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Transaction Oracle — A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen Tuesday, December 06, 20112012 ZiPS Projections - Minnesota TwinsNot a lot of good news for the Twins in 2011. ZiPS had them slipping significantly from 2010 and while they did just that, they more than exceeded the projected dropoff. A lot to do with it is Mauer and Morneau being injured, ineffective, or frequently both, a plot twist so bad that M. Night Shyamalan would disavow it. For video game nerds out there (there’s a lot of crossover), it’s almost Final Fantasy VIII plot twist-bad.
The Twins may not fully realize it, but they’re a team that’s headed for a rebuild as that with Morneau and Liriano shells of their former selves and without a second-tier of quality players (Kubel and Cuddyer are unsigned), they’re not a competitive team unless they spend ridiculous amounts of money in the free agent market. They’re not, so they aren’t. They’re not 100 losses-bad, but the ceiling for 2012 isn’t all that high, even with some pleasant Morneau-related surprise. While one would think that the trade of Kevin Slowey was the start of the process, the Twins have also been operating under this ridiculous notion for more than a year that they have a starting pitcher surplus.
On the plus side, Miguel Sano and several lesser lights should move up through the system in the next year or two and aren’t projected here. And ZiPS likes Liam Hendriks more than the rest of the team, though that’s not exactly the highest praise in the world.
Next Up: Los Angeles Dodgers
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Batting Projections Player B PO Age BA OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS OPS+ Joe Mauer L C 29 .302 .380 .432 121 447 67 135 26 1 10 61 56 50 1 2 120 Justin Morneau L 1B 31 .272 .348 .456 98 371 49 101 24 1 14 60 43 66 0 0 116 Jason Kubel L RF 30 .265 .333 .445 128 456 55 121 24 2 18 74 46 100 1 1 109 Michael Cuddyer R RF 33 .269 .332 .430 136 521 72 140 28 4 16 68 47 91 8 2 106 Denard Span L CF 28 .273 .342 .367 124 502 72 137 19 8 4 41 50 72 19 5 93 Ryan Doumit B C 31 .256 .319 .404 102 332 35 85 17 1 10 42 27 66 1 1 95 Tsuyoshi Nishioka B SS 27 .271 .327 .376 128 476 67 129 19 8 5 48 37 69 25 12 91 Alexi Casilla B 2B 27 .261 .324 .361 111 352 52 92 16 5 3 31 31 50 14 5 86 Jamey Carroll R 2B 38 .266 .341 .322 128 376 46 100 13 4 0 18 42 57 9 1 82 Danny Valencia R 3B 27 .260 .305 .392 151 561 64 146 32 3 12 67 37 105 2 4 88 Ben Revere L CF 24 .276 .322 .325 147 569 73 157 13 6 1 39 34 58 40 14 77 Trevor Plouffe R SS 26 .244 .296 .398 142 525 70 128 28 4 15 56 36 115 4 5 87 Brian Dozier R SS 25 .254 .313 .353 153 607 85 154 28 7 6 55 47 91 15 9 81 Oswaldo Arcia L RF 21 .240 .274 .415 111 412 56 99 26 2 14 51 18 119 3 4 84 Chris Parmelee L 1B 24 .243 .311 .357 156 588 66 143 28 3 11 68 58 131 1 2 81 Joe Benson R CF 24 .227 .308 .378 139 511 68 116 27 4 14 51 49 165 14 11 85 Luke Hughes R 2B 27 .229 .288 .363 97 336 39 77 17 2 8 34 26 87 4 2 76 Rene Tosoni L RF 25 .223 .289 .343 114 399 44 89 18 3 8 43 31 111 4 4 71 Brian Dinkelman L RF 28 .233 .292 .310 144 546 55 127 28 1 4 42 39 111 7 3 64 Jason Repko R RF 31 .218 .282 .316 104 307 40 67 10 1 6 26 23 85 11 4 63 Jeremy Reed L RF 31 .235 .285 .321 89 234 21 55 9 1 3 15 16 41 3 2 65 Matt Tolbert B 2B 30 .232 .283 .320 101 297 34 69 12 4 2 23 20 50 7 4 64 Rene Rivera R C 28 .222 .265 .342 75 243 21 54 14 0 5 25 13 62 0 0 64 Aaron Hicks B CF 22 .219 .306 .320 146 562 84 123 29 5 6 42 70 167 15 14 71 Pedro Florimon B SS 25 .232 .288 .320 138 491 53 114 22 3 5 50 35 146 15 11 65 Chase Lambin B 3B 32 .222 .281 .328 132 463 42 103 20 4 7 40 33 130 2 4 65 Steve Holm R C 32 .214 .281 .308 67 201 21 43 11 1 2 20 17 48 0 1 61 Deibinson Romero R 3B 25 .216 .276 .306 128 464 52 100 20 2 6 48 35 129 1 2 58 Drew Butera R C 28 .216 .263 .311 86 241 22 52 12 1 3 26 13 46 0 0 56 Toby Gardenhire R SS 29 .232 .273 .273 94 297 25 69 9 0 1 27 14 48 1 1 49 Defensive Projections Player CTHr 1B 2B 3B SS LF CF RF Joe Mauer AV AV/100 Justin Morneau VG/60 Jason Kubel FR/92 FR/93 Michael Cuddyer AV/91 PO/98 PO/100 PO/114 FR/96 Denard Span VG/99 VG/69 VG/114 Ryan Doumit FR FR/132 FR/129 Tsuyoshi Nishioka FR/116 FR/107 Alexi Casilla AV/106 AV/113 VG/101 Jamey Carroll AV/67 VG/101 AV/65 AV/112 AV/113 Danny Valencia FR/94 Ben Revere VG/112 VG/120 VG/106 Trevor Plouffe AV/109 FR/106 AV/108 AV/118 AV/95 AV/95 Brian Dozier AV/104 AV/102 FR/103 Oswaldo Arcia AV/115 Chris Parmelee FR/126 FR/129 Joe Benson VG/120 VG/109 VG/111 Luke Hughes VG/94 FR/99 FR/117 Rene Tosoni FR/118 FR/112 PO/155 FR/118 Brian Dinkelman FR/102 AV/91 AV/79 Jason Repko VG/92 AV/76 VG/72 Jeremy Reed VG/115 AV/94 AV/84 AV/101 Matt Tolbert FR/87 VG/95 PO/108 AV/94 FR/117 FR/94 Aaron Hicks AV/186 VG/95 Pedro Florimon AV/143 AV/143 Chase Lambin AV/107 AV/99 FR/144 FR/114 FR/101 FR/103 Steve Holm AV PO/119 Deibinson Romero FR/108 FR/133 Drew Butera VG Toby Gardenhire FR VG/112 AV/117 AV/114 FR/115 VG/102 AV/119 Rene Rivera VG FR/117 Pitching Projections - Starters Player T Age ERA W L G GS IP H ER HR BB K ERA+ Scott Baker R 30 3.91 10 8 27 26 158.7 157 69 19 39 136 107 Francisco Liriano L 28 4.24 10 10 27 25 148.7 143 70 14 66 137 99 Liam Hendriks R 23 4.31 9 9 26 25 137.7 155 66 11 31 81 97 LEAGUE AVERAGE - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 96 Carl Pavano R 36 4.53 10 10 27 27 177.0 201 89 21 33 97 93 Brian Duensing L 29 4.54 8 9 36 20 138.7 154 70 15 44 88 92 Nick Blackburn R 30 4.96 8 10 25 25 147.0 173 81 20 43 73 85 Matt Maloney L 28 4.96 7 9 25 21 123.3 146 68 16 27 72 85 Kyle Gibson R 24 5.09 6 8 22 22 115.0 135 65 13 39 71 82 Anthony Swarzak R 26 5.34 6 9 27 20 121.3 147 72 15 38 61 79 Jeff Manship R 27 5.42 4 6 24 14 84.7 105 51 11 27 47 77 Scott Diamond L 25 5.64 7 11 26 26 140.3 185 88 13 56 72 74 Eric Hacker R 29 6.29 6 13 27 25 131.7 177 92 17 58 67 67 Andrew Baldwin R 29 6.45 5 12 27 19 120.0 159 86 23 38 60 65 Deolis Guerra R 23 6.96 4 10 31 15 97.0 131 75 19 43 55 60 Pitching Statistics - Relievers Player T Age ERA W L G GS IP H ER HR BB K ERA+ LEAGUE AVERAGE - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 108 Glen Perkins L 29 4.08 4 3 67 0 64.0 65 29 6 23 53 103 Jose Mijares L 27 4.38 1 1 60 0 49.3 50 24 5 23 