson. I'll take the under! :-)
I can't decide if Prentice Redman should be one of the snobs in Animal House or one of the evil rich guys in Trading Places.
EDIT: Oh yeah, baseball content. Excellent rotation, adequate offense. Lilly's a flyball pitcher and with that defense behind him I'm not sure he can hit that projection. Maybe they're following the Sabean model in LF -- start with guys who suck and just assume a Pat Burrell will fall into your lap and start hitting like Pat Burrell again. With a real LF, looks like a solid mid-high 80s win team to me. Not a lot of depth.
I was curious about Sands too ... curious about his glove. The little bit I've seen of him he looked a lot better than what you read in BA, etc... - I think he's just fine in RF.
As a Padres fan this is terrible, terrible news. But now I'm not sure whether to root for the Dodgers (which just made me puke a little in my mouth), and hope that he will continue in his occupancy, or continue to express my disdain for this team and most of its supporters.
If they're not going to get a LF who can hit, they need to get a CF who can play defense, move Kemp to RF and Ethier to LF. Maybe that makes too much sense.
Sands is from this area (Clayton) and some of the things I've heard from the locals imply that the Dodgers' minor league people and Sands don't always see eye-to-eye on his development path. It's possible that some of that has filtered out into the public. Granted that he was a 25th rounder, but the Dodgers *have* been moving him very slowly; they left him in low-A to start 2010 for no obvious reason (it's not as though they had any great OF prospects in the Cal League last year) and waited until he had half a season of tearing up the MWL to move him up to AA.
-- MWE
I've never heard any locals mention Sands at all - but I have noticed how they've jerked him around a bit (playing him in center, than at first?). OTOH, he was a late draft pick and barely topped .200 in complex ball as a college guy that first year, so he should be glad they stuck with him at all - he never gave them a real reason to be a priority 'til this year (arguably the second half of last year, but I'd say 2010).
Not only is he still alive, he is apparently worth an entry as both SP and RP! :P
Everybody should have a cause. :)
Maybe we could only count the ones in the LeMaster Belt, then?
In fact, yes. Which is certainly a lot clearer than what would happen if we added planet Goofy.
You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.
<< Back to main