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Transaction Oracle — A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen Tuesday, November 09, 20102011 ZiPS Projections - Texas RangersCliff Lee might not be coming back to Texas and in the playoffs, the bullpen had worse management than Badfinger thanks to Ron Washington. But the Rangers have little to be disappointed about in a season in which the team made the World Series.
Can they do it again? Probably. The A’s have an awful offense, the Mariners have some obvious major fixing to do, and while I’ve gotten in trouble counting out the Angels before, they were awfully mediocre this year, though always have the ability to make some noise in free agency (not that it’s a great crop). From the latter, the Rangers will likely fear Mike Trout soon, but probably not quite yet.
Who would have guessed a year ago that Colby Lewis and C.J. Wilson would be 2 of the key 3 Ranger starters in a World Series run? Not me. Against all odds, Wilson’s arm and endurance held up (he’s never thrown anywhere near the number of innings) and the Rangers terrific signing of Lewis proved to be one of the bargains of the year, along with Vlad’s one-year deal (except when he was playing defense against the Giants).
At this point, the Rangers still look like the favorite in the AL West, but we’re probably looking at the mid-to-upper-80s for wins rather than an AL beatdown if Lee and Guerrero can’t be replaced adequately. A lot did go right for the Rangers and the absolutely sick bullpen should keep the team’s bottom from dropping out if the breaks otherwise don’t go their way in 2011.
Next up: Marlins
Batting Projections Player B PO Age BA OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS OPS+ Josh Hamilton L CF 30 .306 .364 .533 128 493 75 151 31 3 25 90 44 99 9 2 133 Nelson Cruz R RF 30 .283 .350 .536 125 459 68 130 26 3 28 82 47 107 18 5 130 Ian Kinsler R 2B 29 .282 .362 .467 126 493 88 139 28 3 19 68 57 70 25 5 117 Vladimir Guerrero R DH 36 .293 .343 .491 128 495 67 145 25 2 23 82 34 62 3 4 117 David Murphy L LF 29 .277 .338 .446 132 437 57 121 26 3 14 63 43 83 10 3 105 Michael Young R 3B 34 .285 .334 .442 143 593 82 169 33 3 18 75 46 99 6 2 103 Mitch Moreland L RF 25 .269 .336 .433 149 568 68 153 35 2 18 85 57 108 4 3 101 Jorge Cantu R 3B 29 .272 .321 .436 139 530 62 144 34 1 17 77 34 86 2 1 97 Julio Borbon L CF 25 .289 .329 .368 160 595 85 172 20 6 5 54 31 78 35 12 84 Jeff Francoeur R RF 27 .265 .309 .419 156 566 70 150 30 3 17 83 32 104 5 3 90 Chris Davis L 1B 25 .254 .313 .417 160 568 71 144 35 2 18 83 49 180 4 2 91 Elvis Andrus R SS 22 .269 .344 .338 160 592 89 159 20 6 3 42 63 96 37 12 81 Cristian Guzman B 2B 33 .279 .313 .369 122 466 64 130 19 4 5 43 20 63 4 4 79 Chad S. Tracy R DH 25 .236 .293 .400 126 492 55 116 25 1 18 70 37 117 5 2 81 Bengie Molina R C 36 .258 .291 .392 119 418 38 108 18 1 12 63 17 47 0 0 78 Christopher McGuinL 1B 23 .238 .336 .367 130 491 47 117 22 1 13 56 67 124 2 6 86 Max Ramirez R C 26 .237 .319 .369 94 325 35 77 14 1 9 47 37 102 1 1 81 Esteban German R 2B 33 .246 .324 .326 118 402 55 99 17 3 3 40 43 72 25 7 72 Andres Blanco B 2B 27 .269 .316 .346 92 260 26 70 12 1 2 26 16 33 3 2 75 Brandon Boggs B CF 28 .223 .320 .361 111 382 47 85 20 3 9 41 54 125 5 4 80 Craig Gentry R CF 27 .251 .307 .336 111 422 