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— Where Thinking Red Sox Fans Obsess about the Sox

Monday, April 25, 2022

Predictions of Ridiculousness

Last year towards the tail end of the season I charted the Sox’ path to 92 wins.  In what turned out to be a bit of serendipity the Sox in fact wound up with 92 wins on the dot (thank you Raffy Devers).  With that bit of good luck I had planned on doing a semi-tongue in cheek prediction for 2022.  I didn’t quite get around to it but what the hell, 16 games isn’t that far.  With that in mind here is my 2022 Boston Red Sox prediction!  It will likely be fun to see how accurate the overall is (I wind up at 87-75) and how inaccurate the series by series forecasts are.  As a side note the one game “series” with Baltimore in August proved to be a bit of a pain in the butt.

I will keep this updated as the year goes on so everyone can have a good laugh.  In the meantime I tried to roll out what I think I would have predicted for these first few series and the Sox are already -2 wins.  Clearly they are doomed.

@NYY 1-2 1-2
@DET 2-1 (3-3) 2-1 (3-3)
MINN 3-1 (6-4) 2-2 (5-5)
TOR 2-1 (8-5) 1-2 (6-7)
@TBR 1-2 (9-7) 1-2 (7-9)
@TOR 1-3 (10-10) 1-3 (8-12)
@BAL 2-1 (12-11) 1-2 (9-14)
LAA 2-1 (14-12) 1-2 (10-16)
CHW 2-1 (16-13) 0-3 (10-19)
@ATL 1-1 (17-14) 1-1 (11-20)
@TEX 2-1 (19-15) 2-1 (13-21)
HOU 2-1 (21-16)
SEA 2-2 (23-18) (Opportunity starts here with 7 of 8 series against teams that missed playoffs in 2021)
@CHW 1-2 (24-20)
BAL 3-2 (27-22)
CIN 1-1 (28-23)
@OAK 1-2 (29-25)
@LAA 2-2 (31-27)
@SEA 1-2 (32-29)
OAK 2-1 (34-30)
STL 2-1 (36-31)
DET 2-1 (38-32)
@CLE 1-2 (39-34)
@TOR 1-2 (40-36)
@CHC 2-1 (42-37)
TBR 2-1 (44-38) (Tough stretch here similar to early season with a host of divisional games)
NYY 2-2 (46-40)
@TBR 2-2 (48-42)
@NYY 1-2 (49-44) (All Star Break after this series)
TOR 2-1 (51-45)
CLE 2-2 (53-47)
MIL 2-1 (55-48) (Trade deadline day of last game of this series)
@HOU 1-2 (56-50)
@KCR 2-2 (58-52)
ATL 1-1 (59-53)
BAL 1-0 (60-53)
NYY 2-1 (62-54)
@PIT 2-1 (64-55)
@BAL 2-1 (66-56)
TOR 2-1 (68-57)
TBR 1-2 (69-59)
@MIN 1-2(70-61)
TEX 3-1 (73-62) (September 1 is first game of this series)
@TBR 1-2 (74-64)
@BAL 2-1 (76-65)
NY 1-1 (77-66)
KCR 2-1 (79-67)
@CIN 1-1 (80-68)
@NYY 2-2 (82-70)
BAL 2-2 (84-72)
@TOR 1-2 (85-74)
TBR 2-1 (87-75)

Jose is Absurdly Correct but not Helpful Posted: April 25, 2022 at 04:28 PM | 3 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. villageidiom Posted: April 26, 2022 at 10:53 AM (#6073756)
I hadn't taken a close look at their schedule until now. Today I learned...

1. THEY DON'T PLAY KC UNTIL AFTER THE TRADE DEADLINE?

2. They have two series against each of Atlanta and Cincinnati?

3. Boston has three different 1-series road trips. They also have three 1-series homestands - all in September.
   2. Jose is Absurdly Correct but not Helpful Posted: April 26, 2022 at 11:02 AM (#6073759)
My gut here is that the schedule this year is flipped from last year's. Last year it seemed like their early schedule was pretty easy and their late season schedule was a bit rougher. This year it feels like they have a tougher schedule early. Looking back their early schedule last year had 3 series against playoff teams prior to Memorial Day. They are already playing their fourth series against a presumptive playoff team this year.
   3. pikepredator Posted: April 26, 2022 at 01:18 PM (#6073774)
Impressive work! I appreciate you putting your reputation on the line for our entertainment. This was a fun thread to follow last year.

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