38 96 Chuck James L 30 4.48 3 4 37 3 62.3 65 31 6 26 46 94 Matt Capps R 28 4.48 5 5 67 0 64.3 70 32 8 17 42 94 Esmerling Vasquez R 28 4.68 3 3 57 0 57.7 57 30 6 34 46 90 Anthony Slama R 28 4.75 3 3 46 0 53.0 50 28 6 35 49 88 Alex Burnett R 24 4.87 3 4 66 0 61.0 67 33 6 25 39 86 Jeff Gray R 30 5.04 1 2 38 0 50.0 58 28 5 19 25 83 Kyle Waldrop R 26 5.06 4 6 59 0 83.7 102 47 8 28 36 83 Lester Oliveros R 24 5.25 2 3 51 0 58.3 62 34 7 35 48 80 Phil Dumatrait L 30 5.50 1 2 40 0 37.7 42 23 5 23 23 76 Jim Hoey R 29 5.74 3 4 48 0 53.3 59 34 7 38 38 73 Carlos Gutierrez R 25 5.81 3 5 38 8 83.7 102 54 8 48 45 72 Cole DeVries R 27 5.92 3 5 46 3 83.7 105 55 12 34 48 71 Tyler Robertson L 24 6.48 5 10 44 11 101.3 134 73 15 50 56 65 Extrapolated Career Statistics Player BA OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ Joe Mauer .302 .375 .427 2102 7853 1126 2372 437 26 165 1046 930 803 53 117 Michael Cuddyer .268 .334 .436 1763 6483 914 1736 362 51 209 876 603 1177 83 105 Justin Morneau .274 .345 .471 1604 6000 817 1645 370 20 256 1037 651 983 4 117 Denard Span .272 .342 .368 1357 5474 786 1489 204 78 55 486 547 711 173 93 Jason Kubel .264 .327 .437 1499 5245 628 1384 277 25 194 826 498 1050 15 105 Ryan Doumit .260 .319 .407 1268 4119 440 1071 228 11 119 516 299 741 18 95 Jamey Carroll .274 .350 .341 1344 3803 566 1043 149 34 12 253 423 594 81 84 Alexi Casilla .255 .315 .345 1065 3364 474 858 152 36 26 294 286 451 114 80 Player W L S ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ Carl Pavano 151 153 0 4.51 418 401 2541 2854 1273 301 573 1518 94 Scott Baker 136 115 0 4.23 368 357 2155 2219 1014 281 532 1762 99 Francisco Liriano 132 124 1 4.34 364 328 1935 1850 933 192 847 1827 97 Nick Blackburn 77 95 0 4.83 249 238 1433 1711 769 196 395 694 86 ODDIBE (Odds of Important Baseball Events) Player PO EX VG AV FR PO COMP 1 COMP 2 COMP 3 Joe Mauer C 73% 24% 4% 1% 0% Smoky Burgess Thurman Munson Mickey Cochrane Justin Morneau 1B 10% 35% 30% 22% 5% Greg Brock Paul Sorrento Gordy Coleman Jason Kubel RF 7% 23% 32% 27% 13% Geoff Jenkins Paul Sorrento Brian Daubach Michael Cuddyer RF 8% 20% 28% 31% 14% Fernando Tatis Hoot Evers Hector Lopez Denard Span CF 7% 15% 42% 29% 8% Brett Butler Steve Finley Eddie Milner Ryan Doumit C 7% 22% 38% 26% 8% Alan Ashby Ramon Hernandez Robert Machado Tsuyoshi Nishioka SS 7% 17% 37% 31% 10% Cristian Guzman Mickey Morandini Wilton Guerrero Alexi Casilla 2B 5% 7% 19% 31% 39% Nelson Liriano Tom Herr Ryan Theriot Jamey Carroll 2B 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% Willie Randolph Johnny Temple Randy Velarde Danny Valencia 3B 1% 4% 9% 24% 63% Patrick Sellers Christian Colonel Jason Alfaro Ben Revere CF 2% 3% 15% 34% 47% Juan Pierre Jason Tyner Rudy Law Trevor Plouffe SS 4% 8% 25% 48% 16% Simon Pond Steve Buechele Mike Bell Brian Dozier SS 1% 4% 20% 53% 24% Spike Owen Dick Schofield Jason Bartlett Oswaldo Arcia RF 0% 0% 5% 7% 89% Keith Hughes Mark Ryal Doug Frobel Chris Parmelee 1B 0% 0% 1% 11% 88% Juan Tejeda Andy Barkett Brett Roneberg Joe Benson CF 1% 2% 14% 39% 45% Alonzo Powell Tydus Meadows Jack Voigt Luke Hughes 2B 2% 3% 4% 10% 83% Mike Neal Andujar Cedeno