57 106 15 3 5 36 27 86 20 6 70 Hernan Iribarren L 2B 27 .260 .306 .348 130 466 51 121 20 3 5 49 31 87 12 8 72 Engel Beltre L CF 21 .261 .299 .350 139 560 55 146 18 7 6 43 21 108 20 14 71 Matthew Brown R 3B 28 .222 .282 .384 99 378 41 84 22 3 11 41 29 108 3 3 74 Davis Stoneburner R 2B 26 .238 .286 .337 113 442 45 105 22 2 6 39 24 109 10 4 64 Matt Treanor R C 35 .227 .300 .319 71 216 21 49 6 1 4 26 20 47 1 1 64 Taylor Teagarden R C 27 .199 .278 .346 88 301 35 60 12 1 10 35 29 129 0 0 63 Gregorio Petit R SS 26 .237 .286 .323 127 468 53 111 20 1 6 45 30 101 6 4 60 Willy Taveras R CF 29 .227 .273 .284 105 366 49 83 11 2 2 21 20 58 29 6 48 Kevin Richardson R C 30 .204 .250 .358 69 240 22 49 10 0 9 25 12 96 0 0 58 Defensive Projections Player CTHr 1B 2B 3B SS LF CF RF Josh Hamilton AV/122 AV/117 AV/108 Nelson Cruz AV/131 AV/131 Ian Kinsler AV/116 Vladimir Guerrero PO/153 David Murphy AV/57 PO/105 VG/83 Michael Young FR/91 PO/67 Mitch Moreland AV/114 AV/163 AV/163 Jorge Cantu AV/94 FR/146 Julio Borbon EX/161 EX/156 Jeff Francoeur FR/69 Chris Davis AV/129 PO/119 FR/129 Elvis Andrus VG/124 Cristian Guzman AV/121 FR/113 FR/129 Chad S. Tracy FR/98 Bengie Molina FR Christopher McGuiness AV/115 Max Ramirez PO Esteban German FR/132 FR/159 FR/135 FR/110 FR/110 Andres Blanco FR/104 AV/120 AV/158 Brandon Boggs VG/93 AV/117 AV/108 Craig Gentry VG/114 VG/122 VG/114 Hernan Iribarren AV/70 AV/70 AV/48 FR/110 FR/107 Engel Beltre VG/234 Matthew Brown AV/191 PO/163 AV/116 Davis Stoneburner FR/198 AV/142 PO/230 Matt Treanor AV Taylor Teagarden AV Gregorio Petit VG/109 VG/107 AV/130 Willy Taveras VG/155 VG/108 Kevin Richardson FR Pitching Projections - Starters Player T Age ERA W L G GS IP H ER HR BB K ERA+ Cliff Lee L 33 3.21 17 6 30 30 213.3 207 76 17 29 174 141 Colby Lewis R 31 3.71 16 9 31 31 191.7 177 79 23 53 191 122 C.J. Wilson L 30 3.77 13 7 28 28 155.3 142 65 13 70 137 120 Rich Harden R 29 4.15 9 6 26 25 134.3 118 62 19 65 143 109 Derek Holland L 24 4.54 10 8 27 21 125.0 125 63 18 45 103 100 Scott Feldman R 28 4.67 11 10 31 26 165.7 181 86 20 54 93 97 Brandon McCarthy R 27 4.71 4 4 14 14 72.7 75 38 11 25 48 96 Tommy Hunter R 24 4.73 10 10 29 28 159.7 172 84 24 50 92 96 Omar Beltre R 29 4.93 7 7 27 17 87.7 92 48 8 54 68 92 Matt Harrison L 23 5.00 5 5 29 15 102.7 115 57 13 42 61 91 Michael Kirkman L 24 5.08 8 9 32 24 140.0 146 79 17 85 102 89 Mark Prior R 30 5.40 0 1 2 2 10.0 11 6 2 5 7 84 Robert Ross L 22 5.51 8 10 24 24 112.7 141 69 12 46 57 82 Guillermo Moscoso R 27 5.68 5 8 26 19 111.0 129 70 18 50 79 80 Ben Snyder L 25 5.79 5 7 37 11 105.7 125 68 16 50 68 78 Doug Mathis R 28 5.93 4 7 30 14 98.7 127 65 15 38 49 76 Travis Chick R 27 5.97 4 6 17 13 69.3 84 46 10 38 43 76 Ryan Tucker R 24 6.03 3 5 25 9 62.7 75 42 7 44 35 75 Kasey Kiker L 23 6.13 3 6 19 14 69.0 71 47 9 65 53 74 Wilfredo Boscan R 21 6.24 7 13 27 26 135.7 179 94 21 49 63 73 Martin Perez L 20 6.43 5 9 26 22 99.3 125 71 15 59 68 70 Michael Ballard L 27 6.51 5 10 28 21 120.3 166 87 20 42 58 70 Wilmer Font R 21 6.56 3 6 22 20 82.3 95 60 12 73 57 69 Pitching Statistics - Relievers Player T Age ERA W L G GS IP H ER HR BB K ERA+ Neftali Feliz R 23 3.03 5 2 71 0 71.3 56 24 6 23 77 149 Alexi Ogando R 27 3.08 4 1 57 0 64.3 51 22 6 31 67 147 Darren O’Day R 28 3.17 4 2 68 0 65.3 57 23 6 18 54 143 Frank Francisco R 32 3.42 6 2 56 0 55.3 