BBTF's Transaction Oracle Discussion :: Oakland A’s

Transaction Oracle
— A Timely Look at Transactions as They Happen

Monday, January 14, 2008

Oakland A’s - Dumped Kotsay

Oakland A’s - Acquired $2 million and P Joey Devine from the Atlanta Braves for CF Mark Kotsay.

Once Kotsay’s good defense in 2004 didn’t carry forward, this contract became mildly worrisome. When he ended up injured and hitting like an SNK Crusher, the contract became a little moreso. Kotsay is the starting centerfielder in Atlanta at the moment, but probably not for too long if he doesn’t turn things around. As is, Kotsay’s a mild upgrade from Josh Anderson if healthy. While that’s an improvement, you should try to avoid having starters that are only mild upgrades from Josh Anderson.

Devine has nasty stuff, but frequently little knowledge of where that stuff is headed. But he gets the benefit of the doubt in my book because sidearmers are awesome. Just ask Peter Moylan about the better-than-Billy-Mayes benefits of “going Tekuvle.”

2008 ZiPS Projection - Joey Devine
—————————————————————————————————

             W   L   G  GS   IP    H   ER  HR  BB  SO   ERA  ERA+  
—————————————————————————————————

Projection   5   4  49   0   52   51   25   6  30  44  4.33   99   
————————————————————————————————-

Opt. (15%)   7   3  54   0   60   52   22   5  28  54  3.30  129 

Pes. (15%)   3   4  40   0   40   43   25   6  29  33  5.62   76 

—————————————————————————————————

Top Comps: Butch Metzger, Jorge Julio

2008 ZiPS Projection - Mark Kotsay
—————————————————————————————————————————

              AB   R    H  2B 3B  HR RBI  BB  SO  SB    BA   OBP   SLG   OPS+  DR   
—————————————————————————————————————————

Projection   412  46  114  23  1   7  48  35  41   3  .277  .334  .388    88   -4
—————————————————————————————————————————

Opt. (15%)   432  58  129  27  2   9  59  44  36   5  .299  .363  .433   107   -1 

Pes. (15%)   308  31   79  15  0   3  32  23  34   1  .256  .308  .334    68   -8
—————————————————————————————————————————

Top Offensive Comps: Daryl Hamilton, Bill Virdon

Dan Szymborski Posted: January 14, 2008 at 12:59 PM | 36 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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1. Smitty* Posted: January 14, 2008 at 03:04 PM (#2667749)

Since you made an SNK Baseball Stars reference, what was the name of the lefty sidearming reliever on one of the Japanese teams in the game? I'm pretty sure it started with Oo. It's been driving me crazy (short trip) and no one I've talked to remembers.

2. Pops Freshenmeyer Posted: January 14, 2008 at 03:15 PM (#2667758)

Is Devine left handed?

Does ZiPS account for platooning in reading past data or predicting future data? For instance, does ZiPS assume this reliever would see an 'average' number of right handed hitters and an 'average' number of left handed hitters even if the player has seen almost exclusively one or the other?

3. Pops Freshenmeyer Posted: January 14, 2008 at 03:18 PM (#2667761)

And yes, "predicting future data" is a contradiction in terms.

4. Shooty would run in but these bone spurs hurt!

Posted: January 14, 2008 at 03:19 PM (#2667762)

I'll take the under on the Kotsay projection. I wish him well, but I'm going to cry if he fails his physical today.

5. Dan Szymborski

Posted: January 14, 2008 at 03:21 PM (#2667765)

Oomaga on the Japan Robins. The badass sidearmers, however, are the lefty-righty pair on the Ninja Blacksox, Iga and Sanda.

6. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: January 14, 2008 at 03:27 PM (#2667769)

I eagerly await your Emil Brown projection.

7. Chris Dial Posted: January 14, 2008 at 03:28 PM (#2667770)

dan,
fix the formatting on my NL GG article, please. XOXO.

8. Smitty* Posted: January 14, 2008 at 03:29 PM (#2667772)

Oomaga on the Japan Robins.

Thanks Dan. Odd that the Samoan Spike is given with the right arm then.........