Tony Woods Rene Tosoni RF 0% 0% 1% 4% 96% Willie Tatum Jon HamiltonGarrick Haltiwanger Brian Dinkelman RF 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% Ron Witmeyer Ryan Bear Chip Childress Jason Repko RF 0% 0% 1% 3% 97% Mike Murphy Manny Martinez Mike Kelly Jeremy Reed RF 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% Marc Sagmoen Alan Cockrell Ron Jones Matt Tolbert 2B 0% 1% 1% 2% 97% Pat Listach Kevin Davis Pablo Martinez Rene Rivera C 1% 1% 1% 10% 87% Chris Curry Brandon Marsters Alvin Colina Aaron Hicks CF 0% 0% 2% 5% 94% Kory DeHaan Kinnis Pledger Ryan Lane Pedro Florimon SS 1% 1% 3% 6% 90% Ross Jones Curtis Wilkerson Buddy Biancalana Chase Lambin 3B 0% 0% 0% 3% 97% Dave McKay Joe DeMaestri Tim Hulett Steve Holm C 0% 0% 2% 3% 96% Chad Moeller Henry Blanco George Mitterwald Deibinson Romero 3B 0% 0% 0% 2% 99% Travis Metcalf Randy Blood Ryan Stegall Drew Butera C 0% 1% 1% 4% 96% Mike Ryan Tom Nieto Dave Ullery Toby Gardenhire SS 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%Jonathan Schuerholz Craig Griffey Bill Bavasi Player PO TOP MID BOT Comp1 Comp2 Comp3 Scott Baker SP 46% 49% 5% Javier Vazquez Jon Lieber Virgil Trucks Glen Perkins RP 19% 56% 25% Chuck McElroy Vic Darensbourg Ed Olwine Francisco Liriano SP 29% 57% 14% Mickey Mahler Rich Hill Dennis Rasmussen Liam Hendriks SP 22% 59% 19% Larry Christenson Joe Blanton Marty Janzen Jose Mijares RP 13% 44% 43% Ricardo Jordan Chris Marchok Felix Heredia Chuck James RP 8% 40% 52% Aaron Fultz Dean Hartgraves Kevin Lovingier Matt Capps RP 9% 39% 52% Joseph Haines Jeff Tam Scott Winchester Carl Pavano SP 16% 46% 38% Paul Byrd Dick Donovan Bill Gullickson Brian Duensing SP 12% 56% 32% John Halama Billy Traber Lee Guetterman Esmerling Vasquez RP 6% 37% 58% Kevin Barry Calvin Jones Roy Corcoran Anthony Slama RP 5% 37% 59% Calvin Jones Johnny Ruffin Bo Donaldson Alex Burnett RP 3% 33% 64% Jeremy Wedel Shawn Hill Mark Dewey Nick Blackburn SP 5% 37% 58% Dick Bosman Ismael Valdez Dennis Martinez Matt Maloney SP 5% 39% 56% Mike Sirotka Mike Maroth Scott Downs Jeff Gray RP 5% 27% 68% Steve Comer Jason Karnuth Jose Silva Kyle Waldrop RP 1% 21% 78% Clay Carroll Reid Santos Mike Draper Kyle Gibson SP 2% 34% 64% Chien-Ming Wang Bill Fulton Sergio Mitre Lester Oliveros RP 1% 18% 80% Chris Schroder Ken Giard Jeff Heathcock Anthony Swarzak SP 1% 22% 77% Mike Lincoln Eddie Bonine Vicente Bonilla Jeff Manship SP 1% 18% 80% Mark Johnson Kevin Jarvis Jeff Farnsworth Phil Dumatrait RP 3% 15% 82% Scott Watkins Joey Eischen Dick Selma Scott Diamond SP 0% 8% 92% Wes Whisler Jeff Johnson Jeff Mutis Jim Hoey RP 0% 9% 91% James Warden Maximo Nunez Kenny Marrero Carlos Gutierrez RP 0% 5% 95% Barry Hertzler Don Timberlake Dallas Trahern Cole DeVries RP 0% 4% 96% Nick McCurdy Ron Rightnowar Chris Mears Eric Hacker SP 0% 2% 98% Dennis Tankersley John Snyder Jim Magrane Andrew Baldwin SP 0% 1% 98% Kris Wilson Felipe Lira Steve Ellsworth Tyler Robertson RP 0% 0% 100% Jeff Granger Kevin King Jim Bullard Deolis Guerra SP 0% 0% 100% Ken Ryan Andy Croghan William Cooper Player .300 BA .375 OBP .500 SLG 45+ 2B 10+ 3B 30+ HR 140 OPS+ 30+ SB Joe Mauer 56% 