46 21 6 19 66 133 Buzz Oliver L 40 3.43 3 1 58 0 63.0 58 24 6 18 57 132 Clay Rapada L 30 4.17 3 2 53 0 54.0 52 25 4 27 43 109 Mark Lowe R 28 4.40 3 3 44 0 47.0 48 23 6 19 40 103 Zach Phillips L 24 4.48 3 2 44 2 68.3 66 34 5 41 50 101 Pedro Strop R 26 4.70 3 3 43 0 46.0 46 24 5 27 41 96 Dustin Nippert R 30 4.94 6 6 33 9 85.7 90 47 12 41 65 92 Warner Madrigal R 27 5.09 3 3 50 0 58.3 61 33 10 25 41 89 Tanner Scheppers R 24 5.13 2 2 38 7 80.7 91 46 10 36 68 88 Mark Hamburger R 24 6.06 3 5 49 0 62.3 75 42 9 37 39 75 Extrapolated Career Statistics Player BA OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ Vladimir Guerrero .311 .371 .539 2518 9610 1514 2988 540 51 516 1735 833 1154 190 134 Elvis Andrus .267 .349 .344 2524 9223 1405 2461 344 85 67 680 1078 1428 405 84 Michael Young .294 .340 .438 1820 7469 1065 2198 408 50 188 947 530 1176 93 101 Ian Kinsler .273 .348 .441 1585 6211 1052 1697 341 34 212 790 657 805 242 106 Josh Hamilton .294 .349 .498 1548 5988 848 1761 341 37 268 1002 486 1073 85 120 Bengie Molina .270 .302 .405 1673 5906 552 1593 264 8 173 870 249 588 3 84 Chris Davis .250 .311 .422 1340 4700 587 1175 294 14 162 682 417 1463 32 91 Nelson Cruz .270 .333 .491 1301 4700 638 1269 252 22 247 756 442 1007 136 114 Julio Borbon .283 .324 .369 1284 4679 666 1324 162 39 54 443 252 602 213 83 David Murphy .274 .334 .438 1122 3667 478 1006 220 21 113 522 348 667 77 102 Player W L S ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ Cliff Lee 207 113 0 3.73 425 421 2844 2887 1180 284 563 2176 119 ODDIBE (Odds of Important Baseball Events) Player PO EX VG AV FR PO COMP 1 COMP 2 COMP 3 Josh Hamilton CF 82% 11% 5% 1% 0% Jim Edmonds George Altman Ben Ogilvie Nelson Cruz RF 54% 27% 10% 6% 3% Richard Hidalgo Jesse Barfield Carl Everett Ian Kinsler 2B 74% 14% 7% 4% 1% Charlie Neal Billy Werber Ryne Sandberg Vladimir Guerrero DH 11% 25% 22% 27% 15% Andy Pafko Jim Rice Frank Thomas David Murphy LF 10% 24% 21% 23% 22% Marty Cordova Barry Bonnell Billy McMillon Michael Young 3B 11% 22% 25% 24% 18% Travis Fryman Pinky Whitney Jeff Cirillo Mitch Moreland RF 3% 14% 18% 27% 38% Steve Cox J.T. Snow Nelson Simmons Jorge Cantu 3B 4% 16% 23% 29% 28% Charlie Hayes Mike Cervenak Tracy Woodson Julio Borbon CF 4% 8% 21% 33% 34% Juan Pierre Lance Johnson Brandon Watson Jeff Francoeur RF 1% 4% 8% 19% 68% Mike Vento Julio Vinas Jesus Guzman Chris Davis 1B 0% 4% 8% 27% 61% Glenn Davis Jason Thompson Lee Stevens Elvis Andrus SS 7% 15% 29% 27% 21% Jerry Browne Alejandro Machado Derek Jeter Cristian Guzman 2B 1% 3% 7% 17% 72% Tito Fuentes Jose Vizcaino Mark Grudzielanek Chad S. Tracy DH 0% 1% 2% 13% 84% Tom Forrester Butch Garcia Willis Otanez Bengie Molina C 3% 9% 13% 27% 48% Bo Diaz Darrin Fletcher Bob Boone Chris McGuinness 1B 1% 2% 3% 13% 81% Micah Kaaihue Dustin Yount Jose Birriel Max Ramirez C 4% 9% 16% 33% 38% Terry McGriff John Gibbons Dusty Brown Esteban German 2B 4% 4% 8% 19% 66% Mitch Simons Tim Barker Freddie Patek Andres Blanco 2B 1% 2% 4% 14% 78% Ever Magallanes Al Pedrique Bruce Yard Brandon Boggs CF 1% 2% 7% 22% 69% Jason Evans Ryan Langerhans Paul Householder Craig Gentry CF 1% 1% 5% 18% 75% Tom Goodwin Kenny James Rashad Eldridge Hernan Iribarren 2B 1% 1% 2% 8% 87% Tommy Shields Bobby DeJardin Juan Melo Engel Beltre CF 1% 1% 3% 10% 85% Trench Davis Terry Crowley Keiunta