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Transaction Oracle — A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen Thursday, July 12, 2007Indians - Signed HafnerCleveland Indians - Signed DH Travis Hafner to a 4-year, $57 million contract extension.
The length of the contract make this a pretty nice signing for the Indians. I’m not sure I’d be too excited about a declining Hafner in his late 30s, but the relative shortness of the deal keeps it from being too risky for the Indians to undertake and probably gives them an opening to be more aggressive at paying Sabathia. Hafner’s one-tool is quite good and given the state of the market, just assuming his true level of ability is a rather disappointing 2007 wouldn’t have him overpriced. Victor Martinez remembering how to throw out baserunners this season has also proved very helpful, allowing the Indians more flexibility in planning long-term at 1B/DH (catcher arm may be overrated, but the 56 net stolen bases Vector allowed last year was worrisome).
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1. The Anthony Kennedy of BBTF (Scott) Posted: July 12, 2007 at 02:47 AM (#2437923)Yeah, who cares if he's led the league in OPS+ for each of the last 3 years. Only the last 3 months count!
Read Danny.
and he's a slugger on the wrong side of 30.
who can't actually play the field.
when he's 33 and broken down with 26m left on his contract, you'll be saying "wow, who knew it was a bad idea to extend a slugger into his mid-30's in the middle of a year where he was showing a significant decline in his skills!"
it's not a terrible contract, but mark me down as meh, especially since they could have waited until the end of the year, or into NEXT year, to see if he pulls out of this slump.
Anyway, OPS+ underrates Hafner's 2007 because his OPS is so OBP heavy. Still not $14M worth, though.
And it overrates him because he doesn't play the field and has never had more than 580 PAs in season.
This is roughly current Thome money. Also current Burrell money I think. :-)
Only two things to dislike about it -- his age and the career high 140 games in a season. And that top comp of Carlos Delgado isn't exactly inspiring. Oh yeah, and if they already had him under contract for next year, I might well have pushed for a bigger discount.
anyway, close enough in my book, so I'll give it an OK.
It covers '09-'12, his 32-35 seasons. But some of the payments will be over the next two years.
They turned him into Chris Young (the pitcher) after 2003. So basically, that deal ended up as Travis Hafner for a big ol' sack of beans.
hafner hasn't begun his thirties in entirely inspiring fashion. on the one hand, you can look at what he's done and say 'well, he's trying to pull everything, he isn't going the other way like he has in the previous two seasons. once he gets back to that, his numbers will rebound.' on the other hand he's a one tool player with a history of niggling arm injuries (and a rather nasty concussion) who brings nothing else to the table. once that one tool begins to decline, you're looking at an albatross of a contract, especially since the team will be looking to lock sizemore up at the end of the contract.
i'd much rather have waited to see how 2007 turned out before locking in the 2009-11 seasons.
He's been a marginal MVP candidate each of the past three years, and justifiably so, but at this year's level, he's just another guy. I'd rather have Ichiro at his reported deal than Hafner at this one.
-- MWE
Only two things to dislike about it -- his age and the career high 140 games in a season.
That's a whole fat lot to dislike. It's akin to noticing there are only two things to dislike about the Titanic--there's a big hole below the waterline, and it's sinking fast.
Well, he's managed to stay in the lineup so far this year. Problem is, he hasn't been very good.
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