57% 4% 0% 0% 0% 8% 0% Justin Morneau 6% 10% 23% 0% 0% 0% 7% 0% Jason Kubel 2% 3% 7% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% Michael Cuddyer 3% 3% 5% 0% 2% 2% 1% 1% Denard Span 4% 2% 1% 0% 36% 0% 0% 6% Ryan Doumit 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% Tsuyoshi Nishioka 4% 1% 1% 0% 30% 0% 0% 19% Alexi Casilla 2% 2% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 2% Jamey Carroll 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% Danny Valencia 1% 0% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 0% Ben Revere 5% 1% 0% 0% 12% 0% 0% 86% Trevor Plouffe 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% Brian Dozier 0% 0% 0% 0% 18% 0% 0% 2% Oswaldo Arcia 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Chris Parmelee 0% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% Joe Benson 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 2% Luke Hughes 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Rene Tosoni 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% Brian Dinkelman 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% Jason Repko 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% Jeremy Reed 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Matt Tolbert 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% Rene Rivera 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Aaron Hicks 0% 1% 0% 1% 8% 0% 0% 2% Pedro Florimon 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 3% Chase Lambin 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% Steve Holm 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Deibinson Romero 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Drew Butera 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Toby Gardenhire 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Player ERA+>130 ERA+>100 K/9 >8 BB/9 <2 HR/9 <1 Scott Baker 13% 73% 35% 35% 51% Glen Perkins 19% 69% 27% 4% 79% Francisco Liriano 5% 52% 59% 0% 81% Liam Hendriks 3% 46% 0% 59% 86% Jose Mijares 9% 49% 12% 0% 75% Chuck James 5% 41% 7% 1% 72% Matt Capps 6% 41% 2% 33% 45% Carl Pavano 4% 33% 1% 80% 50% Brian Duensing 2% 34% 1% 7% 60% Esmerling Vasquez 4% 35% 22% 0% 68% Anthony Slama 5% 27% 58% 0% 54% Alex Burnett 3% 23% 1% 1% 73% Nick Blackburn 0% 15% 1% 12% 33% Matt Maloney 1% 14% 0% 56% 38% Jeff Gray 5% 25% 0% 5% 77% Kyle Waldrop 1% 14% 0% 7% 75% Kyle Gibson 0% 8% 0% 3% 55% Lester Oliveros 1% 15% 23% 0% 43% Anthony Swarzak 0% 4% 0% 5% 49% Jeff Manship 0% 6% 0% 9% 39% Phil Dumatrait 2% 13% 2% 0% 44% Scott Diamond 0% 1% 0% 0% 84% Jim Hoey 0% 4% 5% 0% 52% Carlos Gutierrez 0% 3% 0% 0% 69% Cole DeVries 0% 2% 0% 1% 27% Eric Hacker 0% 0% 0% 0% 41% Andrew Baldwin 0% 1% 0% 7% 3% Tyler Robertson 0% 0% 0% 0% 19% Deolis Guerra 0% 0% 0% 0% 6% All figures in % based on projection playing time Disclaimer: ZiPS projections are computer-based projections of performance. Performances have not been allocated to predicted playing time in the majors - many of the players listed above are unlikely to play in the majors at all in 2012. ZiPS is projecting equivalent production - a .240 ZiPS projection may end up being .280 in AAA or .300 in