Span Matthew Brown 3B 0% 1% 3% 8% 87% Brandon Inge Bryn Kosco Bob Bafia Davis Stoneburner 2B 0% 1% 2% 5% 92% Enrique Cruz Mendy Lopez Eric Knowles Matt Treanor C 1% 2% 4% 12% 82% Kirt Manwaring Frank Charles Rick Cerone Taylor Teagarden C 1% 2% 4% 14% 80% Tim Glass Henry Mercedes Dan Whitmer Gregorio Petit SS 0% 1% 3% 8% 88% Oswaldo Navarro John Alva Milko Jaramillo Willy Taveras CF 0% 0% 1% 4% 95% Tony Diggs Terry Jones Quincy Foster Kevin Richardson C 1% 1% 2% 6% 90% Kevin Brown Paul Chiaffredo Jayhawk Owens Player PO TOP MID BOT Comp1 Comp2 Comp3 Neftali Feliz RP 84% 16% 1% Byung-Hyun Kim Antonio Osuna Huston Street Alexi Ogando RP 78% 20% 1% Scott Garrelts Armando Benitez Scott Williamson Darren O’Day RP 75% 23% 1% Derek Lowe Tim Burke Mariano Rivera Cliff Lee SP 96% 4% 0% John Smiley Jeff Fassero Andy Pettitte Frank Francisco RP 67% 29% 4% Rich Gossage Tom Henke Robb Nen Buzz Oliver RP 67% 30% 3% Chris Hammond John Franco Rick Honeycutt Colby Lewis SP 79% 21% 0% Javier Vazquez Mike Mussina Curt Schilling C.J. Wilson SP 70% 28% 2% Sam McDowell Al Leiter Doug Davis Rich Harden SP 52% 41% 7% Hideo Nomo Sam Jones Tim Belcher Clay Rapada RP 28% 50% 21% Tippy Martinez Doug Capilla Tug McGraw Mark Lowe RP 16% 46% 38% Paul Shuey Bert Roberge Mike Adams Zach Phillips RP 15% 55% 29% Grant Jackson Luke Walker Billy McCool Derek Holland SP 29% 55% 16% Brad Havens Bruce Chen Randy Wolf Scott Feldman SP 15% 65% 20% Dave Eiland Bill Laskey Jaime Navarro Pedro Strop RP 13% 44% 44% Frank Williams Jim Stoops Duane Ward Brandon McCarthy SP 23% 46% 31% Armando Reynoso Chad Ogea Mark Clark Tommy Hunter SP 16% 62% 23% Bill Wegman Brian Holton Mike Williams Omar Beltre SP 18% 49% 32% Kevin Gallaher Allie Reynolds Charlie Puleo Dustin Nippert RP 4% 43% 53% Steve Mura Jim Dorsey Brian Boehringer Matt Harrison SP 9% 48% 43% Lee Tunnell Scott Sauerbeck Randy Niemann Michael Kirkman SP 8% 50% 42% Trevor Wilson Jesus Martinez Bryan Clark Warner Madrigal RP 4% 30% 65% Jeff Plympton Paul Boris Jack Hardy Tanner Scheppers RP 3% 34% 63% Josh Wahpepah Manny Delcarmen Scott Dye Robert Ross SP 2% 29% 69% Jeff Mutis Wes Whisler Jake Chapman Guillermo Moscoso SP 1% 24% 75% Andy Ashby Sun-Woo Kim Tyler Walker Ben Snyder RP 0% 10% 90% Steve Kline Ben Kozlowski Scott Wiggins Doug Mathis SP 0% 7% 92% Jeff Farnsworth Juan Sandoval Jim Magrane Travis Chick SP 1% 16% 83% Travis Hughes Andy Larkin Ben Ford Ryan Tucker SP 0% 9% 90% Tim Byron Ricky Steik Eric Parent Mark Hamburger RP 0% 9% 91% Brandy Vann Paul Abraham Rick Krivda Kasey Kiker SP 1% 16% 83% Sam McDowell Mike Potts Bryan Clark Wilfredo Boscan SP 0% 6% 94% Jason Jones Paul Quinzer Fredy Deza Martin Perez SP 0% 5% 95% Matt Riley Carlos Perez Mark Brandenburg Michael Ballard SP 0% 4% 96% Craig Anderson Heath Phillips Eric Stults Wilmer Font SP 0% 6% 94% Jason Phillips Darryl Banks Jeremy Accardo Player .300 BA .375 OBP .500 SLG 45+ 2B 10+ 3B 30+ HR 140 OPS+ 30+ SB Josh Hamilton 59% 39% 72% 4% 2% 26% 36% 1% Nelson Cruz 26% 21% 71% 1% 1% 42% 30% 8% Ian Kinsler 24% 29% 21% 1% 2% 6% 10% 24% Vladimir Guerrero 39% 12% 34% 0% 0% 16% 10% 0% David Murphy 19% 10% 11% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% Michael Young 27% 6% 10% 7% 1% 6% 3% 0% Mitch Moreland 8% 6% 5% 11% 0% 4% 1% 0% Jorge Cantu 11% 2% 6% 7% 0% 3% 1% 0% Julio Borbon 30% 3% 1% 0% 