9. Dan Szymborski

Posted: January 14, 2008 at 03:35 PM (#2667776)

What's fun is looking at a few old NES games made in Japan that attempt to make all-time teams of American players and see their perception of our league. Making educated guesses for Baseball Stars, and the more obvious Legends of the Diamonds one, here are MLB's all-time teams:

--------------------
Baseball Stars
--------------------
Sandy Koufax
Cy Young
Denny McLain
Dizzy Dean
"Frank"
Pete Rose
Babe Ruth
Joe DiMaggio
Hank Aaron
Lefty O'Doul
Willie Mays
"Jay"
Joe Jackson
Lou Gehrig
Johnny Bench
Eddie Mathews
Paul Waner

--------------------
Legenda of the Diamond
--------------------
Cy Young
Dizzy Dean
Lefty Gomez
Whitey Ford
Bob Gibson
Steve Carlton
Mickey Cochrane
Lou Gehrig
Johnny Mize
Billy Herman
"Jimmy" Foxx
Rogers Hornsby
Honus Wagner
Babe Ruth
Ty Cobb
Tris Speaker
Edd Roush
Luke Appling
Bill Freehan
Ernie Banks
Willie McCovey
Bobby Richardson
Joe Morgan
Harmon Killebrew
Brooks Robinson
Roberto Clemente
Willie Stargell
Hank Aaron
Billy Williams
Joe Torre

10. Pops Freshenmeyer Posted: January 14, 2008 at 03:37 PM (#2667777)

Szym has me on ignore? Not sure what I did...

11. Dan Szymborski

Posted: January 14, 2008 at 03:39 PM (#2667779)

Devine's righthanded.

ZiPS only takes into account platoon usage to the extent of the player's previous platoon usage.

12. Pops Freshenmeyer Posted: January 14, 2008 at 03:43 PM (#2667781)

So, basically, it assumes a platoon usage identical to past platoon usage?

13. Dan Szymborski

Posted: January 14, 2008 at 03:54 PM (#2667787)

Yes. "Starter" or "reliever" or an obvious different position (like Carlos Guillen to 1B) are the only opinion inputs I'm willing to do at this time.

14. Paul M Hates Krispy Kreme Posted: January 14, 2008 at 04:09 PM (#2667802)

I always assumed "Frank" was Frank Robinson, but I'm pretty sure he was an IF on that team, no?

15. My name is Votto, and I love to get Moppo Posted: January 14, 2008 at 04:09 PM (#2667803)

All of the Blacksox pitchers had amazing curves. Sasuke, I think, was their main starter.

16. Dan Szymborski

Posted: January 14, 2008 at 04:12 PM (#2667804)

I always assumed "Frank" was Frank Robinson, but I'm pretty sure he was an IF on that team, no?

Right-handed relief pitcher.

17. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: January 14, 2008 at 04:27 PM (#2667825)

"Lefty O'Doul"

That one's understandable within context, I guess. He was big in Japan.

18. Dan Szymborski

Posted: January 14, 2008 at 04:35 PM (#2667831)

That one's understandable within context, I guess. He was big in Japan.

Yeah, I assumed that since he did so much in the 50s over there. Plus, he's the only hitter nicknamed Lefty that ever did much.

According to B-R, there have been 169 players nicknamed Lefty in the majors. You'd think at some point it would have dawned on people that they could do better (and frequently did). At one point, there were 19 active players nicknamed Lefty. Just for fun, in the DMB league I was in, I made a whole rotation of guys nicknamed Lefty in 1934.

19. Pops Freshenmeyer Posted: January 14, 2008 at 04:51 PM (#2667844)

I thought "Lefty" was his given name.

20. A triple short of the cycle

Posted: January 14, 2008 at 04:53 PM (#2667848)

Oakland A's - Acquired $2 million and P Joey Devine from the Atlanta Braves for CF Mark Kotsay.

Huh? The A's received cash in this deal? That can't be right.

21. Dan Szymborski

Posted: January 14, 2008 at 04:57 PM (#2667852)

Huh? The A's received cash in this deal? That can't be right.

