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1. Vin Middle Posted: October 07, 2007 at 11:29 PM (#2566061)Bring on Carbathia!
Is there any doubt now the Red Sox are going to the world series?
Is this some kind of reverse jinx? At some point they'll have to give Gagne some meaningful innings.
Seriously, though, the remaining teams all seem quite capable of beating them. The Rockies even took 2 of 3 in Fenway long before their season-end hot streak.
533/731/1333, 4 HRs and 11 BB
I've never seen them both completely locked in at the same time like they have been in this series. Beautiful to watch, though it doesn't create many chances for a close-fought series, I guess.
The fact that Schilling gutted out seven innings on 10 days rest, and that Matsuzaka almost made it through five innings doesn't fill me with certainty.
Schilling did not look good early on. They were hitting the ball hard off of him, but at people. Later, he seemed to hit his stride a bit. Not a dominant performance (and not close to Beckett's) but a pretty good one.
I doubt he'll be able to keep the ERA under 2 this postseason - his fastball / split / slider combo is so susceptible to the long ball. But that he pulled it off again in the postseason, and with such marginal stuff, that's pretty incredible.
Sure there is. Sabathia and Carmona are good pitchers who had solid outings against the Red Sox this year. Dice-K did not fare well against the Indians his first time out against them, although he was outstanding the second time. The Red Sox won five of seven against the Tribe, but most of the games were close and hard-fought (including two 1-0 affairs, one each way). I think that series will be tough.
-- MWE
My thoughts exactly - the Red Sox are the favorite, but only inasmuch as they have home field.
Schilling doesn't have great stuff anymore, but when he has his A command he is a very good bet for a quality start. He had his A command today, and the results while probably better than you would expect from him, it's not a lot more than you would expect. 6 innings 2 runs, would have been my guess if I knew what kind of command he would have.
Indians scare me and if the Yankees come back,they will be on a frigging huge roll.
ALCS will be real tough.
Sure, there's always some doubt. However at this stage we are clear favourites as NY starting pitching is average at best and Cleveland can be taken in 6 games. The Rockies, who the heck mentioned the Rockies? They are a great story, but I'd love to take them on in the series, I see us taking that in 5.
Not sure they should be favored, or not sure they will be?
I'm almost certain they will be - whether they should be is an open question.
I was thinking the other way. The bookies may not like us, but I'd rather have our team in a 7 game series. No-one can match Beckett and I think Shilling's performance today is more indicative of what to expect then the regular season. So that's 2 starters where we have a big advantage. For once we have them in the closer department and I'd rather have Oki and Delcarmen then Joba and whoever else they are throwing out there in middle relief. Besides they've taken one game off of Cleveland and their power source right now is....Damon?! Ortiz and Manny are dialed in and the supporting cast is doing its job.
This is where you lost me.
I expect Boston will get favored by Vegas no matter what, given that they just swept their opponent. But I'm not a betting man, and don't know much about these things.
The Red Sox are currently heavy favorites to win the World Series (38.5% - more than double any other team), and about 59% to take the pennant.
Now that 59% might be coming almost entirely from the times when Boston faces Cleveland, but I doubt it. The Red Sox will open as favorites against New York, and probably strong favorites against Cleveland.
In the World Series, the Red Sox seem could possibly lose the first game, and still be favored to win, given the kinds of odds I'm seeing. The NL is being given even less shot than I'd have expected.
As usual, I'd tend to bet against the Red Sox and the Yankees here, given the odds being offered.
This I agree with as well. The game was in doubt for 7 innings today, and for 9 innings yesterday. Beckett's game was a nail biter for me for the first eight innings, but they did take a 4-0 lead after three, so that may have been an overreaction.
We are ready to go now, but hopefully it will be a couple of weeks.
I think she almost went onto labor after Manny's HR on Saturday, but who didn't!
How you been? Been watching the games on FOX 3?? It keeps me away from chatter, but I can't pass up baseball on the plasma, because it hardly ever happens!!!
We are having a party and you are invited, though the plane and two hour trip inland could be a problem....
Australia lost the rugby - meh
we lost the rugby because we hung on too long to players that overachieved at the last world cup...and our scrum was sh-t. The kiwis on the other hand just choked.
we lost the rugby because we hung on too long to players that overachieved at the last world cup...and our scrum was sh-t. The kiwis on the other hand just choked.
Trust me - I am not upset about losing in the rugby. I stopped being serious when they signed Lote, Sailor and Rogers. We never needed them...
The last French try was off a forward pass by a good metre. Pretty unfair, but they had their chance to win it as well towards the end.
That would be amazing if they won it.
For the series:
BOS: .269/.369/.495
LAA: .192/.250/.253
I think the point isn't that the two teams, overall, played at a similar level, but that the games themselves were close for quite a while. Even though the Red Sox outscored the Angels 19-4, Game 2 was a toss-up until the 9th, and Game 3 was close, with Schilling walking right up to the edge of the cliff for seven innings, but never missing location when it really mattered.
In game 3... the Angels get a couple of scratch runs, tie game, and then if Scosia uses Saunders instead of Oliver, the bleeding stops, and then all of a sudden it's 4-2, the top of the order against Hideki (who didn't have much today either).
And I don't think they can get it to go 7 games if those pitchers don't start twice on normal rest before Game 7. They'll be able to throw their other good pitcher out there against Beckett twice, and possibly win one of those two. Sabathia/Wang would go against Schilling. And they'd have to put their soft underbelly of starters up against some combo of Matsuzaka (well-rested) and maybe Lester/Wakefield. Despite the occasional struggles of those pitchers I like that matchup* for Boston. I think Boston wins in 6, at most.
*Unless it's the Yankees, and they've replaced Clemens with Hughes. Then all bets are off.
For the first 7 innings, Runge called the old late 90's Maddux-Glavine 30 inch wide plate zone. Then, when Okajima came into the game it totally changed. Oki threw a curve that bisected the zone and got called a ball. He threw a few fastballs easily as good as some that got calls for Weaver and Schilling. Nope. Balls. Then Runge squeezed Gagne too.
I've never seen a strike zone that big for 7 innings suddenly become that small in the 8th and 9th.
I've never seen a strike zone that big for 7 innings suddenly become that small in the 8th and 9th.
Man I need to come up with a new gag, because i've got nothin' beyond "Strike zone is not the only thing OKajima has smaller"
Yes, that is a completely different story. ;)
Honestly, I thought the series was a rather low-pressure affair, one that I was fairly confident the Sox would win after Beckett's Game 1 mastery.
Wok, will you ever be happy??
I wasn't that upset after the Coco blunder, compared to the Lowell error in the 8th. I always thought we would break the 3-3 tie sooner or later.
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