11% 0% 0% 66% Jeff Francoeur 6% 0% 3% 2% 2% 3% 0% 0% Chris Davis 2% 1% 2% 14% 0% 4% 0% 0% Elvis Andrus 9% 12% 0% 0% 14% 0% 0% 71% Cristian Guzman 20% 1% 0% 0% 4% 0% 0% 0% Chad S. Tracy 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% Bengie Molina 6% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% Chris McGuinness 1% 7% 1% 0% 0% 2% 1% 0% Max Ramirez 2% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% Esteban German 2% 4% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% Andres Blanco 15% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Brandon Boggs 0% 3% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% Craig Gentry 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 8% Hernan Iribarren 4% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 2% Engel Beltre 5% 0% 1% 0% 22% 0% 0% 11% Matthew Brown 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% Davis Stoneburner 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% Matt Treanor 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Taylor Teagarden 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Gregorio Petit 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Willy Taveras 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 40% Kevin Richardson 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Player ERA+>130 ERA+>100 K/9 >8 BB/9 <2 HR/9 <1 Neftali Feliz 79% 99% 92% 8% 82% Alexi Ogando 72% 98% 86% 0% 79% Darren O'Day 69% 98% 28% 30% 77% Cliff Lee 69% 99% 22% 100% 92% Frank Francisco 60% 95% 97% 5% 60% Buzz Oliver 60% 93% 52% 23% 77% Colby Lewis 38% 94% 82% 15% 45% C.J. Wilson 31% 90% 45% 0% 87% Rich Harden 19% 74% 90% 0% 29% Clay Rapada 22% 73% 20% 0% 83% Mark Lowe 16% 54% 34% 2% 51% Zach Phillips 11% 58% 7% 0% 88% Derek Holland 6% 54% 24% 1% 24% Scott Feldman 1% 40% 0% 2% 44% Pedro Strop 8% 48% 44% 0% 67% Brandon McCarthy 6% 39% 2% 4% 24% Tommy Hunter 2% 38% 0% 4% 19% Omar Beltre 4% 36% 15% 0% 76% Dustin Nippert 3% 36% 8% 0% 41% Matt Harrison 1% 24% 1% 0% 42% Michael Kirkman 1% 21% 3% 0% 52% Warner Madrigal 3% 28% 4% 1% 17% Tanner Scheppers 2% 31% 29% 0% 48% Robert Ross 0% 9% 0% 0% 65% Guillermo Moscoso 0% 6% 2% 0% 12% Ben Snyder 0% 4% 0% 0% 20% Doug Mathis 0% 5% 0% 1% 25% Travis Chick 0% 5% 0% 0% 36% Ryan Tucker 0% 5% 0% 0% 65% Mark Hamburger 0% 5% 0% 0% 31% Kasey Kiker 0% 4% 11% 0% 47% Wilfredo Boscan 0% 1% 0% 1% 14% Martin Perez 0% 1% 1% 0% 24% Michael Ballard 0% 0% 0% 3% 10% Wilmer Font 0% 1% 3% 0% 28% All figures in % based on projection playing time Disclaimer: ZiPS projections are computer-based projections of performance. Performances have not been allocated to predicted playing time in the majors - many of the players listed above are unlikely to play in the majors at all in 2011. ZiPS is projecting equivalent production - a .240 ZiPS projection may end up being .280 in AAA or .300 in AA, for example. Whether or not a player will play is one of many non-statistical factors one has to take into account when predicting the future. Players are listed with their most recent teams unless Dan has made a mistake. This is very possible as a lot of minor-league signings are generally unreported in the offseason. ZiPS is projecting based on the AL having a 4.29 ERA and the NL having a 4.14 ERA. Players that are expected to be out due to injury are still projected. More information is always better than less information and a computer isn't what should be projecting the injury status of, for example, a pitcher with Tommy John surgery. Positional offense is ranked by RC/27 and divided into quintiles based on what the most frequent starting players at each position did in 2007-2010. Excellent is the top quintile, Very Good the 2nd quintile and so on.2011 Projections Archive Pittsburgh Pirates San Diego Padres Oakland A’s