They were legally required to pay $8 million. Now, they only pay $6 million.

22. Traderdave

Posted: January 14, 2008 at 04:57 PM (#2667854)

I think that means the Braves are paying 2MM and the A's pay the net.

23. aberg Posted: January 14, 2008 at 04:59 PM (#2667856)

Did Oomaga have the same problem where he was dominant when he was first introduced as a character, but slowly turned into a wildly glorified jobber who gets himself DQ'd from every important appearance?

24. A triple short of the cycle

Posted: January 14, 2008 at 05:17 PM (#2667873)

Ah, A's are paying $6M of Kotsay's salary. Thanks guys.

25. Danny Posted: January 14, 2008 at 05:37 PM (#2667886)

I'm happy Denorfia will get a chance to play as much as possible, and it looks like Sweeney will see a lot of time in Oakland. Getting Devine isn't quite divine, but it's a whole lot better than what I thought they'd get for Kotsay--even if they ate his whole salary.

26. SouthSideRyan Posted: January 14, 2008 at 06:00 PM (#2667899)

I have the RBI baseball theme stuck in my head now.

27. Smitty* Posted: January 14, 2008 at 06:27 PM (#2667914)

Did Oomaga have the same problem where he was dominant when he was first introduced as a character, but slowly turned into a wildly glorified jobber who gets himself DQ'd from every important appearance?

I'll reply in 3 minutes......

28. Honkie Kong Posted: January 14, 2008 at 09:40 PM (#2668162)

I absolutely hate hate hate this. ####### no good panic move.
Kotsay is not even a sure bet to outperform Blanco or Anderson. And to give up Devine is really stupid.
I thought the Wren era was getting off toa good start till now.
So in the past 6 months, the Braves have given up on Feliz, Harrison, Devine, Andrus and Jones. This is dancing between the raindrops here. Seems like they are making a misguided attempt at a last push with Cox at the helm in 2008.

Any word whether the Braves are giving up a low A arm too? As if Devine weren't enough. Devine is going to be a better version of Chad Bradford.

29. Russlan is not Russian Posted: January 14, 2008 at 09:47 PM (#2668171)

So in the past 6 months, the Braves have given up on Feliz, Harrison, Devine, Andrus and Jones. This is dancing between the raindrops here. Seems like they are making a misguided attempt at a last push with Cox at the helm in 2008.

Not only that, they gave up a first round pick for Glavine to a divisonal rival. That said, the Braves are so good at drafting and developing players, they still have a very good system. Man, I hate the Braves.

30. Honkie Kong Posted: January 14, 2008 at 10:36 PM (#2668226)

############! the Braves are sending Richmond along with Devine. This trade just went from a minor disaster to laughably bad

31. Nick Esasky's "Vertigo" Posted: January 14, 2008 at 11:21 PM (#2668263)

Devine is going to be a better version of Chad Bradford.

Well maybe, but only if he learns how to throw strikes, start getting out lefties, stop giving up grand slams & season ending poat season walkoff HR's...

32. Ivan Grushenko of Hong Kong Posted: January 14, 2008 at 11:34 PM (#2668279)

Paul Newberry reports Jamie Richmond also goes to the A's. Sickels thinks he's a C+ prospect, which sounds pretty good to me. So that's now 10 prospects picked up in the three trades plus Eveland and two more lesser guys for Scutaro.

33. sardonic Posted: January 15, 2008 at 12:39 AM (#2668328)

Sweet.

34. The Interdimensional Council of Rickey!'s Posted: January 17, 2008 at 09:47 PM (#2670678)

Braves are sending Richmond along with Devine.

When I first read this, I thought it was a comment on the franchise's decision to bring their AAA affiliate into the metro Atlanta area after Richmond's lease ends in 2010.

35. Der Komminsk-sar Posted: January 17, 2008 at 09:52 PM (#2670685)

Richmond made BA's 31st team - check it out for a scouting report on him.

36. Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: January 22, 2008 at 05:45 PM (#2673860)

To err is human. To give up a game winning home run in the longest game in postseason history, Devine.

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Monday, January 14, 2008

Oakland A’s - Dumped Kotsay

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