AA, for example. Whether or not a player will play is one of many non-statistical factors one has to take into account when predicting the future. Players are listed with their most recent teams unless Dan has made a mistake. This is very possible as a lot of minor-league signings are generally unreported in the offseason. ZiPS is projecting based on the AL having a 4.19 ERA and the NL having a 3.96 ERA. Players that are expected to be out due to injury are still projected. More information is always better than less information and a computer isn't what should be projecting the injury status of, for example, a pitcher with Tommy John surgery. Positional offense is ranked by RC/27 and divided into quintiles based on what the most frequent starting players at each position did in 2008-2011. Excellent is the top quintile, Very Good the 2nd quintile and so on.2012 Projections Archive Giants Mariners Angels White Sox Tigers Mets Phillies Cubs Red Sox Yankees
Dan Szymborski
Posted: December 06, 2011 at 09:02 PM | 31 comment(s)
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1. Craig in MN Posted: December 06, 2011 at 09:58 PM (#4008558)Well, I found one thing to make me smile in these projections.
Are he and his near-7 ERA projection the last vestiges of the putrid haul the Twins received for Santana? Or am I think of another guy?
That projection seems incredibly optimistic for Nishioka.
Isn't he the guy who played Bishop in all the "Aliens" movies?
Mario rip-off plot twists aside, VIII still had the best gameplay. Also, Rinoa is hotter than Tifa.
He was stellar once they moved him to the pen... Not that it would show here, or that it constitutes any real prize for Johan
The prize for Johan is not paying him > 100m to not pitch.
Door #3 was one year of peak Johan at $13 million (in a year where instead the Twins finished in 2nd by one game) and then some draft picks...
You're not speaking for anyone who follows prospects that closely...
Tsuyoshi Nishioka B SS 27 .271 .327 .376 128 476 67 129 19 8 5 48 37 69 25 12 91I'm taking the under.
Toby Gardenhire SS 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%Jonathan Schuerholz Craig Griffey Bill Bavasi
I see Marc Sullivan as his upside, personally.
If you could skip the GF animation! I mean, once you got more powerful, you didn't need to use the GFs as much, but christ, it was terrible before that. Talk about the need for some time compression, am I right??
Pretty much what I was thinking. I have been tracking him since midway through the 2010 season when he was putting up a stellar ERA in the minors. That caught my attention so I looked deeper and liked what I saw. Had some rough patches this year, but still pitched well so I drafted him. With decent numbers like that, he may very well be my #5 SP in 2012.
Now there's a name!
And surely some relation to Russ Haltiwanger.
I didn't realize the Twins were recruiting from the Stallion Studios softball team.
I believe those probabilities are based on the assumed playing time. I think we can agree that 30 HR in 371 AB would be mighty impressive.
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