Dan Szymborski
Posted: November 09, 2010 at 09:24 PM | 43 comment(s)
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1. Frisco Cali Posted: November 09, 2010 at 09:49 PM (#3686949)Things Josh Hamilton and Terry McGriff have in common:
- Both played for the Reds
- Neither have been in my kitchen before
Pretty cool name.
ZiPS also does not see a long future for Molina, given his #1 comp...
His brother Graham is a pretty decent prospect for the Yankees.
Seeing a good team after the last few is a bit of a shock to the senses.
Man, there's several nice free talent grabs on that pitching staff.
George Altman was a heck of a player; he had the misfortune to be stuck in a Cubs' system in an environment that really didn't encourage the development of minority players during the '50s. He had a long career in Japan after leaving MLB.
Nelson Cruz does remind me a lot of Richard Hidalgo, now that I think about it.
-- MWE
Edit: Now I see #9.
0-0, 0.00?
We're going to hell now, but Prior's up. It's a bit optimistic on the playing time.
Thanks in advance.
And Nieto also happens to be the most similar to Edinson Volquez.
2011 ZiPS Projection - Moe Greene
------------------------------------
Buyouts - 1
Bullets to the Eye - 1
Blood - Insanely thin and not the right color
That's really neat-o.
Are you sure?
Well, ####, start getting Ogando ready for closer. Thanks.
30 starts, 30 no-decisions, 0 runs scored while he was on the mound?
I've often thought about that in the past too. Hamilton is a tough case because of the drug abuse. Who knows how that affects an athlete after they've stopped? Obviously, not much so far. In football, the quick demise of running backs can often be traced to usage, similar to the Verducci effect for pitchers in baseball. These things would seem to point to an element of usage/abuse/physical toll experienced in a player's shelf life. There's definitely an element of age factoring into the equation as well though. While there are always exceptions (Moyer, George Blanda, etc), general trends point to physical prime at 27-31 or so in baseball. Football seems to have an earlier peak, but I think that may have a much more harsh "physical toll" factor than baseball. Anyway, good thought Voxter. I wonder if there have been any studies researching this in depth.
Of course, what they should consider doing is playing Michael Young at DH and trying to pick up a solid fielding and decent, if unspectacular, hitting 3B. I don't expect that will happen though, and I'm not that aware of the available 3B.
I'd be fine with Berkman at the DH slot as well, if we can get him on the cheap.
I'm pretty sure Andres Torres didn't get into baseball or anything other than running, really, until after high school.
I would take that any day of the week, as far as baseball is concerned.
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