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   1. Jose Is An Absurd Balladeer Posted: August 01, 2019 at 10:09 AM (#5867277)
The key now is to not let this burst of success go to waste as they have so often this year. At so many points this season the Sox have looked like a team ready to surge then stumbled.


So....yeah.

As far as the lack of a move at the deadline I’m actually OK with it. There’s probably a longer blog post in this idea but I’m in a weird place this year. I feel like something snapped in me in 2003 and 2004, those years were so intense that I just got completely wrapped up and became even more of a raving lunatic. Last year I saw the greatest Red Sox team ever and I snapped back to “normal” diehard fan level. So while I’m disappointed with the season I’m not losing my mind. The Sox needed to rebuild the farm, and seem to have done that, and they needed to reset the luxury tax and it appears they have done that. Coming off last year I’m not feeling greedy.

Regarding the luxury tax if I am right (can anyone confirm or correct?) that they have reset then I suspect this year is in part at least the “we need to drop $400 million on Mookie Betts this winter so we need to not have the 75% penalty” season. If that’s right then it’s hard to complain too much.
   2. John DiFool2 Posted: August 02, 2019 at 07:46 AM (#5867616)
But not...that.

What's deeply puzzling to me are the looney toons BABIP numbers this week for the starters (welp other than the fringe guy). Insane numbers of strikeouts-and insane numbers of hits falling (and homers screaming out).

Unless the staff un****s itself, and that right now, the postseason ain't happening.
   3. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: August 02, 2019 at 09:12 AM (#5867627)
What's deeply puzzling to me are the looney toons BABIP numbers this week for the starters (welp other than the fringe guy). Insane numbers of strikeouts-and insane numbers of hits falling (and homers screaming out).


Wouldn't that be mostly an approach thing? If your stuff is mediocre, you can either A) pound the zone, avoid walks, get Ks, but also allow a lot of hard contact, or B) nibble at the edges, reduce hard contact, but walk a ton of people.
   4. Darren Posted: August 02, 2019 at 12:51 PM (#5867760)
This team is kind of frustrating.
   5. John DiFool2 Posted: August 03, 2019 at 08:08 AM (#5867952)
A week ago (tonight) they had managed to claw themselves into the 2nd WC spot, playoff odds were over 50%, the offense was firing on all cylinders, the pitching good enough...

A week later, playoff odds have dropped to 35%, the rotation has nobody on which I can even begin to hope on to have any sort of sustained run of success, and the offense wasn't quite able to overcome the pitching's (and likely defense's too) issues.
   6. Toby Posted: August 03, 2019 at 10:20 AM (#5867956)
For the past week or so I did something I don’t ordinarily do and listened to some Boston sports talk radio while driving home from work. (Masserotti, mostly). I live in Maryland, so I was interested in hearing how this is playing back home. I heard a lot of blame for everyone, but special ire on Betts and Benintendi and Martinez and, indeed, the “gutless” position players as a whole, “mailing it in”. This doesn’t make sense to me. Yes, some guys are having down years, but we are leading the majors in runs scored. The offense is mostly doing good things. The pitching, on the other hand, is 24th out of 30 in runs allowed. The blame here (on the field, at least — sure we can blame the manager and the GM too) should be entirely on the pitching staff, and mostly on the starting pitching.
   7. Toby Posted: August 03, 2019 at 10:22 AM (#5867957)
Or, in other words — the transformation into Dave Dombowski’s Tiger teams is complete.
   8. Darren Posted: August 04, 2019 at 02:09 PM (#5868181)
This team is kind of frustrating.
   9. Captain Joe Bivens, Elderly Northeastern Jew Posted: August 04, 2019 at 02:50 PM (#5868186)
I don't think Masserotti is an idiot. He just plays one on the radio (and TV).

You're right, Toby, but I go a bit farther and lay it all on the starters.
   10. the Hugh Jorgan returns Posted: August 04, 2019 at 06:12 PM (#5868224)
but special ire on Betts and Benintendi and Martinez


People are idiots. Those 2 lines below are the last 7 days for Bennie and JD

.387 .406 .774
.304 .500 .565

Sure, Mookie not great, but still being around average.

As mentioned...the pitching stinks. The SP is effectively a rubbish tip on a warm humid day...it just stinks bad. The RP is not far behind though...

   11. Jose Is An Absurd Balladeer Posted: August 04, 2019 at 06:38 PM (#5868229)
I have seen no evidence to suggest Mazz isn't a total idiot.

Pitching pitching pitching. This isn't complicated. The rotation has an ERA over a run worse this year than last. Some of that is a BABIP that is worst in the AL, their FIP is actually about the same as last year. This sucks of course because it's a lost season but I think this is more 2006 than 2015. Some of the flaws will be fixed by virtue of players returning to form (e.g. Sale) and the bullpen will get improved by virtue of almost not being able to be worse.

The other thing about this year is I don't think you can understate the impact of the lousy start. You can pick your selective endpoints but since;

Opening road trip (3-8) they've gone 56-44 a 90 win pace.
low point (7 games under 6-13) they've gone 53-41 a 91 win pace.
End of April (13-17) they've gone 46-37 a 90 win pace.

This can't be stressed enough. The arrogance they came into the season with really hurt.

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